Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-7
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Basketball · LNBP
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 37m before
Football · Primera division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Quarter-finals. Second Leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6d 1h before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League phase
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 56m before
Football · Serie C. Group B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 56m before
Football · Primera division
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 56m before
Football · National league
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 41m before
Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 41m before
Football · Liga Leumit
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
Baseball · NPB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · U19. Youth Championship
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 51m before
Football · Division Nationale
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 51m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle MarinersBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 2-7 | WON |
| International de Bogota vs Atletico NacionalFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.57 · −10.3% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Fuerza Regia vs Mineros de ZacatecasBasketball · LNBP | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 87-84 | WON |
| Colorado Rockies vs San Diego PadresBaseball · MLB | first seen 37m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 2-9 | WON |
| Blooming Santa Cruz vs Universitario VintoFootball · Primera division | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Texas Rangers vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 3-4 | WON |
| Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta BravesBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 8-4 | WON |
| Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles DodgersBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1:4 | WON |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee BrewersBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | — | 1:5 | WON |
| Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia PhilliesBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs AthleticsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee BrewersBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 4-5 | WON |
| Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles DodgersBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 6-2 | LOST |
| LDU Quito vs Palmeiras SPFootball · Quarter-finals. Second Leg | first seen 6d 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 2.35 · −23.0% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Barcelona vs Racing SantanderFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.07-14297/1000.07-14.29+0.07from 1.08 · +0.9% CLV | 7-2 | WON |
| Bayer Leverkusen vs CeljeFootball · League phase | first seen 56m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.07-14297/1000.07-14.29+0.07from 1.13 · +5.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Pescara vs GubbioFootball · Serie C. Group B | first seen 56m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Guabira vs Aurora CochabambaFootball · Primera division | first seen 56m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 3.50 · +32.1% CLV | 3-1 | LOST |
| Scunthorpe United vs Boreham WoodFootball · National league | first seen 41m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.68 · +3.7% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Kidderminster vs GatesheadFootball · National league | first seen 41m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.58 · +14.5% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Maccabi Bnei ReineFootball · Liga Leumit | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.87 · +10.0% CLV | 0:2 | WON |
| Navbahor vs Dinamo SamarqandFootball · Superleague | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.40 · +7.7% CLV | 3:2 | WON |
| Chiba Lotte Marines vs Rakuten Golden EaglesBaseball · NPB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 1:5 | WON |
| Betis U19 vs Granada U19Football · U19. Youth Championship | first seen 51m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Differdange vs Swift HesperangeFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 51m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.03-33333/1000.03-33.33+0.03from 1.03 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.