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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7151

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7156

7151 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 62%–64%

Profit

−517.0u

over 7151u staked

Yield

−7.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

W2

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256560.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258668.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1485.7%60%–96%60%–96%−5.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+8pp

21

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7151

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner397158.5%−345.4u
Double chance318567.8%−171.5u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7156 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Atletico Rojiblanco vs Deportivo Santo Domingo

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-06 · first seen 5h before

Tre Fiori vs KF Drita

Football · Third qualifying round. First leg

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-08-06 · first seen 4h before

Partizan Beograd vs Tobol Kostanay

Football · Third qualifying round. First leg

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-06 · first seen 4h before

Benfica vs Hearts

Football · Third qualifying round. First leg

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
6-1

2026-08-06 · first seen 4h before

Hibernian vs Shkendija

Football · Third qualifying round. First leg

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-06 · first seen 4h before

Rijeka vs Ilves Tampere

Football · Third qualifying round. First leg

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-06 · first seen 3h before

Bohemians Dublin vs Midtjylland

Football · Third qualifying round. First leg

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-06 · first seen 3h before

Lugano vs NSI Runavik

Football · Third qualifying round. First leg

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-06 · first seen 3h before

Braga vs Dinamo Minsk

Football · Third qualifying round. First leg

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-06 · first seen 3h before

Valur Reykjavik vs Nordsjaelland

Football · Third qualifying round. First leg

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-06 · first seen 3h before

Twente vs DAK 1904 Dunajska Streda

Football · Third qualifying round. First leg

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
6-0

2026-08-06 · first seen 3h before

Ajax vs Shelbourne

Football · Third qualifying round. First leg

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-06 · first seen 3h before

Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik

Football · Third qualifying round. First leg

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-06 · first seen 3h before

PAOK vs Anderlecht

Football · Third qualifying round. First leg

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-06 · first seen 2h before

Lincoln Red Imps vs Omonia Nicosia

Football · Third qualifying round. First leg

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-06 · first seen 2h before

Lech Poznan vs KI Klaksvik

Football · Third qualifying round. First leg

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-06 · first seen 2h before

Debreceni VSC vs Copenhagen

Football · Third qualifying round. First leg

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-06 · first seen 2h before

Paide Linnameeskond vs Rapid Vienna

Football · Third qualifying round. First leg

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-08-06 · first seen 1h before

Pakhtakor vs Buxoro

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-06 · first seen 4m before

Muras United vs Asia Talas

Football · Premier league

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-06 · first seen 47m before

Shakhtar Karaganda vs Kaspiy Aktau 2

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-06 · first seen 3h before

Academy Ontustik vs Khan Tengry

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-06 · first seen 2h before

Elimai 2 vs Kairat 2

Football · League 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-06 · first seen 2h before

Rockingham Flames vs Perry Lakes Hawks

Basketball · NBL 1. West. Play-offs

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
88-75

2026-08-06 · first seen 30m before

Las Vegas Lights vs Oakland Roots

Football · USL

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-06 · first seen 3h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Atletico Rojiblanco vs Deportivo Santo DomingoFootball · Division 22026-08-06first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—1-0WON
Tre Fiori vs KF DritaFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg2026-08-06first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-4WON
Partizan Beograd vs Tobol KostanayFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg2026-08-06first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—3-0WON
Benfica vs HeartsFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg2026-08-06first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—6-1WON
Hibernian vs ShkendijaFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg2026-08-06first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—2-1WON
Rijeka vs Ilves TampereFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg2026-08-06first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—1-0WON
Bohemians Dublin vs MidtjyllandFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg2026-08-06first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—0-2WON
Lugano vs NSI RunavikFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg2026-08-06first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—2-0WON
Braga vs Dinamo MinskFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg2026-08-06first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—1-0WON
Valur Reykjavik vs NordsjaellandFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg2026-08-06first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—0-2WON
Twente vs DAK 1904 Dunajska StredaFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg2026-08-06first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—6-0WON
Ajax vs ShelbourneFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg2026-08-06first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—3-1WON
Thun vs Vikingur ReykjavikFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg2026-08-06first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived—3-0WON
PAOK vs AnderlechtFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg2026-08-06first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived—0-1LOST
Lincoln Red Imps vs Omonia NicosiaFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg2026-08-06first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived—1-1LOST
Lech Poznan vs KI KlaksvikFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg2026-08-06first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—1-0WON
Debreceni VSC vs CopenhagenFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg2026-08-06first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived—0-3WON
Paide Linnameeskond vs Rapid ViennaFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg2026-08-06first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—1-4WON
Pakhtakor vs BuxoroFootball · Superleague2026-08-06first seen 4m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived—2-2LOST
Muras United vs Asia TalasFootball · Premier league2026-08-06first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived—1-1LOST
Shakhtar Karaganda vs Kaspiy Aktau 2Football · League 12026-08-06first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2-3LOST
Academy Ontustik vs Khan TengryFootball · League 12026-08-06first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—3-1WON
Elimai 2 vs Kairat 2Football · League 12026-08-06first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-0LOST
Rockingham Flames vs Perry Lakes HawksBasketball · NBL 1. West. Play-offs2026-08-06first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—88-75WON
Las Vegas Lights vs Oakland RootsFootball · USL2026-08-06first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived—0-0LOST

3926–3950 of 3971· 2321 won / 1645 lost · −345.4u · −8.7% yield · of 7156 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.