Rijnsburgse Boys vs Quick Boys
Football · Division 2
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.65 · +1.9% CLV
- Score
- 3-1
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijnsburgse Boys vs Quick BoysFootball · Division 2 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.65 · +1.9% CLV | 3-1 | LOST |
| Burton Albion vs Mansfield TownFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.25 · 0.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Stoke City vs Sheffield UnitedFootball · Championship | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.35 · +2.2% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Young Lions vs Geylang InternationalFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 1-5 | WON |
| Millwall vs West HamFootball · Championship | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.73 · +3.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Balestier Khalsa vs Tanjong Pagar UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.52 · 0.0% CLV | 3-4 | LOST |
| Shenzhen Juniors vs Changchun YataiFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Slovacko U19 vs Mlada Boleslav U19Football · U19. Youth league | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.02 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Union Plaani vs ReipasFootball · League 3. Group A | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.40 · −2.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Crystal Palace U21 vs Blackburn Rovers U21Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Valmiera vs Riga MarinersFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV | 2-4 | LOST |
| Mjondalen IF vs SotraFootball · Division 2. Group 1 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 2.17 · 0.0% CLV | 3-1 | LOST |
| Karlsruher vs NurnbergFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.20 · +2.3% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Honefoss (w) vs Roa (w)Football · Women. Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.10 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| AIK (w) vs Hammarby (w)Football · Women. Major League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.28 · +2.4% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Tokyo vs Nagoya GrampusFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.70 · +8.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| FC Kharkiv vs Bukovyna ChernivtsiFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.70 · −8.1% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Anyang vs Ulsan HyundaiFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.00 · +5.3% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto SangaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.85 · +1.1% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Everton vs Ipswich TownFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.80 · +1.1% CLV | 1:0 | WON |
| Wrexham vs SouthamptonFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.30 · −8.0% CLV | 4:2 | LOST |
| Brighton vs ArsenalFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.70 · +1.2% CLV | 3:0 | LOST |
| Oriental Lisboa U19 vs Santa Clara U19Football · U19. National league. Division 1 | first seen 9h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Urawa Red Diamonds vs Tokyo VerdyFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.78 · −6.3% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.85 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
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