Levadia Tallinn vs Tammeka Tartu
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.16-6254/250.16-6.25+0.16from 1.18 · +1.7% CLV
- Score
- 6-0
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
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Football · Liga Leumit
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Ice Hockey · Liiga
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Ice Hockey · Liiga
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AwayMatch Winner
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Ice Hockey · Pro Hokei Ligasy
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Ice Hockey · Pro Hokei Ligasy
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Baseball · MLB
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Football · Division 2. Relegation Group
AwayMatch Winner
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AwayMatch Winner
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Ice Hockey · DEL
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AwayMatch Winner
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AwayMatch Winner
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HomeMatch Winner
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Baseball · NPB
AwayMatch Winner
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AwayMatch Winner
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Basketball · LNBP
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Basketball · LNBP
HomeMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levadia Tallinn vs Tammeka TartuFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.16-6254/250.16-6.25+0.16from 1.18 · +1.7% CLV | 6-0 | WON |
| Torpedo Moscow vs Veles MoscowFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.55 · −11.4% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Kiryat Yam vs Ironi ModiinFootball · Liga Leumit | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.67 · +7.7% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Lukko vs Vaasan SportIce Hockey · Liiga | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.62 · +8.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| TPS vs TapparaIce Hockey · Liiga | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.35 · +6.8% CLV | 4-0 | LOST |
| Enugu Rangers International vs Nasarawa UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.40 · −12.5% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Tekstilschik vs RotorFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.82 · −9.0% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Irtysh Pavlodar vs Gorniak RudniyIce Hockey · Pro Hokei Ligasy | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived | — | 2-5 | WON |
| Tobol Kostanay vs Yelimay SemeyFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.20 · −2.2% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk vs KulagerIce Hockey · Pro Hokei Ligasy | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.48 · +5.7% CLV | 6-3 | WON |
| Texas Rangers vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 4:2 | WON |
| Houston Astros vs Kansas City RoyalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 4:2 | WON |
| 22 de Julio vs CumbayaFootball · Division 2. Relegation Group | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.20 · −13.0% CLV | 1:7 | WON |
| Colorado Rockies vs San Diego PadresBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 2-9 | WON |
| Eisbaren Berlin vs Straubing TigersIce Hockey · DEL | first seen 15m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.72 · +2.4% CLV | 4:2 | WON |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs AthleticsBaseball · MLB | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2:1 | WON |
| Fubon Guardians vs Rakuten MonkeysBaseball · CPBL | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Chinatrust Brothers vs Uni-LionsBaseball · CPBL | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 4-2 | LOST |
| Wei Chuan Dragons vs TSG HawksBaseball · CPBL | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 1-6 | WON |
| KIA Tigers vs Kiwoom HeroesBaseball · KBO | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Yokohama BayStarsBaseball · NPB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Hanshin Tigers vs Hiroshima Toyo CarpBaseball · NPB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 7-2 | LOST |
| Gambusinos de Fresnillo vs Santos San LuisBasketball · LNBP | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 78-109 | LOST |
| Lobos Plateados vs Abejas de LeonBasketball · LNBP | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 80-67 | WON |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 3-4 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.