Drochtersen-Assel vs Kickers Emden
Football · Regional League. North
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
- Feed close
- 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV
- Score
- 8-2
· first seen 21m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7149
7144 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−518.0u
over 7144u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 13 | 84.6%58%–96% | −6.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+5pp
14
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3965 | 58.5% | −346.2u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drochtersen-Assel vs Kickers EmdenFootball · Regional League. North | first seen 21m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV | 8-2 | WON |
| Rodovre vs Herning Blue FoxIce Hockey · Metal Ligaen | first seen 21m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.18 · −4.1% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Aalborg vs HerlevIce Hockey · Metal Ligaen | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85derived | 1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 2.00 · +6.4% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Grorud vs TromsdalenFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.60 · +6.7% CLV | 0:0 | LOST |
| Bremer vs VfB OldenburgFootball · Regional League. North | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.52 · +6.3% CLV | 0:4 | WON |
| Doosan Bears vs Samsung LionsBaseball · KBO | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 3:1 | WON |
| Freseros de Irapuato vs Soles de MexicaliBasketball · LNBP | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 73:85 | WON |
| Landskrona BoIS vs SundsvallFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Meppen vs Viktoria KolnFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.20 · +7.3% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Grasshoppers Zurich vs SionFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.75 · −1.7% CLV | 2-5 | WON |
| Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah TikvaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| HK Nitra vs Slovan BratislavaIce Hockey · Extra-liga | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.05 · 0.0% CLV | 2-4 | LOST |
| Super Nova vs FC RigaFootball · Virsliga | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.22 · +2.5% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Liptovsky Mikulas vs Dukla MichalovceIce Hockey · Extra-liga | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.85 · +1.1% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
| TPS vs JukuritIce Hockey · Liiga | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV | 1-4 | LOST |
| Zilina vs Dukla TrencinIce Hockey · Extra-liga | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.60 · +1.3% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
| Pelicans vs TapparaIce Hockey · Liiga | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.38+13869/501.38+1.38-0.72derived | 2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.80 · +7.7% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Poprad vs Spisska Nova VesIce Hockey · Extra-liga | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.67 · −0.6% CLV | 3-4 | LOST |
| Resita vs BacauFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 3.55+25551/202.55+2.55-0.39from 3.60 · +1.4% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco GiantsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 2:1 | WON |
| New York Mets vs Baltimore OriolesBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 1:2 | LOST |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 5:6 | WON |
| Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 3:7 | LOST |
| Elche vs Real MadridFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.23 · +2.5% CLV | 2:3 | WON |
| Uni-Lions vs Rakuten MonkeysBaseball · CPBL | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 2-5 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.