UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario Lima
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
- Feed close
- 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 1.98 · −4.3% CLV
- Score
- 2-4
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3944
3943 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−213.3u
over 3943u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L3
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 733 | 55.1%51%–59% | −0.8pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1489 | 62.3%60%–65% | −3.9pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1506 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 201 | 70.6%64%–77% | −9.7pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
840
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1999 | 68.5% | −85.3u |
| Match winner | 1945 | 60.4% | −127.9u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 732 | 67.2% | −21.0u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3944 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 2. Relegation Group
HomeMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Serie C
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Serie C
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Serie C
HomeMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Women. Series A1. Quarterfinals. First leg
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Primera Nacional
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 45m before
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 45m before
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 45m before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 45m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario LimaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 1.98 · −4.3% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Gualaceo vs El Nacional QuitoFootball · Division 2. Relegation Group | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.40 · −8.5% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| New York Mets vs Houston AstrosBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 6-2 | LOST |
| Atlanta Braves vs Colorado RockiesBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City RoyalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 3-8 | WON |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego PadresBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 7-6 | WON |
| Washington Nationals vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 5-4 | LOST |
| Barra vs Volta RedondaFootball · Serie C | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.65 · +10.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Itabaiana vs Botafogo ParaibaFootball · Serie C | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 3.70+27027/102.70+2.70-0.37from 2.80 · −24.3% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo City TorqueFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.30 · +4.5% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Rosario Central vs Gimnasia La PlataFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.72 · +7.5% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Ferroviaria SP vs Confianca SergipeFootball · Serie C | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.35 · +1.5% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle MarinersBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| Gremio (w) vs Sao Paulo (w)Football · Women. Series A1. Quarterfinals. First leg | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.35 · +2.2% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Ferrocarril Midland vs Nueva ChicagoFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Santiago Wanderers vs MagallanesFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.10 · +1.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Ascoli vs CarrareseFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.90 · +5.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Novi Pazar vs Macva SabacFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.58 · −7.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Varazdin vs RudesFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Atletico de Rafaela vs Tristan SuarezFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 3.10 · +5.1% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Cercle Brugge vs Lommel UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.50 · −3.2% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Lyon vs Le HavreFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.48 · +2.1% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Lorient vs TroyesFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.85 · −5.1% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Juventus vs ParmaFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.25 · +1.6% CLV | 1:0 | WON |
| Galatasaray vs GoztepeFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.40 · +12.0% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.