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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3912

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3913

3912 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−208.9u

over 3912u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72455.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148062.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149470.5%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

809

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3912

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198668.5%−84.8u
Match winner192760.5%−124.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72967.2%−20.6u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210166.3%−3.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Germany (w) vs Mali (w)

Basketball · Women. Germany. Group stage

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
—
Score
102:48

2026-09-07 · first seen 3h before

Rakuten Monkeys vs Wei Chuan Dragons

Baseball · CPBL

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-09-07 · first seen 4h before

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Washington Nationals

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
—
Score
5:3

2026-09-07 · first seen 2h before

Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Anzoategui

Football · Primera Division. Group stage

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.50 · +8.7% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-06 · first seen 26h before

Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Ponte Preta vs Sao Bernardo

Football · Serie B

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.30 · −3.7% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 57m before

Deportivo Tachira vs Rayo Zuliano

Football · Primera Division. Group stage

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.25 · +5.9% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 57m before

Botafogo RJ vs Palmeiras SP

Football · Serie A

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.15 · +0.9% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-06 · first seen 57m before

Isidro Metapan (r) vs INCA (r)

Football · Reserve League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 27m before

Delfin vs Universidad Catolica Quito

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.00 · −13.0% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 27m before

Monagas vs Metropolitanos FC

Football · Primera Division. Group stage

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 2.50 · −18.0% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 2h before

Seattle Mariners vs Athletics

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
2:9

2026-09-06 · first seen 2h before

Chicago Red Stars (w) vs North Carolina Courage (w)

Football · Women. NWSL

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV
Score
0-6

2026-09-06 · first seen 2h before

Huachipato vs Colo Colo

Football · Serie A

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.65 · +17.9% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-06 · first seen 2h before

Gil Vicente vs Academico Viseu

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 1.90 · −20.8% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Vojvodina Novi Sad vs Zemun

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.18 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Union Brescia vs Desenzano Calvina

Football · Serie C. Group A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.57 · +6.8% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Almeria vs Cadiz

Football · Segunda Division

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
8-10

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad Bolivar

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

CD Maipu vs Patronato Parana

Football · Primera Nacional

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Independiente Petrolero vs Bolivar

Football · Primera division

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-4

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Marseille vs Paris FC

Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.82 · −4.2% CLV
Score
2:3

2026-09-06 · first seen 47m before

Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
8-6

2026-09-06 · first seen 37m before

San Martin San Juan vs Ferrocarril Midland

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.90 · +8.6% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 32m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Germany (w) vs Mali (w)Basketball · Women. Germany. Group stage2026-09-07first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived—102:48WON
Rakuten Monkeys vs Wei Chuan DragonsBaseball · CPBL2026-09-07first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—0-2WON
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Washington NationalsBaseball · MLB2026-09-07first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived—5:3WON
Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia AnzoateguiFootball · Primera Division. Group stage2026-09-06first seen 26h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.50 · +8.7% CLV2-0WON
Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota TwinsBaseball · MLB2026-09-06first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—2-3WON
Ponte Preta vs Sao BernardoFootball · Serie B2026-09-06first seen 57m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.30 · −3.7% CLV0-2WON
Deportivo Tachira vs Rayo ZulianoFootball · Primera Division. Group stage2026-09-06first seen 57m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.25 · +5.9% CLV3-1WON
Botafogo RJ vs Palmeiras SPFootball · Serie A2026-09-06first seen 57m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.15 · +0.9% CLV0-0LOST
Isidro Metapan (r) vs INCA (r)Football · Reserve League2026-09-06first seen 27m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV0-1LOST
Delfin vs Universidad Catolica QuitoFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 27m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.00 · −13.0% CLV0-1WON
Monagas vs Metropolitanos FCFootball · Primera Division. Group stage2026-09-06first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 2.50 · −18.0% CLV0-1WON
Seattle Mariners vs AthleticsBaseball · MLB2026-09-06first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—2:9LOST
Chicago Red Stars (w) vs North Carolina Courage (w)Football · Women. NWSL2026-09-06first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV0-6WON
Huachipato vs Colo ColoFootball · Serie A2026-09-06first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.65 · +17.9% CLV0-0LOST
Gil Vicente vs Academico ViseuFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 1.90 · −20.8% CLV0-1LOST
Vojvodina Novi Sad vs ZemunFootball · Superleague2026-09-06first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.18 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Union Brescia vs Desenzano CalvinaFootball · Serie C. Group A2026-09-06first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.57 · +6.8% CLV1-0WON
Almeria vs CadizFootball · Segunda Division2026-09-06first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV3-2WON
Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis CardinalsBaseball · MLB2026-09-06first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—8-10WON
Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad BolivarFootball · Primera Nacional2026-09-06first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV3-1WON
CD Maipu vs Patronato ParanaFootball · Primera Nacional2026-09-06first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV0-0LOST
Independiente Petrolero vs BolivarFootball · Primera division2026-09-06first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV0-4WON
Marseille vs Paris FCFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/272026-09-06first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.82 · −4.2% CLV2:3LOST
Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB2026-09-06first seen 37m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—8-6LOST
San Martin San Juan vs Ferrocarril MidlandFootball · Primera Nacional2026-09-06first seen 32m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.90 · +8.6% CLV3-2WON

26–50 of 1927· 1165 won / 761 lost · −124.1u · −6.4% yield · of 3913 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.