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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7144

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7149

7144 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 61%–64%

Profit

−518.0u

over 7144u staked

Yield

−7.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256160.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258468.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1384.6%58%–96%58%–96%−6.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+5pp

14

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7144

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396558.5%−346.2u
Double chance318467.8%−171.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived
Feed close
—
Score
4:2

2026-09-18 · first seen 2m before

Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
4:2

2026-09-17 · first seen 1h before

22 de Julio vs Cumbaya

Football · Division 2. Relegation Group

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.20 · −13.0% CLV
Score
1:7

2026-09-17 · first seen 2h before

Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-9

2026-09-17 · first seen 1h before

Eisbaren Berlin vs Straubing Tigers

Ice Hockey · DEL

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.72 · +2.4% CLV
Score
4:2

2026-09-17 · first seen 15m before

Tampa Bay Rays vs Athletics

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
2:1

2026-09-17 · first seen 5h before

Fubon Guardians vs Rakuten Monkeys

Baseball · CPBL

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-17 · first seen 4h before

Chinatrust Brothers vs Uni-Lions

Baseball · CPBL

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-2

2026-09-17 · first seen 4h before

Wei Chuan Dragons vs TSG Hawks

Baseball · CPBL

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-6

2026-09-17 · first seen 4h before

KIA Tigers vs Kiwoom Heroes

Baseball · KBO

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-17 · first seen 3h before

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Yokohama BayStars

Baseball · NPB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-17 · first seen 2h before

Hanshin Tigers vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp

Baseball · NPB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
7-2

2026-09-17 · first seen 2h before

Gambusinos de Fresnillo vs Santos San Luis

Basketball · LNBP

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
78-109

2026-09-17 · first seen 4h before

Lobos Plateados vs Abejas de Leon

Basketball · LNBP

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
80-67

2026-09-17 · first seen 4h before

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-4

2026-09-17 · first seen 1h before

Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-7

2026-09-17 · first seen 1h before

International de Bogota vs Atletico Nacional

Football · Serie A

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.57 · −10.3% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-09-17 · first seen 1h before

Fuerza Regia vs Mineros de Zacatecas

Basketball · LNBP

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
87-84

2026-09-17 · first seen 3h before

Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-9

2026-09-17 · first seen 37m before

Blooming Santa Cruz vs Universitario Vinto

Football · Primera division

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-17 · first seen 27m before

Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-4

2026-09-17 · first seen 2m before

Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
—
Score
8-4

2026-09-16 · first seen 2h before

Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:4

2026-09-17 · first seen 4h before

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:5

2026-09-17 · first seen 4h before

Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-09-16 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Texas Rangers vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB2026-09-18first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived—4:2WON
Houston Astros vs Kansas City RoyalsBaseball · MLB2026-09-17first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—4:2WON
22 de Julio vs CumbayaFootball · Division 2. Relegation Group2026-09-17first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.20 · −13.0% CLV1:7WON
Colorado Rockies vs San Diego PadresBaseball · MLB2026-09-17first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived—2-9WON
Eisbaren Berlin vs Straubing TigersIce Hockey · DEL2026-09-17first seen 15m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.72 · +2.4% CLV4:2WON
Tampa Bay Rays vs AthleticsBaseball · MLB2026-09-17first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—2:1WON
Fubon Guardians vs Rakuten MonkeysBaseball · CPBL2026-09-17first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—1-0WON
Chinatrust Brothers vs Uni-LionsBaseball · CPBL2026-09-17first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—4-2LOST
Wei Chuan Dragons vs TSG HawksBaseball · CPBL2026-09-17first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived—1-6WON
KIA Tigers vs Kiwoom HeroesBaseball · KBO2026-09-17first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived—2-0WON
Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Yokohama BayStarsBaseball · NPB2026-09-17first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-2WON
Hanshin Tigers vs Hiroshima Toyo CarpBaseball · NPB2026-09-17first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—7-2LOST
Gambusinos de Fresnillo vs Santos San LuisBasketball · LNBP2026-09-17first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—78-109LOST
Lobos Plateados vs Abejas de LeonBasketball · LNBP2026-09-17first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—80-67WON
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB2026-09-17first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived—3-4LOST
Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle MarinersBaseball · MLB2026-09-17first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—2-7WON
International de Bogota vs Atletico NacionalFootball · Serie A2026-09-17first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.57 · −10.3% CLV2-3WON
Fuerza Regia vs Mineros de ZacatecasBasketball · LNBP2026-09-17first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—87-84WON
Colorado Rockies vs San Diego PadresBaseball · MLB2026-09-17first seen 37m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived—2-9WON
Blooming Santa Cruz vs Universitario VintoFootball · Primera division2026-09-17first seen 27m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Texas Rangers vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB2026-09-17first seen 2m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—3-4WON
Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta BravesBaseball · MLB2026-09-16first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived—8-4WON
Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles DodgersBaseball · MLB2026-09-17first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—1:4WON
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee BrewersBaseball · MLB2026-09-17first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived—1:5WON
Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia PhilliesBaseball · MLB2026-09-16first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived—0-3WON

1276–1300 of 3965· 2316 won / 1644 lost · −346.2u · −8.7% yield · of 7149 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.