Emmen vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
- Feed close
- 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 2.20 · +18.9% CLV
- Score
- 3-1
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3956
3955 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−212.0u
over 3955u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L2
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 740 | 55.3%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1492 | 62.3%60%–65% | −4.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1507 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 202 | 70.8%64%–77% | −9.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
852
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.8u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2003 | 68.5% | −85.2u |
| Match winner | 1953 | 60.4% | −126.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 732 | 67.2% | −21.0u |
| Superleague | 333 | 61.0% | −41.1u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 192 | 59.9% | +19.1u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 99 | 61.6% | −8.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3956 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmen vs Jong AZ AlkmaarFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 2.20 · +18.9% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta BravesBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Erzurumspor BB vs GalatasarayFootball · Superleague | first seen 25m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.47 · −3.9% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Helmond Sport vs WaalwijkFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.83 · +7.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Den Bosch vs FC EindhovenFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.05 · +2.5% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
| Arsenal vs Coventry CityFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.20 · −1.6% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Union Brescia vs CarpiFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.30 · −3.7% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Colwyn Bay vs Airbus UKFootball · Premier League | first seen 40m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.50 · −14.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Haverfordwest vs Cambrian UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 40m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.75 · −8.9% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Finn Harps vs Cobh RamblersFootball · Division 1 | first seen 40m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.05 · −1.0% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Sarajevo vs BSK Banja LukaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.20 · −5.5% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Karvina vs Viktoria ZizkovFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.33 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Wiener SK vs SC Wiener ViktoriaFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.43 · +2.1% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Horn vs DonauFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.28 · −6.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Zamalek vs Al Ittihad AlexandriaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.50 · +11.1% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Sirius vs HackenFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.80 · +7.8% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Fredericia vs Aarhus FremadFootball · 1st Division | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.50 · −3.2% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Stockholm Internazionale vs JärfällaFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.20 · +5.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Bregalnica Stip vs Bashkimi KumanovoFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Opava vs TrinecFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.70 · −5.6% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Vejle vs EsbjergFootball · 1st Division | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.52 · +6.3% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Haka vs SJK AkatemiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.25 · −2.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| FC Liepaja vs GrobinasFootball · Virsliga | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.57 · +1.3% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Pakhtakor vs SurkhonFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.18 · −5.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles DodgersBaseball · MLB | first seen 11h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 4-6 | WON |
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