New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7149
7144 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−518.0u
over 7144u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 13 | 84.6%58%–96% | −6.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+5pp
14
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3965 | 58.5% | −346.2u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Basketball · Primera
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 56m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 36m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 36m before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 51m before
Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Ice Hockey · Metal Ligaen
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Bundesliga 3
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Bundesliga 3
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Ice Hockey · Liiga
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets vs Baltimore OriolesBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 5-6 | WON |
| Deportivo San Jose vs Felix Perez CardozoBasketball · Primera | first seen 56m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10derived | — | 90-73 | WON |
| Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 36m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 3-7 | LOST |
| Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles DodgersBaseball · MLB | first seen 36m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-4 | WON |
| Tigres Bogota vs BogotaFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 2.20 · +11.1% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Vikingur Reykjavik vs KeflavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.20 · −6.3% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Alaves vs ValenciaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 51m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.83 · +7.6% CLV | 0:1 | LOST |
| Nottingham Forest U21 vs Burnley U21Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.57 · −10.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Ludogorets Razgrad vs Septemvri SofiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.20 · −4.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Ostersunds vs HelsingborgFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.83 · +19.6% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Kayserispor vs IstanbulsporFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.38 · −1.4% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Petrovac vs Arsenal TivatFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.65 · +1.9% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Krasava Ypsonas vs Aris LimassolFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Porto 2 vs VizelaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.87 · +2.7% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Odense vs FrederikshavnIce Hockey · Metal Ligaen | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.50 · −2.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Radomiak Radom vs Piast GliwiceFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.80 · +5.7% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Zemun vs Radnik SurdulicaFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.13 · −5.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| MSV Duisburg vs TSV HavelseFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.30 · +2.4% CLV | 2:1 | WON |
| Wurzburger Kickers vs Alemannia AachenFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.93 · +0.5% CLV | 1:0 | LOST |
| Al Ahly Cairo vs Abu Qair SemadFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.22 · +1.7% CLV | 2:0 | WON |
| Assat vs Vaasan SportIce Hockey · Liiga | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV | 5:1 | WON |
| Bodo/Glimt vs SandefjordFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.16 · +5.5% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi NetanyaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.62 · −0.6% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Tartu Welco vs Nomme Kalju 2Football · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.17 · −10.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.