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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7144

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7149

7144 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 61%–64%

Profit

−518.0u

over 7144u staked

Yield

−7.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256160.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258468.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1384.6%58%–96%58%–96%−6.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+5pp

14

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7144

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396558.5%−346.2u
Double chance318467.8%−171.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Real Oruro vs Real Potosi

Football · Primera division

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.35 · +20.5% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-15 · first seen 57m before

Glentoran vs Coleraine

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.30 · +17.9% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Penybont vs Briton Ferry

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.60 · +11.9% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Sutton United vs Eastleigh

Football · National league

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
3.25+2259/42.25+2.25-0.44from 3.40 · +4.6% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Larne vs Cliftonville

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.63 · +12.4% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Stenhousemuir vs Partick Thistle

Football · Championship

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
5.60+46023/54.60+4.60-0.22from 5.00 · −10.7% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Ross County vs Queen of South

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.30 · +8.3% CLV
Score
8-0

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Falkirk vs Hearts

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.85 · −1.1% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Solihull Moors vs Barrow

Football · National league

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.30 · −6.1% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

The New Saints vs Flint Town United

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.06-16673/500.06-16.67+0.06from 1.10 · +3.8% CLV
Score
5-0

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Trefelin vs Cambrian United

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.80 · +9.1% CLV
Score
0-4

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Llandudno Town vs Caernarfon

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.95 · +4.3% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Zalgiris

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 2.15 · −0.9% CLV
Score
3:2

2026-09-16 · first seen 3h before

Rivers United vs Warri Wolves

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.30 · −15.0% CLV
Score
2:0

2026-09-16 · first seen 2h before

Portadown vs Linfield

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.37 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Billericay Town vs Braintree Town

Football · National League. South

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Motherwell vs Aberdeen

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-4

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Aldershot Town vs Yeovil Town

Football · National league

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.15 · −4.4% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Connahs Quay vs Airbus UK

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.90 · +7.3% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Holywell Town vs Colwyn Bay

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV
Score
0-5

2026-09-15 · first seen 42m before

Ajax vs Willem II

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.12 · +0.9% CLV
Score
5-1

2026-09-15 · first seen 51m before

Skive FH vs TTH Holstebro Herrer

Handball · Herre Ligaen

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.04+10426/251.04+1.04-0.96derived
Feed close
2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 4.90 · +78.2% CLV
Score
29-38

2026-09-15 · first seen 51m before

Lugano vs Geneve Servette

Ice Hockey · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85derived
Feed close
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV
Score
6-3

2026-09-15 · first seen 36m before

Lausanne HC vs EV Zug

Ice Hockey · National league

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.82 · −1.6% CLV
Score
0-5

2026-09-15 · first seen 36m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Real Oruro vs Real PotosiFootball · Primera division2026-09-15first seen 57m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.35 · +20.5% CLV0-2WON
Glentoran vs ColeraineFootball · Premier League2026-09-15first seen 42m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.30 · +17.9% CLV1-2WON
Penybont vs Briton FerryFootball · Premier League2026-09-15first seen 42m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.60 · +11.9% CLV3-2WON
Sutton United vs EastleighFootball · National league2026-09-15first seen 42m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived3.25+2259/42.25+2.25-0.44from 3.40 · +4.6% CLV2-1LOST
Larne vs CliftonvilleFootball · Premier League2026-09-15first seen 42m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.63 · +12.4% CLV2-0WON
Stenhousemuir vs Partick ThistleFootball · Championship2026-09-15first seen 42m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived5.60+46023/54.60+4.60-0.22from 5.00 · −10.7% CLV1-0WON
Ross County vs Queen of SouthFootball · League 12026-09-15first seen 42m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.30 · +8.3% CLV8-0WON
Falkirk vs HeartsFootball · Premier League2026-09-15first seen 42m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.85 · −1.1% CLV2-1LOST
Solihull Moors vs BarrowFootball · National league2026-09-15first seen 42m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.30 · −6.1% CLV1-0LOST
The New Saints vs Flint Town UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-09-15first seen 42m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.06-16673/500.06-16.67+0.06from 1.10 · +3.8% CLV5-0WON
Trefelin vs Cambrian UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-09-15first seen 42m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.80 · +9.1% CLV0-4WON
Llandudno Town vs CaernarfonFootball · Premier League2026-09-15first seen 42m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.95 · +4.3% CLV1-1LOST
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno ZalgirisFootball · Premier League2026-09-16first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 2.15 · −0.9% CLV3:2LOST
Rivers United vs Warri WolvesFootball · Premier League2026-09-16first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.30 · −15.0% CLV2:0WON
Portadown vs LinfieldFootball · Premier League2026-09-15first seen 42m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.37 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Billericay Town vs Braintree TownFootball · National League. South2026-09-15first seen 42m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV3-2WON
Motherwell vs AberdeenFootball · Premier League2026-09-15first seen 42m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV0-4LOST
Aldershot Town vs Yeovil TownFootball · National league2026-09-15first seen 42m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.15 · −4.4% CLV1-1LOST
Connahs Quay vs Airbus UKFootball · Premier League2026-09-15first seen 42m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV3-0WON
Crusaders vs Dungannon SwiftsFootball · Premier League2026-09-15first seen 42m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.90 · +7.3% CLV3-0LOST
Holywell Town vs Colwyn BayFootball · Premier League2026-09-15first seen 42m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV0-5WON
Ajax vs Willem IIFootball · Premier League2026-09-15first seen 51m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.12 · +0.9% CLV5-1WON
Skive FH vs TTH Holstebro HerrerHandball · Herre Ligaen2026-09-15first seen 51m beforeHomeMatch Winner2.04+10426/251.04+1.04-0.96derived2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 4.90 · +78.2% CLV29-38LOST
Lugano vs Geneve ServetteIce Hockey · National league2026-09-15first seen 36m beforeHomeMatch Winner2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85derived2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV6-3WON
Lausanne HC vs EV ZugIce Hockey · National league2026-09-15first seen 36m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.82 · −1.6% CLV0-5LOST

1376–1400 of 3965· 2316 won / 1644 lost · −346.2u · −8.7% yield · of 7149 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.