Karcagi vs Kozarmisleny SE
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
- Feed close
- 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.90 · −5.0% CLV
- Score
- 1:1
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karcagi vs Kozarmisleny SEFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.90 · −5.0% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York YankeesBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 8-4 | LOST |
| Colorado Rockies vs Seattle MarinersBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro LargoFootball · Premier League | first seen 38m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.65 · −2.9% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Manchester City vs SunderlandFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.36-2789/250.36-2.78+0.36from 1.33 · −2.2% CLV | 5:3 | WON |
| Alianza FC Valledupar vs Independiente Santa FeFootball · Serie A | first seen 13m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.50 · −2.0% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| Cavalry vs ForgeFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 1.95 · −3.9% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Cacahuatique vs FASFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.80 · +1.7% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Gualaceo vs LDU PortoviejoFootball · Division 2. Relegation Group | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.77 · +7.3% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Union Santa Fe vs IndependienteFootball · Premier League | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.45 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Sao Paulo (w) vs Flamengo RJ (w)Football · Brazil. Series A1. Semi-finals. Second leg | first seen 40m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.72 · +11.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| KA Akureyri vs Thor AkureyriFootball · Premier League | first seen 40m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.85 · −4.1% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Sporting Lisbon vs AroucaFootball · Premier League | first seen 40m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.20 · +4.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Temperley vs AlmagroFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 10m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.70 · +6.3% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Plaza Colonia vs PaysanduFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 10m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.78 · −1.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Millonarios vs Boyaca ChicoFootball · Serie A | first seen 10m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.25 · +1.6% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Willem II vs Fortuna SittardFootball · Premier League | first seen 10m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.45 · −3.9% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Cadiz vs GironaFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 10m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Atletico Mineiro vs ChapecoenseFootball · Serie A | first seen 10m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Sligo Rovers vs Saint Patrick's AthleticFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Anderlecht vs Zulte WaregemFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 4.60+36018/53.60+3.60-0.28from 4.50 · −2.2% CLV | 3-0 | LOST |
| Angers vs TroyesFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.12 · +2.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Venezia vs LazioFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.90 · −1.0% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| FC Siauliai vs Kauno ZalgirisFootball · Premier League | first seen 12m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.16-6254/250.16-6.25+0.16from 1.25 · +7.8% CLV | 0:2 | WON |
| Altamura vs PicernoFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.50 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
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