Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos
Football · Superleague 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.32 · +10.0% CLV
- Score
- 3-0
· first seen 26m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7149
7144 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−518.0u
over 7144u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 13 | 84.6%58%–96% | −6.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+5pp
14
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3965 | 58.5% | −346.2u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos vs PanetolikosFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 26m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.32 · +10.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 11m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| NK Radomlje vs MariborFootball · Superleague | first seen 11m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.65 · +6.5% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland GuardiansBaseball · MLB | first seen 6m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 2-9 | WON |
| Hajduk Split vs Slaven BelupoFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Al-Diriyah vs AbhaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.52 · +10.9% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Leones del Norte vs Tecnico UniversitarioFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.83 · −1.1% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Santa Coloma vs Penya EncarnadaFootball · Primera division | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.43 · +8.3% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Los Andes vs Atletico San MiguelFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 1.98 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Kifisia vs LevadiakosFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.35 · +14.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| PAOK vs Aris ThessalonikiFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.50 · +2.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| PSV vs Sparta RotterdamFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.17 · 0.0% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Al-Riyadh vs Al-KholoodFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 2.30 · +29.2% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chernomorets OdessaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.12 · 0.0% CLV | 2:0 | WON |
| San Francisco Giants vs San Diego PadresBaseball · MLB | first seen 26h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 4:6 | WON |
| Aston Villa (w) vs Manchester City (w)Football · Women. Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.27 · +1.6% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| Al-Tai vs Al-ZulfiFootball · Division 1 | first seen 20h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 2.90+19019/101.90+1.90-0.53from 2.07 · −28.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08Football · Superleague | first seen 46m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.35 · −6.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Dinamo Minsk vs Dynamo BrestFootball · Premier League | first seen 41m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.82 · +1.1% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| FAS (r) vs Alianza San Salvador (r)Football · Reserve League | first seen 31m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.55 · +6.3% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Galatasaray vs KocaelisporFootball · Superleague | first seen 31m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.33 · +4.7% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Bursaspor vs EroksporFootball · League 1 | first seen 31m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 4.30 · +156.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Benfica vs Gil VicenteFootball · Premier League | first seen 31m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.15 · +3.6% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Washington Spirit (w) vs Boston Legacy (w)Football · Women. NWSL | first seen 31m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Colo Colo vs Deportes ConcepcionFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.37 · −0.7% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
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