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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7144

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7149

7144 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 61%–64%

Profit

−518.0u

over 7144u staked

Yield

−7.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256160.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258468.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1384.6%58%–96%58%–96%−6.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+5pp

14

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7144

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396558.5%−346.2u
Double chance318467.8%−171.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Juventude RS vs Athletic Minas Gerais

Football · Serie B

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.62 · +4.5% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 2m before

Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeno

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 2.05 · +17.1% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 2m before

Braga vs Estoril

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.45 · +5.1% CLV
Score
2:1

2026-09-14 · first seen 1h before

Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.70 · +8.0% CLV
Score
1:1

2026-09-14 · first seen 4h before

Cacahuatique vs Inter FA

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.30 · +2.2% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 2m before

Flamengo RJ vs Corinthians SP

Football · Serie A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-13 · first seen 2h before

Deportivo Universidad San Martín vs Academia Cantolao

Football · Division 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.32 · −7.0% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 2h before

Uberlandia vs ASA Arapiraca

Football · Serie D. Promotion/Relegation. Second leg

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.05 · −2.4% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Zamora Barinas vs Trujillanos

Football · Primera Division. Group stage

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 1.85 · −6.6% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Ferrocarril Midland vs Chacarita Juniors

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.80 · +2.9% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Fylkir Reykjavik vs HK Kopavogur

Football · Division 1. Semi-final. Second leg

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.70 · −1.2% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Ferroviaria SP vs Paysandu

Football · Serie C

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.97 · +12.6% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 56m before

Racing Cordoba vs Deportivo Moron

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50from 3.35 · +11.7% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 56m before

Always Ready vs Guabira

Football · Primera division

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.18 · +5.4% CLV
Score
6-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 56m before

Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.50 · −2.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 56m before

Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma

Football · Serie B

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.05 · −8.9% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 56m before

Al-Najma vs Al-Raed

Football · Division 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 2.15 · −0.9% CLV
Score
3:1

2026-09-14 · first seen 20h before

Sirius vs Degerfors

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.45 · +1.4% CLV
Score
2:0

2026-09-14 · first seen 3h before

Djurgardens vs GAIS

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV
Score
2:0

2026-09-14 · first seen 3h before

Gaziantep BB vs Fenerbahce

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.53 · +3.4% CLV
Score
0:0

2026-09-14 · first seen 3h before

Midtjylland vs Brondby

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV
Score
4:1

2026-09-14 · first seen 3h before

Torino vs Roma

Football · Serie A. Season 26/27

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV
Score
0:2

2026-09-14 · first seen 3h before

Como vs Parma

Football · Serie A. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.22 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2:1

2026-09-14 · first seen 3h before

Velez Mostar vs Sarajevo

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.20 · −2.2% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 41m before

Estudiantes Caseros vs Acassuso

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.55 · −3.1% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 26m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Juventude RS vs Athletic Minas GeraisFootball · Serie B2026-09-13first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.62 · +4.5% CLV0-2LOST
Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal LimenoFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 2m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 2.05 · +17.1% CLV0-2WON
Braga vs EstorilFootball · Premier League2026-09-14first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.45 · +5.1% CLV2:1WON
Rio Ave vs Estrela AmadoraFootball · Premier League2026-09-14first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.70 · +8.0% CLV1:1LOST
Cacahuatique vs Inter FAFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 2m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.30 · +2.2% CLV0-2WON
Flamengo RJ vs Corinthians SPFootball · Serie A2026-09-13first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV2-1WON
Deportivo Universidad San Martín vs Academia CantolaoFootball · Division 22026-09-13first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.32 · −7.0% CLV2-2LOST
Uberlandia vs ASA ArapiracaFootball · Serie D. Promotion/Relegation. Second leg2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.05 · −2.4% CLV1-1LOST
Zamora Barinas vs TrujillanosFootball · Primera Division. Group stage2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 1.85 · −6.6% CLV1-2LOST
Ferrocarril Midland vs Chacarita JuniorsFootball · Primera Nacional2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.80 · +2.9% CLV1-0WON
Fylkir Reykjavik vs HK KopavogurFootball · Division 1. Semi-final. Second leg2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.70 · −1.2% CLV2-2LOST
Ferroviaria SP vs PaysanduFootball · Serie C2026-09-13first seen 56m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.97 · +12.6% CLV1-0WON
Racing Cordoba vs Deportivo MoronFootball · Primera Nacional2026-09-13first seen 56m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50from 3.35 · +11.7% CLV1-2WON
Always Ready vs GuabiraFootball · Primera division2026-09-13first seen 56m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.18 · +5.4% CLV6-0WON
Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo MaldonadoFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 56m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.50 · −2.0% CLV1-0LOST
Atletico Goianiense vs CriciumaFootball · Serie B2026-09-13first seen 56m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.05 · −8.9% CLV4-0WON
Al-Najma vs Al-RaedFootball · Division 12026-09-14first seen 20h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 2.15 · −0.9% CLV3:1WON
Sirius vs DegerforsFootball · Premier League2026-09-14first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.45 · +1.4% CLV2:0WON
Djurgardens vs GAISFootball · Premier League2026-09-14first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV2:0WON
Gaziantep BB vs FenerbahceFootball · Superleague2026-09-14first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.53 · +3.4% CLV0:0LOST
Midtjylland vs BrondbyFootball · Superleague2026-09-14first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV4:1WON
Torino vs RomaFootball · Serie A. Season 26/272026-09-14first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV0:2WON
Como vs ParmaFootball · Serie A. Season 26/272026-09-14first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.22 · 0.0% CLV2:1WON
Velez Mostar vs SarajevoFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 41m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.20 · −2.2% CLV1-0LOST
Estudiantes Caseros vs AcassusoFootball · Primera Nacional2026-09-13first seen 26m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.55 · −3.1% CLV1-0WON

1501–1525 of 3965· 2316 won / 1644 lost · −346.2u · −8.7% yield · of 7149 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.