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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=4001

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

4002

4001 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−215.2u

over 4001u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%75055.3%52%–59%52%–59%−0.6pp
60–70%avg claim 66%150662.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.9pp
70–80%avg claim 75%152470.3%68%–73%68%–73%−4.6pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20771.5%65%–77%65%–77%−8.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

898

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 4001

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance202368.6%−85.9u
Match winner197960.4%−129.3u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73967.3%−21.1u
Superleague34161.3%−40.4u
League 132567.1%−11.1u
MLB↗MLB league page19859.6%+18.7u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210465.4%−5.2u
Serie B10162.4%−7.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7963.3%−5.8u
Championship7665.8%−4.4u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4002 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Rockdale Ilinden vs Wollongong Wolves

Football · New South Wales. National Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.50 · −1.3% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Melbourne Ice vs Adelaide Adrenaline

Ice Hockey · AIHL League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.07-14297/1000.07-14.29+0.07from 1.09 · +1.9% CLV
Score
10-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Canberra Brave vs Brisbane Lightning

Ice Hockey · AIHL League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived
Feed close
1.07-14297/1000.07-14.29+0.07from 1.04 · −2.8% CLV
Score
9-4

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Los Angeles vs San Diego

Football · MLS

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 23m before

Las Vegas Lights vs Brooklyn FC

Football · USL

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 23m before

Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay

Football · USL

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.80 · −4.3% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United

Football · MLS

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.80 · −1.6% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City

Football · MLS

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.45 · −1.4% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

New Mexico United vs Tulsa

Football · USL

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.05 · −1.4% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Alianza San Salvador vs Cacahuatique

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.65 · −10.8% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 53m before

Monterrey vs Juarez

Football · Liga MX

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV
Score
6-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 53m before

CSD Comunicaciones vs Malacateco

Football · Liga Nacional

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.87 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-4

2026-08-16 · first seen 53m before

Portland Thorns (w) vs Orlando Pride (w)

Football · Women. NWSL

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.85 · −2.6% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 38m before

Houston Dynamo vs LA Galaxy

Football · MLS

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 23m before

Montreal vs DC United

Football · MLS

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.20 · +2.3% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 7d 4h before

Atletico Paranaense vs Bragantino

Football · Serie A

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 4.15 · +107.5% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Aguila San Miguel vs Atletico Balboa

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-4

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Cavalry vs Forge

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.45 · +2.1% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Winnipeg Sea Bears vs Brampton Honet Badgers

Basketball · CEBL

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
98-84

2026-08-15 · first seen 36m before

Rio Ave vs Porto

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 7.40 · +448.1% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 36m before

Atletico Mitre vs Atletico Guemes

Football · Primera Nacional

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.70 · +8.3% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 6m before

Osijek vs Lokomotiva Zagreb

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.90 · +2.7% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 6m before

Rangers Talca vs Magallanes

Football · Serie B

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 3.00 · +7.1% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 6m before

Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 6m before

Criciuma vs Goias

Football · Serie B

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.75 · +4.2% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 6m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Rockdale Ilinden vs Wollongong WolvesFootball · New South Wales. National Premier League2026-08-16first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.50 · −1.3% CLV1-2LOST
Melbourne Ice vs Adelaide AdrenalineIce Hockey · AIHL League2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.07-14297/1000.07-14.29+0.07from 1.09 · +1.9% CLV10-0WON
Canberra Brave vs Brisbane LightningIce Hockey · AIHL League2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived1.07-14297/1000.07-14.29+0.07from 1.04 · −2.8% CLV9-4WON
Los Angeles vs San DiegoFootball · MLS2026-08-16first seen 23m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV0-1LOST
Las Vegas Lights vs Brooklyn FCFootball · USL2026-08-16first seen 23m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Oakland Roots vs Monterey BayFootball · USL2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.80 · −4.3% CLV1-1LOST
Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota UnitedFootball · MLS2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.80 · −1.6% CLV1-1LOST
Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas CityFootball · MLS2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.45 · −1.4% CLV2-0WON
New Mexico United vs TulsaFootball · USL2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.05 · −1.4% CLV1-0WON
Alianza San Salvador vs CacahuatiqueFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 53m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.65 · −10.8% CLV2-1WON
Monterrey vs JuarezFootball · Liga MX2026-08-16first seen 53m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV6-1WON
CSD Comunicaciones vs MalacatecoFootball · Liga Nacional2026-08-16first seen 53m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.87 · 0.0% CLV2-4LOST
Portland Thorns (w) vs Orlando Pride (w)Football · Women. NWSL2026-08-16first seen 38m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.85 · −2.6% CLV2-1WON
Houston Dynamo vs LA GalaxyFootball · MLS2026-08-16first seen 23m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV1-0WON
Montreal vs DC UnitedFootball · MLS2026-08-15first seen 7d 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.20 · +2.3% CLV1-1LOST
Atletico Paranaense vs BragantinoFootball · Serie A2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 4.15 · +107.5% CLV1-1LOST
Aguila San Miguel vs Atletico BalboaFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV2-4LOST
Cavalry vs ForgeFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.45 · +2.1% CLV2-1WON
Winnipeg Sea Bears vs Brampton Honet BadgersBasketball · CEBL2026-08-15first seen 36m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—98-84WON
Rio Ave vs PortoFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 36m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 7.40 · +448.1% CLV0-2WON
Atletico Mitre vs Atletico GuemesFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-15first seen 6m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.70 · +8.3% CLV1-1LOST
Osijek vs Lokomotiva ZagrebFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 6m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.90 · +2.7% CLV1-0WON
Rangers Talca vs MagallanesFootball · Serie B2026-08-15first seen 6m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 3.00 · +7.1% CLV3-2LOST
Fortuna Sittard vs CambuurFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 6m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV3-1WON
Criciuma vs GoiasFootball · Serie B2026-08-15first seen 6m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.75 · +4.2% CLV1-0WON

1426–1450 of 1979· 1194 won / 784 lost · −129.3u · −6.5% yield · of 4002 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.