San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 9-10
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3952
3951 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−210.9u
over 3951u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 739 | 55.3%52%–59% | −0.6pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1490 | 62.3%60%–65% | −4.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1506 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 202 | 70.8%64%–77% | −9.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
848
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2001 | 68.5% | −86.1u |
| Match winner | 1951 | 60.5% | −124.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 732 | 67.2% | −21.0u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 192 | 59.9% | +19.1u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 99 | 61.6% | −8.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3952 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 31m before
Football · Division 2. Group 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 49m before
Football · Stars League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3d 19h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 43m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 25m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 25m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 25m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Basketball · LNBP
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 7h before
Basketball · LNBP
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6h before
Basketball · LNBP
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 19m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati RedsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 9-10 | LOST |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago CubsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Stromsgodset vs HoddFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.25 · +5.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Mamelodi Sundowns vs AmaZuluFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.23 · −6.8% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
| Richards Bay vs Kaizer ChiefsFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 2.00 · +7.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Rapid Vienna vs HeartsFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.60 · +6.7% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Odd vs KongsvingerFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.20 · +4.8% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Asane vs LynFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.93 · +8.4% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Stabaek vs RanheimFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Strommen vs RaufossFootball · Division 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Smouha vs Asyut PetroleumFootball · Premier League | first seen 31m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.58 · +5.3% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Rana vs FolloFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 49m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.67 · +9.9% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Al Wakrah vs Qatar SCFootball · Stars League | first seen 3d 19h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.08 · +0.5% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Sogdiana vs Qizilqum ZarafshonFootball · Superleague | first seen 43m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.87 · +15.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| FCSB vs BotosaniFootball · League 1 | first seen 25m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Batman Petrolspor vs BolusporFootball · League 1 | first seen 25m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.48 · +9.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Hamrun Spartans vs MostaFootball · Premier League | first seen 25m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.17 · −6.4% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Trans Narva vs Paide LinnameeskondFootball · Superleague | first seen 50m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.88 · +7.4% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Mineros de Zacatecas vs Panteras de AguascalientesBasketball · LNBP | first seen 7h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 98-78 | WON |
| Abejas de Leon vs Diablos RojosBasketball · LNBP | first seen 6h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 73-75 | LOST |
| Gambusinos de Fresnillo vs Freseros de IrapuatoBasketball · LNBP | first seen 6h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | — | 87-84 | WON |
| San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh PiratesBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Independiente del Valle vs Deportes TolimaFootball · Second leg | first seen 19m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Chicago White Sox vs Texas RangersBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 11-7 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.