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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3918

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3919

3918 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−209.9u

over 3918u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72855.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148162.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.9pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149570.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

815

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3918

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198868.5%−85.4u
Match winner193160.5%−124.5u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72967.2%−20.6u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210265.7%−4.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3919 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Etoile-Carouge

Football · Challenge League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.55 · −8.8% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-01 · first seen 43m before

Nyonnais vs Winterthur

Football · Challenge League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-01 · first seen 43m before

Frederikshavn vs Rodovre

Ice Hockey · Metal Ligaen

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.25 · +18.4% CLV
Score
5-1

2026-09-01 · first seen 43m before

Boluspor vs Keciorengucu Ankara

Football · League 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.48 · +4.2% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-01 · first seen 13m before

Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta Deportivo

Football · Serie A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-01 · first seen 1h before

Tigre vs Barracas Central

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.80 · −1.1% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-01 · first seen 15m before

Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
11-1

2026-08-31 · first seen 42m before

Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
17-3

2026-08-31 · first seen 42m before

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Academia Anzoategui

Football · Primera Division. Group stage

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.35 · −6.9% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-31 · first seen 32m before

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
—
Score
6-2

2026-08-31 · first seen 25h before

Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.13 · +2.7% CLV
Score
5-2

2026-08-31 · first seen 1h before

Benfica vs Estoril

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.19 · +8.2% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-31 · first seen 1h before

Braga vs Vitoria Guimaraes

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.70 · −4.5% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-31 · first seen 1h before

HNK Gorica vs Rijeka

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV
Score
4:0

2026-08-31 · first seen 59m before

Aston Villa vs Arsenal

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.53 · +2.0% CLV
Score
0:1

2026-08-31 · first seen 59m before

Dijon vs Saint Etienne

Football · Ligue 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.80 · +7.8% CLV
Score
2:3

2026-08-31 · first seen 44m before

Atalanta vs Bologna

Football · Serie A. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.90 · +3.8% CLV
Score
1:0

2026-08-31 · first seen 44m before

Besiktas vs Corum Belediyespor

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.43 · +2.1% CLV
Score
6-2

2026-08-31 · first seen 29m before

Racing Montevideo vs Albion Montevideo

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.80 · +5.9% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-31 · first seen 29m before

Amedspor vs Trabzonspor

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 1.97 · −5.3% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-31 · first seen 29m before

Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-31 · first seen 14m before

KI Klaksvik vs EB/Streymur

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.18 · +5.4% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-31 · first seen 3h before

Osasuna vs Getafe

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.25 · +4.7% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-31 · first seen 3h before

Lecce vs Roma

Football · Serie A. Season 26/27

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-4

2026-08-31 · first seen 2h before

Southport vs Hereford

Football · National league. North

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.60 · +6.1% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-31 · first seen 2h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Etoile-CarougeFootball · Challenge League2026-09-01first seen 43m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.55 · −8.8% CLV3-0WON
Nyonnais vs WinterthurFootball · Challenge League2026-09-01first seen 43m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV2-2LOST
Frederikshavn vs RodovreIce Hockey · Metal Ligaen2026-09-01first seen 43m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.25 · +18.4% CLV5-1WON
Boluspor vs Keciorengucu AnkaraFootball · League 12026-09-01first seen 13m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.48 · +4.2% CLV0-2WON
Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta DeportivoFootball · Serie A2026-09-01first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Tigre vs Barracas CentralFootball · Premier League2026-09-01first seen 15m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.80 · −1.1% CLV0-0LOST
Minnesota Twins vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB2026-08-31first seen 42m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—11-1LOST
Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee BrewersBaseball · MLB2026-08-31first seen 42m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—17-3LOST
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Academia AnzoateguiFootball · Primera Division. Group stage2026-08-31first seen 32m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.35 · −6.9% CLV3-0WON
Washington Nationals vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB2026-08-31first seen 25h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived—6-2WON
Barcelona vs Rayo VallecanoFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-08-31first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.13 · +2.7% CLV5-2WON
Benfica vs EstorilFootball · Premier League2026-08-31first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.19 · +8.2% CLV2-1WON
Braga vs Vitoria GuimaraesFootball · Premier League2026-08-31first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.70 · −4.5% CLV1-0WON
HNK Gorica vs RijekaFootball · Premier League2026-08-31first seen 59m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV4:0LOST
Aston Villa vs ArsenalFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-31first seen 59m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.53 · +2.0% CLV0:1WON
Dijon vs Saint EtienneFootball · Ligue 22026-08-31first seen 44m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.80 · +7.8% CLV2:3WON
Atalanta vs BolognaFootball · Serie A. Season 26/272026-08-31first seen 44m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.90 · +3.8% CLV1:0WON
Besiktas vs Corum BelediyesporFootball · Superleague2026-08-31first seen 29m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.43 · +2.1% CLV6-2WON
Racing Montevideo vs Albion MontevideoFootball · Premier League2026-08-31first seen 29m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.80 · +5.9% CLV1-0WON
Amedspor vs TrabzonsporFootball · Superleague2026-08-31first seen 29m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 1.97 · −5.3% CLV2-1LOST
Arda Kardzhali vs Botev VratsaFootball · League 12026-08-31first seen 14m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV2-0WON
KI Klaksvik vs EB/StreymurFootball · Premier League2026-08-31first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.18 · +5.4% CLV3-0WON
Osasuna vs GetafeFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-08-31first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.25 · +4.7% CLV1-0WON
Lecce vs RomaFootball · Serie A. Season 26/272026-08-31first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV0-4WON
Southport vs HerefordFootball · National league. North2026-08-31first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.60 · +6.1% CLV0-1WON

451–475 of 1931· 1167 won / 763 lost · −124.5u · −6.4% yield · of 3919 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.