Bursaspor vs Istanbulspor
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
- Feed close
- 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 4-0
· first seen 24m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3917
3916 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−209.2u
over 3916u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 728 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
813
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1931 | 60.5% | −124.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3917 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor vs IstanbulsporFootball · League 1 | first seen 24m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| TBV Lemgo Lippe vs HSG WetzlarHandball · Bundesliga | first seen 24m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.12 · −1.8% CLV | 31-27 | WON |
| Al Ahly Cairo vs SmouhaFootball · Premier League | first seen 24m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.37 · −2.1% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Mjolby vs DjurgardensFootball · Premier League | first seen 24m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.85 · +14.2% CLV | 3:0 | LOST |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco GiantsBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 5-2 | WON |
| Neom vs Al- Khaleej SaihatFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Graz vs Fribourg-GotteronIce Hockey · Champions League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.57 · +10.6% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Alashkert vs VanFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.09-11119/1000.09-11.11+0.09from 1.16 · +6.4% CLV | 0-4 | LOST |
| Banga Gargzdai vs PanevezysFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.77 · −6.8% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Viimsi vs TallinnFootball · League 2 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.25 · −3.8% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Skoda Plzen vs RogleIce Hockey · Champions League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67derived | 2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.05 · +1.5% CLV | 4-0 | LOST |
| ES Setif vs ES Ben AknounFootball · League 1 | first seen 6d 20h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.72 · +14.7% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Isloch Minsk vs BATE BorisovFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.68 · +8.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Chunichi Dragons vs Hiroshima Toyo CarpBaseball · NPB | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 2-5 | LOST |
| NC Dinos vs KIA TigersBaseball · KBO | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 3:2 | WON |
| KT Wiz Suwon vs Hanwha EaglesBaseball · KBO | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | — | 3-11 | LOST |
| Kiwoom Heroes vs SSG LandersBaseball · KBO | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Doosan Bears vs LG TwinsBaseball · KBO | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 1:3 | WON |
| Samsung Lions vs Lotte GiantsBaseball · KBO | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 8:5 | WON |
| Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hanshin TigersBaseball · NPB | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 6:2 | LOST |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis CardinalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 6-8 | LOST |
| Los Angeles Angels vs New York YankeesBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 3-6 | WON |
| Sultanes Monterrey vs Toros de TijuanaBaseball · LMB. Semi-finals. Best of 7 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 1-10 | WON |
| Pericos de Puebla vs Olmecas de TabascoBaseball · LMB. Semi-finals. Best of 7 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 5-6 | LOST |
| Houston Astros vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 11m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.