Seattle Storm (w) vs Las Vegas Aces (w)
Basketball · WNBA
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 77-114
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Basketball · WNBA
AwayMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Quarter-finals. Second Leg
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · League phase
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Ligue 3
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
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Handball · Herre Ligaen
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Division 2. North
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
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Ice Hockey · EliteHockey Ligaen
HomeMatch Winner
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HomeMatch Winner
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Ice Hockey · EliteHockey Ligaen
HomeMatch Winner
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Ice Hockey · EliteHockey Ligaen
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Liga Leumit
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Liga Leumit
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague. Relegation Group
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 17h before
Football · Liga Alef
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 13h before
Baseball · KBO
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Women. Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Storm (w) vs Las Vegas Aces (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 77-114 | WON |
| Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota TwinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Flamengo RJ vs Independiente del ValleFootball · Quarter-finals. Second Leg | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Juventus vs NEC NijmegenFootball · League phase | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.20 · −2.4% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Union Brescia vs TrevisoFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.53 · −5.6% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Bastia vs CannesFootball · Ligue 3 | first seen 42m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.45 · +12.4% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Al Zawraa vs Al GarafFootball · Superleague | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 7.10+61061/106.10+6.10-0.16from 1.52 · −78.6% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Ribe-Esbjerg HH vs Bjerringbro-SilkeborgHandball · Herre Ligaen | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 2.30 · +27.8% CLV | 37-29 | WON |
| Orlando Pirates vs Durban CityFootball · Premier League | first seen 15m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.35 · −3.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Järfälla vs KarlbergsFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 15m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.82 · +4.0% CLV | 0-5 | WON |
| ENPPI vs PyramidsFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.48 · +8.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Warta Poznan vs Puszcza NiepolomiceFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.03 · −3.3% CLV | 3:2 | WON |
| Betis vs GetafeFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.67 · +11.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Storhamar vs Frisk-AskerIce Hockey · EliteHockey Ligaen | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.57 · −1.9% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Stockholm Internazionale vs IFK StocksundFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.12 · +1.8% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
| Narvik vs StjernenIce Hockey · EliteHockey Ligaen | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV | 2-7 | LOST |
| Lillehammer vs Ringerike IHK HoenefossIce Hockey · EliteHockey Ligaen | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.05 · +1.5% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Loznica vs Javor IvanjicaFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 1.85 · −15.1% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Hapoel Raanana vs Maccabi Kiryat GatFootball · Liga Leumit | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.95 · +5.4% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel AcreFootball · Liga Leumit | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.78 · +20.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| FC Lahti vs JaroFootball · Superleague. Relegation Group | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.55 · −3.1% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Al Bataeh vs Al HamriyahFootball · Division 1 | first seen 17h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 3.35+23547/202.35+2.35-0.43from 3.50 · +4.5% CLV | 0:0 | LOST |
| Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi vs Hapoel AzurFootball · Liga Alef | first seen 13h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.40 · −4.0% CLV | 0:2 | LOST |
| Lotte Giants vs NC DinosBaseball · KBO | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 9:6 | WON |
| Valerenga (w) vs Haugesund (w)Football · Women. Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.11 · −5.9% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.