Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-5
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2d 23h before
Ice Hockey · Extra-liga
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 4
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Qualifying
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 9m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Women. League phase
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4m before
Football · Women. League phase
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4m before
Ice Hockey · ICE Hockey League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 11m before
Ice Hockey · ICE Hockey League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 11m before
Ice Hockey · ICE Hockey League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Ice Hockey · ICE Hockey League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Ice Hockey · Extra-liga
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Ice Hockey · Allsvenskan
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Ice Hockey · Allsvenskan
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Ice Hockey · Allsvenskan
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Ice Hockey · Metal Ligaen
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Ice Hockey · Allsvenskan
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Ice Hockey · Allsvenskan
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Ice Hockey · Allsvenskan
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Ice Hockey · ICE Hockey League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Basketball · WNBA
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 2. Relegation Group
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis CardinalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 1-5 | LOST |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee BrewersBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 4-1 | LOST |
| Deportiva Tarma vs CiencianoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2d 23h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 3.20+22011/52.20+2.20-0.45from 2.80 · −12.5% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Mlada Boleslav vs PardubiceIce Hockey · Extra-liga | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.78 · −1.1% CLV | 5:1 | LOST |
| Tatran Bohunice vs Sparta BrnoFootball · League 4 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.28 · 0.0% CLV | 1:2 | LOST |
| Mozambique vs SenegalFootball · Qualifying | first seen 9m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.32 · +10.0% CLV | 1:10 | WON |
| Colorado Rockies vs Arizona DiamondbacksBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 8:12 | WON |
| Chelsea (w) vs Austria Wien (w)Football · Women. League phase | first seen 4m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Barcelona (w) vs Paris (w)Football · Women. League phase | first seen 4m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 5-2 | WON |
| Pioneers Vorarlberg vs Milano HCIce Hockey · ICE Hockey League | first seen 11m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.75 · −5.4% CLV | 4-5 | WON |
| Klagenfurt vs FillahIce Hockey · ICE Hockey League | first seen 11m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.40 · −2.1% CLV | 6-1 | WON |
| Red Bull Salzburg vs TWK InnsbruckIce Hockey · ICE Hockey League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Vienna Capitals vs Fehervar AV19Ice Hockey · ICE Hockey League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.72 · +11.0% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Yunost Minsk vs Slavutich SmolenskIce Hockey · Extra-liga | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.94-10647/500.94-1.06+0.94from 2.03 · +4.6% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| Vesteros vs Södertälje SKIce Hockey · Allsvenskan | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Nybro Vikings IF vs BIK KarlskogaIce Hockey · Allsvenskan | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.56+15639/251.56+1.56-0.64derived | 2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.60 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Vimmerby vs AIKIce Hockey · Allsvenskan | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.85 · +4.5% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Herlev vs SonderjyskeIce Hockey · Metal Ligaen | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.70 · +4.9% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Leksands vs OskarshamnIce Hockey · Allsvenskan | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.65 · +10.0% CLV | 5-3 | WON |
| Visbi Roma vs KalmarIce Hockey · Allsvenskan | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.72 · +4.2% CLV | 2-6 | WON |
| Ostersunds IK vs AlmtunaIce Hockey · Allsvenskan | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.12 · +8.7% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Graz vs BolzanoIce Hockey · ICE Hockey League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.02 · +4.7% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
| Los Angeles Sparks (w) vs Golden State Valkyries (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 89:101 | WON |
| New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 2:0 | LOST |
| LDU Portoviejo vs 22 de JulioFootball · Division 2. Relegation Group | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.08-12502/250.08-12.50+0.08from 1.15 · +6.5% CLV | 2:2 | LOST |
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