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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3927

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3928

3927 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−210.2u

over 3927u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%73155.1%52%–59%52%–59%−0.8pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148362.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149970.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

824

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3927

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance199168.6%−84.2u
Match winner193760.4%−126.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73167.2%−21.2u
Superleague33160.7%−41.9u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210265.7%−4.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3928 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Rapid Vienna vs Sturm

Football · Bundesliga

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.05 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 2h before

Slovan Bratislava vs Zemplin Michalovce

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.35 · +8.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-30 · first seen 2h before

Telstar vs Ajax

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV
Score
0-4

2026-08-30 · first seen 2h before

Spartak Moscow vs Orenburg

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.37 · +1.5% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 2h before

NSI Runavik vs AB Argir

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.25 · +8.7% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Hatta Dubai vs Al Sharjah

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.75 · +9.4% CLV
Score
1:1

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Levanger vs Lorenskog

Football · Division 2. Group 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.47 · +13.1% CLV
Score
5-0

2026-08-30 · first seen 57m before

Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa

Football · Championship

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
5-2

2026-08-30 · first seen 57m before

Farul Constanta vs Botosani

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.90 · +1.1% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-30 · first seen 57m before

Chelsea vs Brighton

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.85 · −1.6% CLV
Score
4-3

2026-08-30 · first seen 57m before

Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.15 · −2.5% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-30 · first seen 27m before

Ha Noi vs Saigon Heat

Basketball · VBA

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
90:82

2026-08-30 · first seen 27m before

Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.75 · −1.7% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 27m before

AIK vs Hammarby

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.60 · +18.5% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-30 · first seen 12h before

Rodina Moscow vs Baltika

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 1.98 · −12.0% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-08-30 · first seen 12h before

Honefoss vs Follo

Football · Division 2. Group 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.22 · −2.4% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 12h before

Hillerod vs Hobro

Football · 1st Division

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.55 · +6.3% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 11h before

FC Gwangju vs FC Seoul

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.48 · +9.6% CLV
Score
2:3

2026-08-30 · first seen 10h before

Utrecht vs PSV

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV
Score
1:6

2026-08-30 · first seen 10h before

Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows

Baseball · NPB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:3

2026-08-30 · first seen 3h before

Hanshin Tigers vs Yomiuri Giants

Baseball · NPB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
—
Score
4:1

2026-08-30 · first seen 3h before

Saitama Seibu Lions vs Rakuten Golden Eagles

Baseball · NPB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
—
Score
8:4

2026-08-30 · first seen 2h before

Queensland Lions vs Peninsula Power

Football · Queensland. National Premier League. Quarter-finals

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.78 · +6.0% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 7h before

Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven

Football · USL

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 2.05 · +4.1% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 2h before

San Diego vs LA Galaxy

Football · MLS

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.68 · −2.3% CLV
Score
2:0

2026-08-30 · first seen 2h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Rapid Vienna vs SturmFootball · Bundesliga2026-08-30first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.05 · 0.0% CLV3-1WON
Slovan Bratislava vs Zemplin MichalovceFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.35 · +8.0% CLV1-2LOST
Telstar vs AjaxFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV0-4WON
Spartak Moscow vs OrenburgFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-30first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.37 · +1.5% CLV1-1LOST
NSI Runavik vs AB ArgirFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.25 · +8.7% CLV3-1WON
Hatta Dubai vs Al SharjahFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.75 · +9.4% CLV1:1LOST
Levanger vs LorenskogFootball · Division 2. Group 22026-08-30first seen 57m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.47 · +13.1% CLV5-0WON
Tre Fiori vs PennarossaFootball · Championship2026-08-30first seen 57m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV5-2WON
Farul Constanta vs BotosaniFootball · League 12026-08-30first seen 57m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.90 · +1.1% CLV0-0LOST
Chelsea vs BrightonFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-30first seen 57m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.85 · −1.6% CLV4-3WON
Feyenoord vs ADO Den HaagFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 27m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.15 · −2.5% CLV2-2LOST
Ha Noi vs Saigon HeatBasketball · VBA2026-08-30first seen 27m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—90:82WON
Arka Gdynia vs Polonia BytomFootball · League 12026-08-30first seen 27m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.75 · −1.7% CLV1-1LOST
AIK vs HammarbyFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 12h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.60 · +18.5% CLV3-2LOST
Rodina Moscow vs BaltikaFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-30first seen 12h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 1.98 · −12.0% CLV0-3WON
Honefoss vs FolloFootball · Division 2. Group 22026-08-30first seen 12h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.22 · −2.4% CLV2-1WON
Hillerod vs HobroFootball · 1st Division2026-08-30first seen 11h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.55 · +6.3% CLV3-1LOST
FC Gwangju vs FC SeoulFootball · Superleague2026-08-30first seen 10h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.48 · +9.6% CLV2:3WON
Utrecht vs PSVFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 10h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV1:6WON
Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Tokyo Yakult SwallowsBaseball · NPB2026-08-30first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived—1:3WON
Hanshin Tigers vs Yomiuri GiantsBaseball · NPB2026-08-30first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived—4:1WON
Saitama Seibu Lions vs Rakuten Golden EaglesBaseball · NPB2026-08-30first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived—8:4WON
Queensland Lions vs Peninsula PowerFootball · Queensland. National Premier League. Quarter-finals2026-08-30first seen 7h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.78 · +6.0% CLV4-1WON
Phoenix Rising vs Indy ElevenFootball · USL2026-08-30first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 2.05 · +4.1% CLV2-1WON
San Diego vs LA GalaxyFootball · MLS2026-08-30first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.68 · −2.3% CLV2:0WON

551–575 of 1937· 1170 won / 766 lost · −126.0u · −6.5% yield · of 3928 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.