Celtic vs Rangers
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
- Feed close
- 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.18 · +1.4% CLV
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
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HomeMatch Winner
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Handball · Star League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
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Baseball · CPBL
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · League 2
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · League 3
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
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Baseball · KBO
HomeMatch Winner
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Baseball · KBO
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · MLS
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier Division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 49m before
Football · MLS
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 41m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 21m before
Ice Hockey · WHL. Western League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 11m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic vs RangersFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.18 · +1.4% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Chonburi vs Buriram UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.55 · −3.1% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Fiorentina vs NapoliFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.25 · −2.2% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Feyenoord vs UtrechtFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.25 · −3.8% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Montpellier Handball vs HBC NantesHandball · Star League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 2.20 · +14.6% CLV | 38:28 | WON |
| Pohang Steelers vs FC SeoulFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.80 · +5.9% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Rakuten Monkeys vs TSG HawksBaseball · CPBL | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 10-1 | LOST |
| Tensung vs DrukpaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA SofiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.48 · −3.3% CLV | 2:0 | LOST |
| Ramnicu Valcea vs Bihor OradeaFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.65 · −11.8% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Unicov vs SC Uhersky BrodFootball · League 3 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.70 · +6.3% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
| Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa ReysolFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.55 · +8.5% CLV | 2-4 | LOST |
| Gamba Osaka vs Vissel KobeFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.15 · +6.4% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Jeonbuk Motors vs FC GwangjuFootball · Superleague | first seen 44m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Basel vs Sankt GallenFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.40 · −5.9% CLV | 7:2 | WON |
| LG Twins vs Hanwha EaglesBaseball · KBO | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| Lotte Giants vs Samsung LionsBaseball · KBO | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 13-6 | LOST |
| Portland Timbers vs Atlanta UnitedFootball · MLS | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.88 · −2.6% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Deportivo Saprissa vs HeredianoFootball · Premier Division | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota TwinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 49m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 0-8 | WON |
| Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver WhitecapsFootball · MLS | first seen 41m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.78 · 0.0% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco GiantsBaseball · MLB | first seen 21m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Kamloops Blazers vs Victoria RoyalsIce Hockey · WHL. Western League | first seen 11m before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | 2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 2.17 · 0.0% CLV | 2-4 | LOST |
| Horsens vs AGF AarhusFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 4.05+30561/203.05+3.05-0.33from 4.10 · +1.2% CLV | 0:0 | LOST |
| San Diego Padres vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 7-3 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.