Vasalund vs Stockholm Internazionale
Football · Division 2. North
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.75 · +6.1% CLV
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7156
7151 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−517.0u
over 7151u staked
Yield
−7.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2565 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2586 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 14 | 85.7%60%–96% | −5.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
21
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3971 | 58.5% | −345.4u |
| Double chance | 3185 | 67.8% | −171.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7156 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasalund vs Stockholm InternazionaleFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.75 · +6.1% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Umea vs AFC EskilstunaFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.90 · +11.5% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Naestved BK vs HIK HellerupFootball · 2 division | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Helmond Sport vs De GraafschapFootball · Division 1 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 2.05 · +4.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Sparta Rotterdam vs FeyenoordFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.65 · +5.1% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Sigma 2 Olomouc vs Slovacko 2Football · League 3 | first seen 36m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.38 · +0.7% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Perth Thunder vs Melbourne MustangsIce Hockey · AIHL League | first seen 21m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 2.05 · +10.8% CLV | 0-6 | WON |
| Adelaide Adrenaline vs Brisbane LightningIce Hockey · AIHL League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.27+127127/1001.27+1.27-0.79derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.25 · +2.3% CLV | 6-7 | LOST |
| Sydney Bears vs Central Coast RhinosIce Hockey · AIHL League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Brisbane Strikers vs Redlands UnitedFootball · Queensland. Premier League | first seen 10h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 5.20+42021/54.20+4.20-0.24from 4.90 · −5.8% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Newcastle North Stars vs Sydney Ice DogsIce Hockey · AIHL League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
| Wollongong Wolves vs Sydney UnitedFootball · New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.65 · −1.2% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Canberra Juventus vs Canberra White EaglesFootball · Capital Territory. National Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Charlestown Azzurri vs FC MaitlandFootball · North New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.57 · −7.6% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Southland Sharks vs Wellington SaintsBasketball · NBL. Final | first seen 15m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | — | 104-101 | LOST |
| Canberra Brave vs Melbourne IceIce Hockey · AIHL League | first seen 15m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.55 · +3.3% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
| Broadmeadow Magic vs KahibahFootball · North New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 15m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.30 · +1.6% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Denver Summit (w) vs Utah Royals (w)Football · Women. NWSL | first seen 6h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.65 · +6.0% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Monterey Bay vs New Mexico UnitedFootball · USL | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.70 · +3.8% CLV | 2-5 | WON |
| Real Espana vs Deportivo GenesisFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.62 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Athletic Boise vs Forward MadisonFootball · USL. League 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 4.60+36018/53.60+3.60-0.28from 3.95 · −14.1% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Deportivo Merlo vs Sportivo ItalianoFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 3.85+28557/202.85+2.85-0.35from 2.65 · −31.2% CLV | 0-4 | LOST |
| Botafogo SP vs America MineiroFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.77 · −0.6% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Cobreloa vs IquiqueFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.70 · −2.9% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Fortaleza Zipaquira vs Cucuta DeportivoFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.60 · −9.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
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