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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=6218

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

6222

6218 graded · 4 void

Win rate

63.3%

95% CI 62%–65%

Profit

−421.6u

over 6218u staked

Yield

−6.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 45%3743.2%29%–59%29%–59%−1.7pp
50–60%avg claim 56%120155.5%53%–58%53%–58%−0.3pp
60–70%avg claim 66%229561.0%59%–63%59%–63%−5.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%232568.5%67%–70%67%–70%−6.5pp
80–90%avg claim 80%35072.3%67%–77%67%–77%−8.0pp
90–100%avg claim 91%9———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

3115

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 6218

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner325058.9%−278.6u
Double chance297268.2%−143.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League109465.5%−58.8u
League 151964.7%−34.5u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page30762.5%+42.9u
League 222558.7%−33.7u
Division 117159.6%−24.9u
Division 213764.2%−8.8u
Serie B13561.5%−11.2u
Championship11862.7%−11.1u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page10164.4%−5.4u
Serie A9552.6%−20.5u
National league8754.0%−18.8u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Herning Blue Fox vs Sonderjyske

Ice Hockey · Metal Ligaen

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19derived
Feed close
1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.20 · +5.3% CLV
Score
5-0

2026-09-18 · first seen 56m before

Aalborg vs Frederikshavn

Ice Hockey · Metal Ligaen

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV
Score
2-4

2026-09-18 · first seen 56m before

TWK Innsbruck vs Milano HC

Ice Hockey · ICE Hockey League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67derived
Feed close
2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.25 · −11.8% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-09-18 · first seen 41m before

Red Bull Salzburg vs Klagenfurt

Ice Hockey · ICE Hockey League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived
Feed close
1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 1.92 · −2.5% CLV
Score
1-7

2026-09-18 · first seen 41m before

Esbjerg vs Odense

Ice Hockey · Metal Ligaen

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.33+133133/1001.33+1.33-0.75derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.78 · −1.1% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-09-18 · first seen 26m before

Leksands vs Södertälje SK

Ice Hockey · Allsvenskan

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.10 · +10.5% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-18 · first seen 26m before

Omonia May 29 vs AEK Larnaca

Football · Division 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.45 · +9.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-18 · first seen 26m before

Nybro Vikings IF vs Vimmerby

Ice Hockey · Allsvenskan

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV
Score
7-6

2026-09-18 · first seen 26m before

Slavia Karlovy Vary vs Banik Sokolov

Football · League 4

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54from 2.85 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-18 · first seen 26m before

Malmo (w) vs Djurgardens (w)

Football · Women. Major League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.35 · −3.6% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-18 · first seen 26m before

Sarpsborg 08 vs KFUM Oslo

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.60 · +1.9% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-09-18 · first seen 26m before

Vesteros vs Almtuna

Ice Hockey · Allsvenskan

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.85 · −2.6% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-09-18 · first seen 26m before

Hluboka vs ZVVZ Milevsko

Football · League 4

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-18 · first seen 26m before

Pafos vs AEL Limassol

Football · Division 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.40 · −3.4% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-18 · first seen 26m before

Buducnost Podgorica vs Petrovac

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.18 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-09-18 · first seen 26m before

SC Gjilani vs Prishtina

Football · Superliga

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.30 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-18 · first seen 26m before

Espanyol vs Elche

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.83 · +2.8% CLV
Score
1:3

2026-09-18 · first seen 54m before

Brentford vs Chelsea

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.40 · −7.7% CLV
Score
3:0

2026-09-18 · first seen 54m before

Yeovil Town vs Solihull Moors

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 1.90 · −8.2% CLV
Score
4:1

2026-09-18 · first seen 39m before

Nykobing vs HIK Hellerup

Football · 2 division

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.30 · +6.6% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-18 · first seen 26m before

BIK Karlskoga vs Kalmar

Ice Hockey · Allsvenskan

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.00 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-4

2026-09-18 · first seen 26m before

FSV Frankfurt vs Stuttgarter Kickers

Football · Regional League. South-West

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 3.05 · +32.6% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-18 · first seen 26m before

Ostersunds IK vs Mora

Ice Hockey · Allsvenskan

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.22+12261/501.22+1.22-0.82derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV
Score
5-4

2026-09-18 · first seen 26m before

Dornbirn vs Intemann Lauterach

Football · Regional League. West

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.19 · −2.5% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-18 · first seen 4h before

HK Preshov vs Poprad

Ice Hockey · Extra-liga

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.22+12261/501.22+1.22-0.82derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV
Score
1-4

2026-09-18 · first seen 4h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Herning Blue Fox vs SonderjyskeIce Hockey · Metal Ligaen2026-09-18first seen 56m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19derived1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.20 · +5.3% CLV5-0WON
Aalborg vs FrederikshavnIce Hockey · Metal Ligaen2026-09-18first seen 56m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV2-4LOST
TWK Innsbruck vs Milano HCIce Hockey · ICE Hockey League2026-09-18first seen 41m beforeHomeMatch Winner2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67derived2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.25 · −11.8% CLV1-3LOST
Red Bull Salzburg vs KlagenfurtIce Hockey · ICE Hockey League2026-09-18first seen 41m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 1.92 · −2.5% CLV1-7LOST
Esbjerg vs OdenseIce Hockey · Metal Ligaen2026-09-18first seen 26m beforeHomeMatch Winner2.33+133133/1001.33+1.33-0.75derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.78 · −1.1% CLV4-0WON
Leksands vs Södertälje SKIce Hockey · Allsvenskan2026-09-18first seen 26m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.10 · +10.5% CLV2-1WON
Omonia May 29 vs AEK LarnacaFootball · Division 12026-09-18first seen 26m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.45 · +9.0% CLV1-2WON
Nybro Vikings IF vs VimmerbyIce Hockey · Allsvenskan2026-09-18first seen 26m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV7-6WON
Slavia Karlovy Vary vs Banik SokolovFootball · League 42026-09-18first seen 26m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54from 2.85 · 0.0% CLV2-0LOST
Malmo (w) vs Djurgardens (w)Football · Women. Major League2026-09-18first seen 26m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.35 · −3.6% CLV3-0WON
Sarpsborg 08 vs KFUM OsloFootball · Superleague2026-09-18first seen 26m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.60 · +1.9% CLV1-3LOST
Vesteros vs AlmtunaIce Hockey · Allsvenskan2026-09-18first seen 26m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.85 · −2.6% CLV2-3LOST
Hluboka vs ZVVZ MilevskoFootball · League 42026-09-18first seen 26m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV2-2LOST
Pafos vs AEL LimassolFootball · Division 12026-09-18first seen 26m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.40 · −3.4% CLV0-2LOST
Buducnost Podgorica vs PetrovacFootball · League 12026-09-18first seen 26m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.18 · 0.0% CLV4-1WON
SC Gjilani vs PrishtinaFootball · Superliga2026-09-18first seen 26m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.30 · 0.0% CLV1-2WON
Espanyol vs ElcheFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-09-18first seen 54m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.83 · +2.8% CLV1:3LOST
Brentford vs ChelseaFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-09-18first seen 54m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.40 · −7.7% CLV3:0LOST
Yeovil Town vs Solihull MoorsFootball · National league2026-09-18first seen 39m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 1.90 · −8.2% CLV4:1WON
Nykobing vs HIK HellerupFootball · 2 division2026-09-18first seen 26m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.30 · +6.6% CLV3-0WON
BIK Karlskoga vs KalmarIce Hockey · Allsvenskan2026-09-18first seen 26m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.00 · 0.0% CLV3-4LOST
FSV Frankfurt vs Stuttgarter KickersFootball · Regional League. South-West2026-09-18first seen 26m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 3.05 · +32.6% CLV0-1LOST
Ostersunds IK vs MoraIce Hockey · Allsvenskan2026-09-18first seen 26m beforeHomeMatch Winner2.22+12261/501.22+1.22-0.82derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV5-4WON
Dornbirn vs Intemann LauterachFootball · Regional League. West2026-09-18first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.19 · −2.5% CLV1-0WON
HK Preshov vs PopradIce Hockey · Extra-liga2026-09-18first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner2.22+12261/501.22+1.22-0.82derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV1-4WON

451–475 of 3250· 1912 won / 1334 lost · −278.6u · −8.6% yield · of 6222 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.