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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7142

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7147

7142 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 62%–64%

Profit

−517.8u

over 7142u staked

Yield

−7.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

W2

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148055.3%53%–58%53%–58%−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256160.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258368.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1384.6%58%–96%58%–96%−6.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+8pp

12

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7142

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396458.5%−347.0u
Double chance318367.8%−170.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7147 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Mjondalen IF vs Sotra

Football · Division 2. Group 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 2.17 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 4h before

Karlsruher vs Nurnberg

Football · Bundesliga 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.20 · +2.3% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 4h before

Honefoss (w) vs Roa (w)

Football · Women. Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.10 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 4h before

AIK (w) vs Hammarby (w)

Football · Women. Major League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.28 · +2.4% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 4h before

Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.70 · +8.3% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 3h before

FC Kharkiv vs Bukovyna Chernivtsi

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.70 · −8.1% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 3h before

Anyang vs Ulsan Hyundai

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.00 · +5.3% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 3h before

Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.85 · +1.1% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 3h before

Everton vs Ipswich Town

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.80 · +1.1% CLV
Score
1:0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Wrexham vs Southampton

Football · Championship

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.30 · −8.0% CLV
Score
4:2

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Brighton vs Arsenal

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.70 · +1.2% CLV
Score
3:0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Oriental Lisboa U19 vs Santa Clara U19

Football · U19. National league. Division 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 9h before

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Tokyo Verdy

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.78 · −6.3% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF United

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.85 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

Rakuten Monkeys vs TSG Hawks

Baseball · CPBL

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-11

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

Chinatrust Brothers vs Wei Chuan Dragons

Baseball · CPBL

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-3

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.68 · +0.6% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

Chiba Lotte Marines vs Saitama Seibu Lions

Baseball · NPB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-4

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

Dynamo Ceske Budejovice U19 vs Pardubice U19

Football · U19. Youth league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.78 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima Antlers

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.60 · +2.0% CLV
Score
3-3

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

Sparta Brno vs Sokol Tasovice

Football · League 4

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.60 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Persebaya Surabaya vs Garuda Yaksa

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Zlin U19 vs Zbrojovka Brno U19

Football · U19. Youth league

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 1.98 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Motorlet Prague vs Benesov

Football · League 3

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.62 · −1.8% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Uni-Lions vs Fubon Guardians

Baseball · CPBL

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-3

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Mjondalen IF vs SotraFootball · Division 2. Group 12026-09-19first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 2.17 · 0.0% CLV3-1LOST
Karlsruher vs NurnbergFootball · Bundesliga 22026-09-19first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.20 · +2.3% CLV0-1WON
Honefoss (w) vs Roa (w)Football · Women. Superleague2026-09-19first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.10 · 0.0% CLV0-0LOST
AIK (w) vs Hammarby (w)Football · Women. Major League2026-09-19first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.28 · +2.4% CLV2-1LOST
Tokyo vs Nagoya GrampusFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.70 · +8.3% CLV1-0WON
FC Kharkiv vs Bukovyna ChernivtsiFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.70 · −8.1% CLV2-0WON
Anyang vs Ulsan HyundaiFootball · Superleague2026-09-19first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.00 · +5.3% CLV2-1LOST
Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto SangaFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.85 · +1.1% CLV1-2LOST
Everton vs Ipswich TownFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.80 · +1.1% CLV1:0WON
Wrexham vs SouthamptonFootball · Championship2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.30 · −8.0% CLV4:2LOST
Brighton vs ArsenalFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.70 · +1.2% CLV3:0LOST
Oriental Lisboa U19 vs Santa Clara U19Football · U19. National league. Division 12026-09-19first seen 9h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV2-1LOST
Urawa Red Diamonds vs Tokyo VerdyFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.78 · −6.3% CLV3-1WON
Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.85 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Rakuten Monkeys vs TSG HawksBaseball · CPBL2026-09-19first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived—5-11WON
Chinatrust Brothers vs Wei Chuan DragonsBaseball · CPBL2026-09-19first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived—4-3WON
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce HiroshimaFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.68 · +0.6% CLV0-1WON
Chiba Lotte Marines vs Saitama Seibu LionsBaseball · NPB2026-09-19first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived—2-4WON
Dynamo Ceske Budejovice U19 vs Pardubice U19Football · U19. Youth league2026-09-19first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.78 · 0.0% CLV4-1WON
Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima AntlersFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.60 · +2.0% CLV3-3LOST
Sparta Brno vs Sokol TasoviceFootball · League 42026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.60 · 0.0% CLV3-2LOST
Persebaya Surabaya vs Garuda YaksaFootball · League 12026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Zlin U19 vs Zbrojovka Brno U19Football · U19. Youth league2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 1.98 · 0.0% CLV3-2LOST
Motorlet Prague vs BenesovFootball · League 32026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.62 · −1.8% CLV1-1LOST
Uni-Lions vs Fubon GuardiansBaseball · CPBL2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived—4-3WON

1076–1100 of 3964· 2315 won / 1644 lost · −347.0u · −8.8% yield · of 7147 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.