HNK Gorica vs Hajduk Split
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
- Feed close
- 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.70 · +4.9% CLV
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 8m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3997
3996 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−216.8u
over 3996u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L2
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 748 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1505 | 62.3%60%–65% | −3.9pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1522 | 70.4%68%–73% | −4.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
893
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2022 | 68.5% | −86.3u |
| Match winner | 1975 | 60.3% | −130.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 197 | 59.4% | +17.7u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 99 | 61.6% | −8.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3997 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
Football · Serie C
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
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HomeMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
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AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Liga MX
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Primera B Metropolitana
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Segunda Division
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Gorica vs Hajduk SplitFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.70 · +4.9% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Caxias vs FigueirenseFootball · Serie C | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.95 · +9.6% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Besiktas vs EyupsporFootball · Superleague | first seen 24m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.33 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Hunedoara vs CFR ClujFootball · League 1 | first seen 24m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.65 · +3.9% CLV | 3-0 | LOST |
| Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla KrakowFootball · Superleague | first seen 9m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.10 · +3.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Koper vs BravoFootball · Superleague | first seen 9m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia PhilliesBaseball · MLB | first seen 4m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 5-7 | WON |
| Slovan Liberec vs Slavia PragueFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.72 · −1.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Pumas UNAM vs QueretaroFootball · Liga MX | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.80 · −4.3% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Villa San Carlos vs Defensores UnidosFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 2.00 · +11.1% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Hafnarfjordur vs Vikingur ReykjavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Cincinnati Reds vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 1-7 | WON |
| Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 5-7 | WON |
| Cleveland Guardians vs San Diego PadresBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 0-5 | WON |
| New York Mets vs Washington NationalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs New York YankeesBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 3-4 | LOST |
| Atlanta Braves vs Arizona DiamondbacksBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 5-3 | LOST |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 8-3 | LOST |
| IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnicki NisFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Zimbru vs MilsamiFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.43 · −13.3% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Girona vs LeganesFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.65 · +6.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Real Sireti vs Sheriff TiraspolFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.16 · +0.9% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Baniyas vs Al Ain Abu DhabiFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore OriolesBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 2-10 | LOST |
| Harju Laagri vs Levadia TallinnFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.22 · +8.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.