Groningen vs PEC Zwolle
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.58 · +1.9% CLV
- Score
- 3:0
· first seen 1h before
Vitibet Algorithm
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices
Meaningful samplen=6218Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Streaks and worst run
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
Claimed vs what happened
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
Calibration over time
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Performance charts
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Cumulative P/L by pick (units)
all 6218
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
P/L by month (units)
P/L by league (units)
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
By market
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
By league
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Recent settled picks
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Won
Oss vs Dordrecht
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
- Feed close
- 2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 2.40 · +10.6% CLV
- Score
- 3:0
· first seen 1h before
Rapid Bucuresti vs Arges Pitesti
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
- Feed close
- 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.65 · +10.0% CLV
- Score
- 3:1
· first seen 1h before
Jong Ajax vs Roda Kerkrade
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
- Feed close
- 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.85 · −7.5% CLV
- Score
- 0:0
· first seen 1h before
Sochi vs SKA Khabarovsk
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
- Feed close
- 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 1h before
Sileks vs Tikvesh 1930
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
- Feed close
- 3.60+26013/52.60+2.60-0.38from 3.15 · −12.5% CLV
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 1h before
Turan Turkistan vs Elimai 2
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 4-1
· first seen 1h before
Bandirmaspor vs Umraniyespor
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
- Feed close
- 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.70 · −2.9% CLV
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 59m before
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
- Feed close
- 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.37 · +3.0% CLV
- Score
- 3-0
· first seen 44m before
Polissya Zhytomyr vs Kryvbas
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.30 · +2.4% CLV
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 29m before
Birmingham City U21 vs Arsenal U21
Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
- Feed close
- 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.50 · +7.1% CLV
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 33m before
Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangxi Hengchen
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
- Feed close
- 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.95 · +18.2% CLV
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 3m before
Okzhetpes vs Zhenys
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
- Feed close
- 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.30 · +2.2% CLV
- Score
- 3-1
· first seen 4h before
Chinatrust Brothers vs Uni-Lions
Baseball · CPBL
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 5-4
· first seen 4h before
Chernomorets Odessa vs Obolon Kiev
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
- Feed close
- 2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54from 2.17 · −23.9% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 3h before
Yanbian Longding vs Guangdong GZ-Power
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
- Feed close
- 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 1.75 · −11.2% CLV
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 3h before
Doosan Bears vs Kiwoom Heroes
Baseball · KBO
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 6-6
· first seen 3h before
Hanwha Eagles vs Samsung Lions
Baseball · KBO
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 4-10
· first seen 3h before
Yokohama BayStars vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows
Baseball · NPB
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-3
· first seen 2h before
Falkenbergs vs Ostersunds
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
- Feed close
- 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.20 · −8.3% CLV
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 26m before
Kasimpasa SK vs Konyaspor
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
- Feed close
- 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.35 · −4.1% CLV
- Score
- 0:0
· first seen 26m before
Hanshin Tigers vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Baseball · NPB
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 2h before
Arema Cronous vs Persik Kediri
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
- Feed close
- 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.60 · −11.1% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 2h before
Panteras de Aguascalientes vs Astros Jalisco
Basketball · LNBP
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 83-98
· first seen 4h before
Portland (w) vs Phoenix Mercury (w)
Basketball · WNBA
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 91-94
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen vs PEC ZwolleFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.58 · +1.9% CLV | 3:0 | WON |
| Oss vs DordrechtFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 2.40 · +10.6% CLV | 3:0 | WON |
| Rapid Bucuresti vs Arges PitestiFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.65 · +10.0% CLV | 3:1 | WON |
| Jong Ajax vs Roda KerkradeFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.85 · −7.5% CLV | 0:0 | LOST |
| Sochi vs SKA KhabarovskFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Sileks vs Tikvesh 1930Football · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 3.60+26013/52.60+2.60-0.38from 3.15 · −12.5% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Turan Turkistan vs Elimai 2Football · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| Bandirmaspor vs UmraniyesporFootball · League 1 | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.70 · −2.9% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah TikvaFootball · Premier League | first seen 44m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.37 · +3.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Polissya Zhytomyr vs KryvbasFootball · Premier League | first seen 29m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.30 · +2.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Birmingham City U21 vs Arsenal U21Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 | first seen 33m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.50 · +7.1% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangxi HengchenFootball · League 1 | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.95 · +18.2% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Okzhetpes vs ZhenysFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.30 · +2.2% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Chinatrust Brothers vs Uni-LionsBaseball · CPBL | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 5-4 | WON |
| Chernomorets Odessa vs Obolon KievFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54from 2.17 · −23.9% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Yanbian Longding vs Guangdong GZ-PowerFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 1.75 · −11.2% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Doosan Bears vs Kiwoom HeroesBaseball · KBO | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 6-6 | VOID |
| Hanwha Eagles vs Samsung LionsBaseball · KBO | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 4-10 | WON |
| Yokohama BayStars vs Tokyo Yakult SwallowsBaseball · NPB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Falkenbergs vs OstersundsFootball · League 1 | first seen 26m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.20 · −8.3% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Kasimpasa SK vs KonyasporFootball · Superleague | first seen 26m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.35 · −4.1% CLV | 0:0 | LOST |
| Hanshin Tigers vs Hiroshima Toyo CarpBaseball · NPB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Arema Cronous vs Persik KediriFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.60 · −11.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Panteras de Aguascalientes vs Astros JaliscoBasketball · LNBP | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 83-98 | WON |
| Portland (w) vs Phoenix Mercury (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 91-94 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.