Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Gwangju
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
- Feed close
- 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 2-2
· first seen 44m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeonbuk Motors vs FC GwangjuFootball · Superleague | first seen 44m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Basel vs Sankt GallenFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.40 · −5.9% CLV | 7:2 | WON |
| LG Twins vs Hanwha EaglesBaseball · KBO | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| Lotte Giants vs Samsung LionsBaseball · KBO | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 13-6 | LOST |
| Portland Timbers vs Atlanta UnitedFootball · MLS | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.88 · −2.6% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Deportivo Saprissa vs HeredianoFootball · Premier Division | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota TwinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 49m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 0-8 | WON |
| Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver WhitecapsFootball · MLS | first seen 41m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.78 · 0.0% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco GiantsBaseball · MLB | first seen 21m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Kamloops Blazers vs Victoria RoyalsIce Hockey · WHL. Western League | first seen 11m before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | 2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 2.17 · 0.0% CLV | 2-4 | LOST |
| Horsens vs AGF AarhusFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 4.05+30561/203.05+3.05-0.33from 4.10 · +1.2% CLV | 0:0 | LOST |
| San Diego Padres vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 7-3 | WON |
| Karcagi vs Kozarmisleny SEFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.90 · −5.0% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York YankeesBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 8-4 | LOST |
| Colorado Rockies vs Seattle MarinersBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro LargoFootball · Premier League | first seen 38m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.65 · −2.9% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Manchester City vs SunderlandFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.36-2789/250.36-2.78+0.36from 1.33 · −2.2% CLV | 5:3 | WON |
| Alianza FC Valledupar vs Independiente Santa FeFootball · Serie A | first seen 13m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.50 · −2.0% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| Cavalry vs ForgeFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 1.95 · −3.9% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Cacahuatique vs FASFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.80 · +1.7% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Gualaceo vs LDU PortoviejoFootball · Division 2. Relegation Group | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.77 · +7.3% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Union Santa Fe vs IndependienteFootball · Premier League | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.45 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Sao Paulo (w) vs Flamengo RJ (w)Football · Brazil. Series A1. Semi-finals. Second leg | first seen 40m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.72 · +11.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| KA Akureyri vs Thor AkureyriFootball · Premier League | first seen 40m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.85 · −4.1% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Sporting Lisbon vs AroucaFootball · Premier League | first seen 40m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.20 · +4.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
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