TipzyTipzy
PróximosConsensoRegistrosLigasBlog
TipzyTipzy

Verificação independente de tipsters. Liquidamos cada palpite publicado contra o resultado final e divulgamos o registro.

Explorar

Consensos futurosQuando os palpiteiros concordamRegistros de tipstersLigasMetodologiaEstudo de palpites gratuitosGlossário de apostasCasas de apostasBlog

Tipsters

Como medimos vocêSolicitar uma correção

Empresa

Sobre a TipzyContatoJogo responsávelTermos de ServiçoPolítica de Privacidade

+18 · Conformidade regulatória

As apostas são restritas a maiores de idade e podem causar dependência. A idade mínima legal e as regras que se aplicam a você dependem de onde mora — verifique a legislação local antes de apostar. Jogue com responsabilidade.

Gambling Therapy Gamblers Anonymous

© 2026 Tipzy. Todos os direitos reservados.

18+
HomeRecordsPicksBlog
  1. Home
  2. Tipster records
  3. Vitibet Algorithm

Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7144

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7149

7144 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 61%–64%

Profit

−518.0u

over 7144u staked

Yield

−7.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256160.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258468.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1384.6%58%–96%58%–96%−6.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+5pp

14

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7144

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396558.5%−346.2u
Double chance318467.8%−171.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Chemnitzer vs Babelsberg 03

Football · Regional League. North-East

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-16 · first seen 4h before

Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiss Essen

Football · Bundesliga 3

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.10 · +5.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-16 · first seen 4h before

AIK vs Mjolby

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.15 · −4.4% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-16 · first seen 4h before

Valerenga vs Stavanger Oilers

Ice Hockey · EliteHockey Ligaen

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 2.12 · −2.3% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-16 · first seen 4h before

Olomouc vs Sparta Praha

Ice Hockey · Extra-liga

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.65 · −2.9% CLV
Score
2-5

2026-09-16 · first seen 3h before

Pardubice vs Mountfield HK

Ice Hockey · Extra-liga

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV
Score
3-5

2026-09-16 · first seen 3h before

Auda Riga vs Ogre United

Football · Virsliga

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.30 · +1.6% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-16 · first seen 3h before

Schoningen vs Weiche Flensburg

Football · Regional League. North

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.40 · +2.1% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-16 · first seen 3h before

Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia

Football · League 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.53 · +9.3% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-16 · first seen 3h before

Naftagas vs Backa Topola

Football · League 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.87 · +20.6% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-16 · first seen 3h before

Malaga U19 vs Marbella U19

Football · U19. Youth Championship

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
11.50+105021/210.50+10.50-0.10from 11.00 · −4.3% CLV
Score
2-4

2026-09-16 · first seen 3h before

Diablos Rojos vs Correcaminos de la UAT

Basketball · LNBP

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
107:79

2026-09-16 · first seen 3h before

Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:10

2026-09-16 · first seen 1h before

Anderlecht vs Lyon

Football · League phase

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
2.90+19019/101.90+1.90-0.53from 2.95 · +1.7% CLV
Score
1:2

2026-09-16 · first seen 56m before

Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu Vaprus

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.43 · −4.7% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-16 · first seen 3h before

Vozdovac vs Jedinstvo Ub

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.70 · +9.7% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-16 · first seen 3h before

Rodina Moscow vs Rubin

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.45 · +4.3% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-16 · first seen 3h before

Vitkovice Ridera vs Rytiiri Kladno

Ice Hockey · Extra-liga

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.25 · −2.2% CLV
Score
3-4

2026-09-16 · first seen 3h before

Spartak Moscow vs Fakel

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-16 · first seen 3h before

Motor Ceske Budejovice vs Mlada Boleslav

Ice Hockey · Extra-liga

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-09-16 · first seen 3h before

Sokol Brozany vs Pardubice 2

Football · League 3

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 2.03 · +8.0% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-16 · first seen 2h before

Irtysh Pavlodar vs Gorniak Rudniy

Ice Hockey · Pro Hokei Ligasy

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-10

2026-09-16 · first seen 1h before

Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk vs Kulager

Ice Hockey · Pro Hokei Ligasy

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.50 · +3.4% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-16 · first seen 1h before

Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield United

Football · League Cup. Third round

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.62 · −1.8% CLV
Score
1:3

2026-09-16 · first seen 3d 22h before

Wei Chuan Dragons vs Fubon Guardians

Baseball · CPBL

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-6

2026-09-16 · first seen 4h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Chemnitzer vs Babelsberg 03Football · Regional League. North-East2026-09-16first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV0-1LOST
Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiss EssenFootball · Bundesliga 32026-09-16first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.10 · +5.0% CLV1-2WON
AIK vs MjolbyFootball · Premier League2026-09-16first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.15 · −4.4% CLV1-1LOST
Valerenga vs Stavanger OilersIce Hockey · EliteHockey Ligaen2026-09-16first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 2.12 · −2.3% CLV2-0WON
Olomouc vs Sparta PrahaIce Hockey · Extra-liga2026-09-16first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.65 · −2.9% CLV2-5WON
Pardubice vs Mountfield HKIce Hockey · Extra-liga2026-09-16first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV3-5LOST
Auda Riga vs Ogre UnitedFootball · Virsliga2026-09-16first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.30 · +1.6% CLV1-0WON
Schoningen vs Weiche FlensburgFootball · Regional League. North2026-09-16first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.40 · +2.1% CLV2-1LOST
Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA SofiaFootball · League 12026-09-16first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.53 · +9.3% CLV0-2WON
Naftagas vs Backa TopolaFootball · League 12026-09-16first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.87 · +20.6% CLV1-1LOST
Malaga U19 vs Marbella U19Football · U19. Youth Championship2026-09-16first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived11.50+105021/210.50+10.50-0.10from 11.00 · −4.3% CLV2-4WON
Diablos Rojos vs Correcaminos de la UATBasketball · LNBP2026-09-16first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—107:79WON
Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB2026-09-16first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived—1:10WON
Anderlecht vs LyonFootball · League phase2026-09-16first seen 56m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived2.90+19019/101.90+1.90-0.53from 2.95 · +1.7% CLV1:2LOST
Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu VaprusFootball · Superleague2026-09-16first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.43 · −4.7% CLV2-0WON
Vozdovac vs Jedinstvo UbFootball · League 12026-09-16first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.70 · +9.7% CLV1-0WON
Rodina Moscow vs RubinFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-09-16first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.45 · +4.3% CLV1-1LOST
Vitkovice Ridera vs Rytiiri KladnoIce Hockey · Extra-liga2026-09-16first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.25 · −2.2% CLV3-4LOST
Spartak Moscow vs FakelFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-09-16first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV1-0WON
Motor Ceske Budejovice vs Mlada BoleslavIce Hockey · Extra-liga2026-09-16first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV2-3LOST
Sokol Brozany vs Pardubice 2Football · League 32026-09-16first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 2.03 · +8.0% CLV0-1WON
Irtysh Pavlodar vs Gorniak RudniyIce Hockey · Pro Hokei Ligasy2026-09-16first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived—0-10WON
Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk vs KulagerIce Hockey · Pro Hokei Ligasy2026-09-16first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.50 · +3.4% CLV3-2WON
Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield UnitedFootball · League Cup. Third round2026-09-16first seen 3d 22h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.62 · −1.8% CLV1:3WON
Wei Chuan Dragons vs Fubon GuardiansBaseball · CPBL2026-09-16first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived—0-6LOST

1326–1350 of 3965· 2316 won / 1644 lost · −346.2u · −8.7% yield · of 7149 total

Previous54 / 159Next

Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.