Birmingham City U21 vs Arsenal U21
Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
- Feed close
- 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.50 · +7.1% CLV
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 33m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7149
7144 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−518.0u
over 7144u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 13 | 84.6%58%–96% | −6.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+5pp
14
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3965 | 58.5% | −346.2u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1
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Football · Division 2. North
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 15m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City U21 vs Arsenal U21Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 | first seen 33m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.50 · +7.1% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangxi HengchenFootball · League 1 | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.95 · +18.2% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Okzhetpes vs ZhenysFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.30 · +2.2% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Chinatrust Brothers vs Uni-LionsBaseball · CPBL | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 5-4 | WON |
| Chernomorets Odessa vs Obolon KievFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54from 2.17 · −23.9% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Yanbian Longding vs Guangdong GZ-PowerFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 1.75 · −11.2% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Doosan Bears vs Kiwoom HeroesBaseball · KBO | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 6-6 | VOID |
| Hanwha Eagles vs Samsung LionsBaseball · KBO | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 4-10 | WON |
| Yokohama BayStars vs Tokyo Yakult SwallowsBaseball · NPB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Falkenbergs vs OstersundsFootball · League 1 | first seen 26m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.20 · −8.3% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Kasimpasa SK vs KonyasporFootball · Superleague | first seen 26m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.35 · −4.1% CLV | 0:0 | LOST |
| Hanshin Tigers vs Hiroshima Toyo CarpBaseball · NPB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Arema Cronous vs Persik KediriFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.60 · −11.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Panteras de Aguascalientes vs Astros JaliscoBasketball · LNBP | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 83-98 | WON |
| Portland (w) vs Phoenix Mercury (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 91-94 | LOST |
| Seattle Storm (w) vs Las Vegas Aces (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 77-114 | WON |
| Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota TwinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Flamengo RJ vs Independiente del ValleFootball · Quarter-finals. Second Leg | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Juventus vs NEC NijmegenFootball · League phase | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.20 · −2.4% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Union Brescia vs TrevisoFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.53 · −5.6% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Bastia vs CannesFootball · Ligue 3 | first seen 42m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.45 · +12.4% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Al Zawraa vs Al GarafFootball · Superleague | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 7.10+61061/106.10+6.10-0.16from 1.52 · −78.6% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Ribe-Esbjerg HH vs Bjerringbro-SilkeborgHandball · Herre Ligaen | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 2.30 · +27.8% CLV | 37-29 | WON |
| Orlando Pirates vs Durban CityFootball · Premier League | first seen 15m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.35 · −3.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Järfälla vs KarlbergsFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 15m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.82 · +4.0% CLV | 0-5 | WON |
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