Hamburger 2 vs St. Pauli 2
Football · Regional League. North
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
- Feed close
- 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.75 · +12.2% CLV
- Score
- 0-3
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7149
7144 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−518.0u
over 7144u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 13 | 84.6%58%–96% | −6.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+5pp
14
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3965 | 58.5% | −346.2u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Regional League. North
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · KBO
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · KBO
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · KBO
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · NPB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · NPB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · U19. Youth league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · LMB. Final. Best of 7
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Liga MX
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 57m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 37m before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 7m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 31m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 6m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1m before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 2. South
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger 2 vs St. Pauli 2Football · Regional League. North | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.75 · +12.2% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Hanwha Eagles vs KT Wiz SuwonBaseball · KBO | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 4-4 | VOID |
| Lotte Giants vs SSG LandersBaseball · KBO | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 1-4 | WON |
| NC Dinos vs LG TwinsBaseball · KBO | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 2-9 | WON |
| Chiba Lotte Marines vs Rakuten Golden EaglesBaseball · NPB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 0-4 | LOST |
| Orix Buffaloes vs Fukuoka S. HawksBaseball · NPB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | — | 0-4 | WON |
| Teplice U19 vs Slavia Prague U19Football · U19. Youth league | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.42 · −16.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Toros de Tijuana vs Olmecas de TabascoBaseball · LMB. Final. Best of 7 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 3-4 | WON |
| Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle MarinersBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 2-7 | WON |
| Puebla vs TolucaFootball · Liga MX | first seen 57m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Colorado Rockies vs San Diego PadresBaseball · MLB | first seen 37m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | — | 3-9 | WON |
| Boyaca Chico vs Alianza FC ValleduparFootball · Serie A | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.82 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Houston Astros vs Kansas City RoyalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 7m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 2-5 | WON |
| Minnesota Twins vs New York YankeesBaseball · MLB | first seen 31m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | — | 1:8 | WON |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco GiantsBaseball · MLB | first seen 6m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 5:6 | WON |
| Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 1m before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 7:6 | WON |
| Atletico Madrid vs OsasunaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.40 · +6.1% CLV | 4:0 | WON |
| Utsiktens vs LaholmsFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.62 · −6.4% CLV | 0:0 | LOST |
| Lugano vs Sankt GallenFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 1.95 · −9.3% CLV | 4:1 | WON |
| Texas Rangers vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 7-3 | LOST |
| Minnesota Twins vs New York YankeesBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 1-8 | WON |
| Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta BravesBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 3-6 | LOST |
| Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles DodgersBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-4 | WON |
| Fram Reykjavik vs BreidablikFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.60 · −5.9% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.