Baniyas vs Al Ain Abu Dhabi
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
- Feed close
- 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV
- Score
- 2-4
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4001
4000 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−216.1u
over 4000u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L2
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 749 | 55.3%52%–59% | −0.6pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1506 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.9pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1524 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
897
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2023 | 68.6% | −85.9u |
| Match winner | 1978 | 60.3% | −130.2u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 197 | 59.4% | +17.7u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4001 picks with a captured kickoff.
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baniyas vs Al Ain Abu DhabiFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore OriolesBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 2-10 | LOST |
| Harju Laagri vs Levadia TallinnFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.22 · +8.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| CSKA Sofia vs Botev VratsaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 10.50 · +753.7% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Istanbul Basaksehir vs KocaelisporFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.50 · −8.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Randers vs CopenhagenFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.67 · +1.2% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Hodd vs StrommenFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.08 · −4.6% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
| Molde vs TromsoFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 3.65+26553/202.65+2.65-0.38from 3.00 · −17.8% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Dynamo Kiev vs Kolos KovalyovkaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.50 · −7.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| WSG Tirol vs SalzburgFootball · Bundesliga | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.32 · −3.6% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Spartak Trnava vs Zemplin MichalovceFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.42 · −9.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Eibar vs TenerifeFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.92 · +5.5% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Sumgayit vs Neftchi BakuFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.72 · +8.9% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Kjelsas vs JunkerenFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.25 · +4.2% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Dila Gori vs MeshakhteFootball · National League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.45 · +5.8% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Sarpsborg 08 vs SandefjordFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Ajax vs HeerenveenFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Kalmar FF vs HammarbyFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.80 · +14.6% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Pyunik Yerevan vs SardarapatFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.35 · −3.6% CLV | 3-7 | LOST |
| Hatta Dubai vs Al Jazira Abu DhabiFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.50 · +12.8% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Atvidabergs vs Skovde AIKFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Chapecoense vs BahiaFootball · Serie A | first seen 50m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.00 · −4.8% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Palmeiras SP (w) vs Juventude RS (w)Football · Women. Series A1 | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.07 · +1.9% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Botafogo RJ (w) vs Sao Paulo (w)Football · Women. Series A1 | first seen 50m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.28 · +2.4% CLV | 1-5 | WON |
| NSI Runavik vs EB/StreymurFootball · Premier League | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.25 · +6.8% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
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