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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7142

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7147

7142 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 62%–64%

Profit

−517.8u

over 7142u staked

Yield

−7.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

W2

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148055.3%53%–58%53%–58%−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256160.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258368.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1384.6%58%–96%58%–96%−6.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+8pp

12

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7142

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396458.5%−347.0u
Double chance318367.8%−170.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7147 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Artis Brno vs Slovan Liberec

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.62 · −3.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

TMS Ringsted Herrer vs Mors-Thy Handbold

Handball · Herre Ligaen

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.68 · +0.6% CLV
Score
28-32

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

Kufstein vs FC Kitzbuhel

Football · Regional League. West

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.35 · +20.5% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

Brann (w) vs Bodo/Glimt (w)

Football · Women. Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

FC Elva vs Tallinn

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

Banik Most-Sous vs Velke Hamry

Football · League 3

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.20 · +0.8% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

Almtuna vs MoDo

Ice Hockey · Allsvenskan

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.73 · −1.1% CLV
Score
4-5

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

ROHDA Raalte vs IJsselmeervogels

Football · Division 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.47 · +8.9% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

CSK VVS Samara vs Toros

Ice Hockey · VHL

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50from 2.70 · −10.0% CLV
Score
0-4

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

EBK vs NJS Nurmijärvi

Football · Finland. League 3. Group B. Losers stage

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.38 · +0.7% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

Orgryte vs Sirius

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.52 · +8.6% CLV
Score
1:2

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

Kisvarda vs Paksi

Football · National League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.85 · −3.4% CLV
Score
0:1

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

Saarbrucken vs Sonnenhof Grossaspach

Football · Bundesliga 3

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.77 · +1.1% CLV
Score
2:1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Palermo vs Padova

Football · Serie B

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.52 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

FS Elgava vs FC Riga

Football · Virsliga

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.37 · +11.4% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

Varbergs BoIS vs Brage

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.60 · −1.2% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

Richards Bay vs Sekhukhune United

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.25 · +10.8% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

Oddevold vs Varnamo

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.05 · −6.8% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

Honka vs AIFK

Football · League 3. Group B

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.32 · +16.8% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

Mlada Boleslav vs Zbrojovka Brno

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.20 · −10.2% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

Mashal Mubarek vs Pakhtakor

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.20 · +4.3% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

Fleury 91 vs Thionville

Football · Ligue 3

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.93 · +3.2% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 5h before

La Roche-sur-Yon vs Valenciennes

Football · Ligue 3

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.13 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 5h before

Rouen vs Aubagne

Football · Ligue 3

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 5h before

Amiens vs Orleans

Football · Ligue 3

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.03 · +1.5% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 5h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Artis Brno vs Slovan LiberecFootball · Superleague2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.62 · −3.0% CLV0-0LOST
TMS Ringsted Herrer vs Mors-Thy HandboldHandball · Herre Ligaen2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.68 · +0.6% CLV28-32WON
Kufstein vs FC KitzbuhelFootball · Regional League. West2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.35 · +20.5% CLV1-2WON
Brann (w) vs Bodo/Glimt (w)Football · Women. Superleague2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—4-0WON
FC Elva vs TallinnFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Banik Most-Sous vs Velke HamryFootball · League 32026-09-19first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.20 · +0.8% CLV3-0WON
Almtuna vs MoDoIce Hockey · Allsvenskan2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.73 · −1.1% CLV4-5WON
ROHDA Raalte vs IJsselmeervogelsFootball · Division 22026-09-19first seen 10m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.47 · +8.9% CLV0-1WON
CSK VVS Samara vs TorosIce Hockey · VHL2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50from 2.70 · −10.0% CLV0-4LOST
EBK vs NJS NurmijärviFootball · Finland. League 3. Group B. Losers stage2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.38 · +0.7% CLV4-0WON
Orgryte vs SiriusFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.52 · +8.6% CLV1:2WON
Kisvarda vs PaksiFootball · National League2026-09-19first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.85 · −3.4% CLV0:1LOST
Saarbrucken vs Sonnenhof GrossaspachFootball · Bundesliga 32026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.77 · +1.1% CLV2:1WON
Palermo vs PadovaFootball · Serie B2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.52 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
FS Elgava vs FC RigaFootball · Virsliga2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.37 · +11.4% CLV0-1WON
Varbergs BoIS vs BrageFootball · League 12026-09-19first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.60 · −1.2% CLV3-2WON
Richards Bay vs Sekhukhune UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.25 · +10.8% CLV2-3WON
Oddevold vs VarnamoFootball · League 12026-09-19first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.05 · −6.8% CLV1-2LOST
Honka vs AIFKFootball · League 3. Group B2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.32 · +16.8% CLV3-0WON
Mlada Boleslav vs Zbrojovka BrnoFootball · Superleague2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.20 · −10.2% CLV2-0WON
Mashal Mubarek vs PakhtakorFootball · Superleague2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.20 · +4.3% CLV1-2WON
Fleury 91 vs ThionvilleFootball · Ligue 32026-09-19first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.93 · +3.2% CLV1-1LOST
La Roche-sur-Yon vs ValenciennesFootball · Ligue 32026-09-19first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.13 · 0.0% CLV3-2WON
Rouen vs AubagneFootball · Ligue 32026-09-19first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV1-0WON
Amiens vs OrleansFootball · Ligue 32026-09-19first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.03 · +1.5% CLV2-0WON

1026–1050 of 3964· 2315 won / 1644 lost · −347.0u · −8.8% yield · of 7147 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.