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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7144

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7149

7144 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 61%–64%

Profit

−518.0u

over 7144u staked

Yield

−7.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256160.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258468.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1384.6%58%–96%58%–96%−6.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+5pp

14

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7144

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396558.5%−346.2u
Double chance318467.8%−171.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Tampa Bay Rays vs Athletics

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-3

2026-09-16 · first seen 1h before

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-5

2026-09-16 · first seen 1h before

Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
6-2

2026-09-16 · first seen 1h before

LDU Quito vs Palmeiras SP

Football · Quarter-finals. Second Leg

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 2.35 · −23.0% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-16 · first seen 6d 1h before

Barcelona vs Racing Santander

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.07-14297/1000.07-14.29+0.07from 1.08 · +0.9% CLV
Score
7-2

2026-09-16 · first seen 1h before

Bayer Leverkusen vs Celje

Football · League phase

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.07-14297/1000.07-14.29+0.07from 1.13 · +5.6% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-16 · first seen 56m before

Pescara vs Gubbio

Football · Serie C. Group B

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-16 · first seen 56m before

Guabira vs Aurora Cochabamba

Football · Primera division

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 3.50 · +32.1% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-16 · first seen 56m before

Scunthorpe United vs Boreham Wood

Football · National league

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.68 · +3.7% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-16 · first seen 41m before

Kidderminster vs Gateshead

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.58 · +14.5% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-16 · first seen 41m before

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Maccabi Bnei Reine

Football · Liga Leumit

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.87 · +10.0% CLV
Score
0:2

2026-09-17 · first seen 3h before

Navbahor vs Dinamo Samarqand

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.40 · +7.7% CLV
Score
3:2

2026-09-17 · first seen 59m before

Chiba Lotte Marines vs Rakuten Golden Eagles

Baseball · NPB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:5

2026-09-17 · first seen 2h before

Betis U19 vs Granada U19

Football · U19. Youth Championship

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-16 · first seen 51m before

Differdange vs Swift Hesperange

Football · Division Nationale

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.03-33333/1000.03-33.33+0.03from 1.03 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-16 · first seen 51m before

KIF Kolding vs SonderjyskE Herrer

Handball · Herre Ligaen

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
3.30+23023/102.30+2.30-0.43from 3.25 · −1.5% CLV
Score
32-31

2026-09-16 · first seen 51m before

Dudelange vs Kaerjeng 97

Football · Division Nationale

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
2.70+17017/101.70+1.70-0.59from 2.70 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-4

2026-09-16 · first seen 51m before

Atert Bissen vs Wiltz

Football · Division Nationale

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-09-16 · first seen 51m before

Pitea vs Umea

Football · Division 2. North

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.85 · +11.8% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-16 · first seen 4h before

Dorados vs El Calor de Cancun

Basketball · LNBP

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
91:89

2026-09-17 · first seen 4h before

Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
4:2

2026-09-17 · first seen 7m before

New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:2

2026-09-16 · first seen 1h before

Fortuna Koln vs Wehen Wiesbaden

Football · Bundesliga 3

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
2.90+19019/101.90+1.90-0.53from 2.60 · −10.3% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-16 · first seen 4h before

Ghazl El Mahalla vs Zamalek

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.68 · −9.2% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-16 · first seen 4h before

Lunds BK vs Angelholms

Football · Division 2. South

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.40 · +1.4% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-16 · first seen 4h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Tampa Bay Rays vs AthleticsBaseball · MLB2026-09-16first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—4-3WON
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee BrewersBaseball · MLB2026-09-16first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived—4-5WON
Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles DodgersBaseball · MLB2026-09-16first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—6-2LOST
LDU Quito vs Palmeiras SPFootball · Quarter-finals. Second Leg2026-09-16first seen 6d 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 2.35 · −23.0% CLV3-2LOST
Barcelona vs Racing SantanderFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-09-16first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.07-14297/1000.07-14.29+0.07from 1.08 · +0.9% CLV7-2WON
Bayer Leverkusen vs CeljeFootball · League phase2026-09-16first seen 56m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.07-14297/1000.07-14.29+0.07from 1.13 · +5.6% CLV2-0WON
Pescara vs GubbioFootball · Serie C. Group B2026-09-16first seen 56m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Guabira vs Aurora CochabambaFootball · Primera division2026-09-16first seen 56m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 3.50 · +32.1% CLV3-1LOST
Scunthorpe United vs Boreham WoodFootball · National league2026-09-16first seen 41m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.68 · +3.7% CLV1-2WON
Kidderminster vs GatesheadFootball · National league2026-09-16first seen 41m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.58 · +14.5% CLV1-0WON
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Maccabi Bnei ReineFootball · Liga Leumit2026-09-17first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.87 · +10.0% CLV0:2WON
Navbahor vs Dinamo SamarqandFootball · Superleague2026-09-17first seen 59m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.40 · +7.7% CLV3:2WON
Chiba Lotte Marines vs Rakuten Golden EaglesBaseball · NPB2026-09-17first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—1:5WON
Betis U19 vs Granada U19Football · U19. Youth Championship2026-09-16first seen 51m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV3-0WON
Differdange vs Swift HesperangeFootball · Division Nationale2026-09-16first seen 51m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.03-33333/1000.03-33.33+0.03from 1.03 · 0.0% CLV3-0WON
KIF Kolding vs SonderjyskE HerrerHandball · Herre Ligaen2026-09-16first seen 51m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived3.30+23023/102.30+2.30-0.43from 3.25 · −1.5% CLV32-31WON
Dudelange vs Kaerjeng 97Football · Division Nationale2026-09-16first seen 51m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived2.70+17017/101.70+1.70-0.59from 2.70 · 0.0% CLV2-4WON
Atert Bissen vs WiltzFootball · Division Nationale2026-09-16first seen 51m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV4-2WON
Pitea vs UmeaFootball · Division 2. North2026-09-16first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.85 · +11.8% CLV0-2LOST
Dorados vs El Calor de CancunBasketball · LNBP2026-09-17first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—91:89WON
Houston Astros vs Kansas City RoyalsBaseball · MLB2026-09-17first seen 7m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—4:2WON
New York Mets vs Baltimore OriolesBaseball · MLB2026-09-16first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived—1:2LOST
Fortuna Koln vs Wehen WiesbadenFootball · Bundesliga 32026-09-16first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived2.90+19019/101.90+1.90-0.53from 2.60 · −10.3% CLV0-2LOST
Ghazl El Mahalla vs ZamalekFootball · Premier League2026-09-16first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.68 · −9.2% CLV0-1WON
Lunds BK vs AngelholmsFootball · Division 2. South2026-09-16first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.40 · +1.4% CLV0-2LOST

1301–1325 of 3965· 2316 won / 1644 lost · −346.2u · −8.7% yield · of 7149 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.