Alaves (w) vs Barcelona (w)
Football · Women. Primera division
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- 1.03-33333/1000.03-33.33+0.03from 1.03 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 0-6
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7149
7144 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−518.0u
over 7144u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 13 | 84.6%58%–96% | −6.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+5pp
14
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3965 | 58.5% | −346.2u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Women. Primera division
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Ice Hockey · National league
HomeMatch Winner
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Ice Hockey · National league
AwayMatch Winner
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HomeMatch Winner
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HomeMatch Winner
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HomeMatch Winner
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HomeMatch Winner
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HomeMatch Winner
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HomeMatch Winner
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HomeMatch Winner
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AwayMatch Winner
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HomeMatch Winner
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Football · League 4
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Women. Major League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 26m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves (w) vs Barcelona (w)Football · Women. Primera division | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.03-33333/1000.03-33.33+0.03from 1.03 · 0.0% CLV | 0-6 | WON |
| Fribourg-Gotteron vs Lausanne HCIce Hockey · National league | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 2.10 · +13.5% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| SC Bern vs DavosIce Hockey · National league | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.27+127127/1001.27+1.27-0.79derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.30 · −6.1% CLV | 5-2 | LOST |
| Bolzano vs Vienna CapitalsIce Hockey · ICE Hockey League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.45 · −3.3% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Val Pusteria vs GrazIce Hockey · ICE Hockey League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.15 · −6.5% CLV | 4-2 | LOST |
| Rodinghausen vs GuterslohFootball · Regional League. West | first seen 56m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 1.90 · −3.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| KI Klaksvik vs SkalaFootball · Premier League | first seen 56m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.17 · +4.5% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Pioneers Vorarlberg vs FillahIce Hockey · ICE Hockey League | first seen 56m before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.80 · −6.7% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Wiener SK vs SV LeobendorfFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 56m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.45 · +5.8% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Kolner Haie vs Grizzlys WolfsburgIce Hockey · DEL | first seen 56m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.57 · +1.3% CLV | 4-8 | LOST |
| Rapid Vienna vs WSG TirolFootball · Bundesliga | first seen 56m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.33 · −5.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Iserlohn Roosters vs ERC IngolstadtIce Hockey · DEL | first seen 56m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.82 · 0.0% CLV | 3-4 | WON |
| Al Wehdat vs RamthaFootball · Premier League | first seen 56m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.43 · −8.9% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Schwenninger Wild Wings vs Lowen FrankfurtIce Hockey · DEL | first seen 56m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.73 · −1.1% CLV | 0-5 | LOST |
| Kriens vs Etoile-CarougeFootball · Challenge League | first seen 56m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.40 · +2.1% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Herning Blue Fox vs SonderjyskeIce Hockey · Metal Ligaen | first seen 56m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19derived | 1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.20 · +5.3% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Aalborg vs FrederikshavnIce Hockey · Metal Ligaen | first seen 56m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV | 2-4 | LOST |
| TWK Innsbruck vs Milano HCIce Hockey · ICE Hockey League | first seen 41m before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.25 · −11.8% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Red Bull Salzburg vs KlagenfurtIce Hockey · ICE Hockey League | first seen 41m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 1.92 · −2.5% CLV | 1-7 | LOST |
| Esbjerg vs OdenseIce Hockey · Metal Ligaen | first seen 26m before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.33+133133/1001.33+1.33-0.75derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.78 · −1.1% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Leksands vs Södertälje SKIce Hockey · Allsvenskan | first seen 26m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.10 · +10.5% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Omonia May 29 vs AEK LarnacaFootball · Division 1 | first seen 26m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.45 · +9.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Nybro Vikings IF vs VimmerbyIce Hockey · Allsvenskan | first seen 26m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV | 7-6 | WON |
| Slavia Karlovy Vary vs Banik SokolovFootball · League 4 | first seen 26m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54from 2.85 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Malmo (w) vs Djurgardens (w)Football · Women. Major League | first seen 26m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.35 · −3.6% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.