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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7151

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7156

7151 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 62%–64%

Profit

−517.0u

over 7151u staked

Yield

−7.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

W2

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256560.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258668.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1485.7%60%–96%60%–96%−5.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+8pp

21

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7151

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner397158.5%−345.4u
Double chance318567.8%−171.5u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7156 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Utsiktens vs Hassleholms IF

Football · Division 2. South

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.58 · −12.2% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

Bytca vs Inter Bratislava

Football · League 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.55 · −6.1% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.45 · +1.4% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

Glentoran vs Limavady United

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.23 · −1.6% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Central Espanol vs Atletico Progreso

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Dunfermline vs Ayr United

Football · Championship

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.02 · +6.3% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Morecambe vs Spennymoor Town

Football · National league. North

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.62 · −11.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Skovde AIK vs Lunds BK

Football · Division 2. South

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.60 · −8.6% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Spartans Edinburgh vs Edinburgh City

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Braintree Town vs Tonbridge Angels

Football · National League. South

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 1.90 · −24.0% CLV
Score
0-4

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Viking vs Sarpsborg 08

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Boreham Wood vs Tamworth

Football · National league

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.37 · −6.8% CLV
Score
3-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Njardvik vs IF Vestri

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.47 · +6.5% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.55 · +8.4% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Carlisle United vs Worthing

Football · National league

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.53 · +5.5% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Altrincham vs Southend United

Football · National league

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.63 · −7.9% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Folkestone Invicta vs Walton & Hersham

Football · National League. South

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.80 · −2.7% CLV
Score
5-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Harrogate Town vs Solihull Moors

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV
Score
5-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Ural vs Ufa

Football · League 1. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Forest Green Rovers vs Halifax Town

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Farnham Town vs Totton

Football · National League. South

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.92 · −0.5% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Stranraer vs Annan Athletic

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 2.05 · +13.9% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Linfield vs Ballymena United

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.67 · +11.3% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Utsiktens vs Hassleholms IFFootball · Division 2. South2026-08-08first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.58 · −12.2% CLV0-2WON
Bytca vs Inter BratislavaFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.55 · −6.1% CLV0-3WON
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron TolyattiFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-08first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV0-0LOST
NEC Nijmegen vs TelstarFootball · Premier League2026-08-08first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.45 · +1.4% CLV1-2LOST
Glentoran vs Limavady UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.23 · −1.6% CLV2-0WON
Central Espanol vs Atletico ProgresoFootball · Premier League2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.45 · 0.0% CLV1-0WON
Dunfermline vs Ayr UnitedFootball · Championship2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.02 · +6.3% CLV1-1LOST
Morecambe vs Spennymoor TownFootball · National league. North2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.62 · −11.0% CLV1-1LOST
Skovde AIK vs Lunds BKFootball · Division 2. South2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.60 · −8.6% CLV1-1LOST
Spartans Edinburgh vs Edinburgh CityFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV2-2LOST
Braintree Town vs Tonbridge AngelsFootball · National League. South2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 1.90 · −24.0% CLV0-4LOST
Viking vs Sarpsborg 08Football · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV2-1WON
Boreham Wood vs TamworthFootball · National league2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.37 · −6.8% CLV3-3LOST
Njardvik vs IF VestriFootball · Division 12026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.47 · +6.5% CLV3-1WON
Dungannon Swifts vs ColeraineFootball · Premier League2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.55 · +8.4% CLV1-3WON
Carlisle United vs WorthingFootball · National league2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.53 · +5.5% CLV2-3LOST
Hamilton Academical vs Alloa AthleticFootball · League 12026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV1-0WON
Altrincham vs Southend UnitedFootball · National league2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.63 · −7.9% CLV1-3WON
Folkestone Invicta vs Walton & HershamFootball · National League. South2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.80 · −2.7% CLV5-1WON
Harrogate Town vs Solihull MoorsFootball · National league2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV5-2WON
Ural vs UfaFootball · League 1. Season 26/272026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV3-0WON
Forest Green Rovers vs Halifax TownFootball · National league2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV3-2WON
Farnham Town vs TottonFootball · National League. South2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.92 · −0.5% CLV0-1LOST
Stranraer vs Annan AthleticFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 2.05 · +13.9% CLV0-1LOST
Linfield vs Ballymena UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.67 · +11.3% CLV0-3LOST

3801–3825 of 3971· 2321 won / 1645 lost · −345.4u · −8.7% yield · of 7156 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.