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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3956

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3957

3956 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−211.8u

over 3956u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L2

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%74055.3%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%149262.3%60%–65%60%–65%−4.0pp
70–80%avg claim 75%150770.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20370.9%64%–77%64%–77%−9.4pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

853

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3956

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.8u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance200368.5%−85.2u
Match winner195460.4%−126.6u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73267.2%−21.0u
Superleague33461.1%−40.8u
League 132167.3%−10.1u
MLB↗MLB league page19259.9%+19.1u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210265.7%−4.6u
Serie B9961.6%−8.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship7464.9%−5.2u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3957 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Hanwha Eagles vs KIA Tigers

Baseball · KBO

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-6

2026-08-19 · first seen 2h before

Las Vegas Aces (w) vs Atlanta Dream (w)

Basketball · WNBA

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
82-97

2026-08-19 · first seen 57m before

Chicago Sky (w) vs New York Liberty (w)

Basketball · WNBA

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
—
Score
93-86

2026-08-19 · first seen 57m before

Golden State Valkyries (w) vs Dallas Wings (w)

Basketball · WNBA

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
78-70

2026-08-18 · first seen 3m before

Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps

Football · MLS

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.88 · +1.6% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-17 · first seen 29m before

Olancho vs FC Juticalpa

Football · Liga Nacional

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.23 · +2.5% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-17 · first seen 1h before

Asia Talas vs Bishkek City

Football · Premier league

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Stockholm Internazionale vs Arlanda

Football · Division 2. North

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.45 · +2.1% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

MAS Taborsko vs Opava

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.00 · −2.4% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Maribor vs Koper

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.90 · +2.7% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 0m before

Hammarby Talang vs FBK Karlstad

Football · Division 2. North

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.30 · +10.2% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

Victoria Rosport vs Mondor-Les-Bains

Football · Division Nationale

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.55 · −1.3% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

Astana vs Okzhetpes

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.65 · +7.8% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 47m before

Fredericia vs Vendsyssel FF

Football · 1st Division

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 47m before

Brattvag vs Lysekloster

Football · Division 2. Group 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.28 · +12.3% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 17m before

Kisvarda vs Ujpest

Football · National League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.65 · +15.2% CLV
Score
2-4

2026-08-08 · first seen 2h before

Junkeren vs Follo

Football · Division 2. Group 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.67 · +11.3% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 3h before

Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 Sofia

Football · Third qualifying round. First leg

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-05 · first seen 3h before

Vrsac vs Dubocica

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.67 · −5.6% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-19 · first seen 1h before

Lotte Giants vs Kiwoom Heroes

Baseball · KBO

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-4

2026-08-19 · first seen 2h before

Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
—
Score
6-7

2026-08-19 · first seen 37m before

Lobos Plateados vs Dorados

Basketball · LNBP

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
—
Score
104-77

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Nublense vs Union La Calera

Football · Serie A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.68 · −4.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Flora Tallinn vs Kuressaare

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.33 · +2.3% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Nomme Kalju vs Parnu Vaprus

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.38 · −1.4% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 50m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Hanwha Eagles vs KIA TigersBaseball · KBO2026-08-19first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived—3-6WON
Las Vegas Aces (w) vs Atlanta Dream (w)Basketball · WNBA2026-08-19first seen 57m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—82-97WON
Chicago Sky (w) vs New York Liberty (w)Basketball · WNBA2026-08-19first seen 57m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived—93-86LOST
Golden State Valkyries (w) vs Dallas Wings (w)Basketball · WNBA2026-08-18first seen 3m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—78-70WON
Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver WhitecapsFootball · MLS2026-08-17first seen 29m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.88 · +1.6% CLV0-2WON
Olancho vs FC JuticalpaFootball · Liga Nacional2026-08-17first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.23 · +2.5% CLV1-0WON
Asia Talas vs Bishkek CityFootball · Premier league2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Stockholm Internazionale vs ArlandaFootball · Division 2. North2026-08-16first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.45 · +2.1% CLV4-1WON
MAS Taborsko vs OpavaFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.00 · −2.4% CLV3-0WON
Maribor vs KoperFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 0m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.90 · +2.7% CLV2-0WON
Hammarby Talang vs FBK KarlstadFootball · Division 2. North2026-08-09first seen 27m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.30 · +10.2% CLV1-1LOST
Victoria Rosport vs Mondor-Les-BainsFootball · Division Nationale2026-08-09first seen 27m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.55 · −1.3% CLV2-3WON
Astana vs OkzhetpesFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.65 · +7.8% CLV2-1WON
Fredericia vs Vendsyssel FFFootball · 1st Division2026-08-09first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV1-1LOST
Brattvag vs LyseklosterFootball · Division 2. Group 12026-08-09first seen 17m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.28 · +12.3% CLV3-1WON
Kisvarda vs UjpestFootball · National League2026-08-08first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.65 · +15.2% CLV2-4WON
Junkeren vs FolloFootball · Division 2. Group 22026-08-08first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.67 · +11.3% CLV4-1WON
Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 SofiaFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg2026-08-05first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-1LOST
Vrsac vs DubocicaFootball · League 12026-08-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.67 · −5.6% CLV2-1WON
Lotte Giants vs Kiwoom HeroesBaseball · KBO2026-08-19first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived—5-4WON
Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles DodgersBaseball · MLB2026-08-19first seen 37m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived—6-7WON
Lobos Plateados vs DoradosBasketball · LNBP2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived—104-77LOST
Nublense vs Union La CaleraFootball · Serie A2026-08-16first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.68 · −4.0% CLV2-1WON
Flora Tallinn vs KuressaareFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.33 · +2.3% CLV2-3LOST
Nomme Kalju vs Parnu VaprusFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 50m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.38 · −1.4% CLV3-1WON

1151–1175 of 1954· 1180 won / 773 lost · −126.6u · −6.5% yield · of 3957 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.