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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7144

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7149

7144 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 61%–64%

Profit

−518.0u

over 7144u staked

Yield

−7.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256160.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258468.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1384.6%58%–96%58%–96%−6.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+5pp

14

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7144

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396558.5%−346.2u
Double chance318467.8%−171.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7149 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Bohemians Dublin vs Drogheda United

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.48 · +8.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-18 · first seen 54m before

Airbus UK vs Flint Town United

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.75 · −7.9% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-09-18 · first seen 39m before

Briton Ferry vs Trefelin

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-18 · first seen 39m before

Monza vs Sassuolo

Football · Serie A. Season 26/27

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.40 · −4.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-18 · first seen 39m before

Gent vs Standard Liege

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.80 · −1.6% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-18 · first seen 39m before

Connahs Quay vs Cardiff Metropolitan

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.63 · +12.4% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-18 · first seen 39m before

Ammanford vs Penybont

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.17 · +1.7% CLV
Score
1-5

2026-09-18 · first seen 39m before

Wexford vs Cobh Ramblers

Football · Division 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50from 3.05 · +1.7% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-18 · first seen 39m before

Viktoria Koln vs Ingolstadt 04

Football · Bundesliga 3

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.85 · +5.7% CLV
Score
3:0

2026-09-19 · first seen 5h before

Bocholt vs Wiedenbruck

Football · Regional League. West

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV
Score
2:1

2026-09-19 · first seen 5h before

Haverfordwest vs Holywell Town

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-18 · first seen 39m before

Caernarfon vs Cambrian United

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV
Score
9-1

2026-09-18 · first seen 39m before

Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 6.10 · +335.7% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-18 · first seen 39m before

Blau Weiss Linz vs Admira Wacker Modling

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.47 · +5.0% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-09-18 · first seen 24m before

Hamrun Spartans vs Marsaxlokk

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
3.40+24012/52.40+2.40-0.42from 3.35 · −1.5% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-09-18 · first seen 24m before

Rungsted IK vs Rodovre

Ice Hockey · Metal Ligaen

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.47 · −7.0% CLV
Score
1-4

2026-09-18 · first seen 1h before

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Celik Zenica

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.78 · −8.7% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-18 · first seen 1h before

Reims vs Montpellier

Football · Ligue 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 1.85 · −17.8% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-18 · first seen 1h before

Manchester City (w) vs Liverpool (w)

Football · Women. Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.28 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-09-18 · first seen 1h before

ThSV Eisenach vs THW Kiel

Handball · Bundesliga

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV
Score
27-28

2026-09-18 · first seen 1h before

USM Saran HB vs Usam Nimes

Handball · Star League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived
Feed close
2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 3.75 · +47.1% CLV
Score
31-32

2026-09-18 · first seen 1h before

Walsall vs Port Vale

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2:1

2026-09-19 · first seen 4h before

Lechia Gdansk vs Stal Mielec

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.92 · +1.1% CLV
Score
7:1

2026-09-19 · first seen 3h before

Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport

Football · Division 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
4.00+3003/13.00+3.00-0.33from 3.95 · −1.2% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-18 · first seen 1h before

Manchester United U21 vs Brentford U21

Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.50 · +17.2% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-18 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Bohemians Dublin vs Drogheda UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-09-18first seen 54m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.48 · +8.0% CLV2-1WON
Airbus UK vs Flint Town UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-09-18first seen 39m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.75 · −7.9% CLV4-1WON
Briton Ferry vs TrefelinFootball · Premier League2026-09-18first seen 39m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV1-1LOST
Monza vs SassuoloFootball · Serie A. Season 26/272026-09-18first seen 39m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.40 · −4.0% CLV2-1LOST
Gent vs Standard LiegeFootball · Premier League2026-09-18first seen 39m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.80 · −1.6% CLV2-1WON
Connahs Quay vs Cardiff MetropolitanFootball · Premier League2026-09-18first seen 39m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.63 · +12.4% CLV1-0WON
Ammanford vs PenybontFootball · Premier League2026-09-18first seen 39m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.17 · +1.7% CLV1-5WON
Wexford vs Cobh RamblersFootball · Division 12026-09-18first seen 39m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50from 3.05 · +1.7% CLV3-1LOST
Viktoria Koln vs Ingolstadt 04Football · Bundesliga 32026-09-19first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.85 · +5.7% CLV3:0WON
Bocholt vs WiedenbruckFootball · Regional League. West2026-09-19first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV2:1WON
Haverfordwest vs Holywell TownFootball · Premier League2026-09-18first seen 39m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV1-0WON
Caernarfon vs Cambrian UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-09-18first seen 39m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV9-1WON
Bray Wanderers vs Treaty UnitedFootball · Division 12026-09-18first seen 39m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 6.10 · +335.7% CLV2-0WON
Blau Weiss Linz vs Admira Wacker ModlingFootball · League 12026-09-18first seen 24m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.47 · +5.0% CLV0-3LOST
Hamrun Spartans vs MarsaxlokkFootball · Premier League2026-09-18first seen 24m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived3.40+24012/52.40+2.40-0.42from 3.35 · −1.5% CLV4-1LOST
Rungsted IK vs RodovreIce Hockey · Metal Ligaen2026-09-18first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.47 · −7.0% CLV1-4LOST
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Celik ZenicaFootball · Premier League2026-09-18first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.78 · −8.7% CLV1-1LOST
Reims vs MontpellierFootball · Ligue 22026-09-18first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 1.85 · −17.8% CLV1-1LOST
Manchester City (w) vs Liverpool (w)Football · Women. Superleague2026-09-18first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.28 · 0.0% CLV4-2WON
ThSV Eisenach vs THW KielHandball · Bundesliga2026-09-18first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV27-28WON
USM Saran HB vs Usam NimesHandball · Star League2026-09-18first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 3.75 · +47.1% CLV31-32LOST
Walsall vs Port ValeFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV2:1WON
Lechia Gdansk vs Stal MielecFootball · League 12026-09-19first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.92 · +1.1% CLV7:1WON
Den Bosch vs Helmond SportFootball · Division 12026-09-18first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived4.00+3003/13.00+3.00-0.33from 3.95 · −1.2% CLV2-1LOST
Manchester United U21 vs Brentford U21Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 12026-09-18first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.50 · +17.2% CLV3-2WON

1126–1150 of 3965· 2316 won / 1644 lost · −346.2u · −8.7% yield · of 7149 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.