TipzyTipzy
PróximosConsensoRegistrosLigasBlog
TipzyTipzy

Verificação independente de tipsters. Liquidamos cada palpite publicado contra o resultado final e divulgamos o registro.

Explorar

Consensos futurosQuando os palpiteiros concordamRegistros de tipstersLigasMetodologiaEstudo de palpites gratuitosGlossário de apostasCasas de apostasBlog

Tipsters

Como medimos vocêSolicitar uma correção

Empresa

Sobre a TipzyContatoJogo responsávelTermos de ServiçoPolítica de Privacidade

+18 · Conformidade regulatória

As apostas são restritas a maiores de idade e podem causar dependência. A idade mínima legal e as regras que se aplicam a você dependem de onde mora — verifique a legislação local antes de apostar. Jogue com responsabilidade.

Gambling Therapy Gamblers Anonymous

© 2026 Tipzy. Todos os direitos reservados.

18+
HomeRecordsPicksBlog
  1. Home
  2. Tipster records
  3. Vitibet Algorithm

Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7151

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7156

7151 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 62%–64%

Profit

−517.0u

over 7151u staked

Yield

−7.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

W2

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256560.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258668.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1485.7%60%–96%60%–96%−5.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+8pp

21

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7151

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner397158.5%−345.4u
Double chance318567.8%−171.5u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7156 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Motherwell vs Falkirk

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.77 · −1.7% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

Charleroi vs Leuven

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.75 · +1.7% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

Hearts vs Dundee United

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.65 · −4.1% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

Baranovichi vs BATE Borisov

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54from 2.95 · +3.5% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 12m before

Paksi vs Budapest Honved

Football · National League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.80 · −10.0% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

KPV Kokkola vs VJS Vantaa

Football · League 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.35 · −1.5% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 47m before

River Plate Montevideo vs Sportivo Huracan

Football · Segunda Division

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.35 · +2.2% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 47m before

Pyunik Yerevan vs Van

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.18 · +12.4% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 47m before

Slavia Prague vs Pardubice

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 47m before

Benjamin Aceval vs 3 de Noviembre

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.55 · −11.4% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 47m before

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 17m before

Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi vs Shakhtar Donetsk

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.33 · +2.3% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 17m before

Kilmarnock vs Celtic

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV
Score
1-5

2026-08-09 · first seen 17m before

Malmo FF vs Degerfors

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

KuPS Kuopio vs Turun Palloseura

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.47 · −5.2% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

Vejle vs Hillerod

Football · 1st Division

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV
Score
5-4

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

Pitea (w) vs Hacken (w)

Football · Women. Major League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.27 · −4.5% CLV
Score
1-4

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte

Football · Regional League. West

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.27 · +1.6% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

Hammarby vs Hacken

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

Hoffenheim 2 vs Hansa Rostock

Football · Bundesliga 3

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.65 · +6.5% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-08-09 · first seen 3h before

Nurnberg vs Dynamo Dresden

Football · Bundesliga 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.20 · −10.2% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 3h before

Energie Cottbus vs Hannover 96

Football · Bundesliga 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.10 · −2.3% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 3h before

Dynamo Moscow vs Dynamo Makhachkala

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.67 · +7.7% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 3h before

Gent vs Mechelen

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.93 · +3.2% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 3h before

St. Pauli vs Greuther Furth

Football · Bundesliga 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.80 · +9.1% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 3h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Motherwell vs FalkirkFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 27m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.77 · −1.7% CLV0-0LOST
Charleroi vs LeuvenFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 27m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.75 · +1.7% CLV3-1WON
Hearts vs Dundee UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 27m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.65 · −4.1% CLV4-0WON
Baranovichi vs BATE BorisovFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 12m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54from 2.95 · +3.5% CLV2-2LOST
Paksi vs Budapest HonvedFootball · National League2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.80 · −10.0% CLV2-2LOST
KPV Kokkola vs VJS VantaaFootball · League 22026-08-09first seen 47m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.35 · −1.5% CLV1-2WON
River Plate Montevideo vs Sportivo HuracanFootball · Segunda Division2026-08-09first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.35 · +2.2% CLV2-0WON
Pyunik Yerevan vs VanFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.18 · +12.4% CLV3-0WON
Slavia Prague vs PardubiceFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Benjamin Aceval vs 3 de NoviembreFootball · Division 22026-08-09first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.55 · −11.4% CLV2-1WON
PEC Zwolle vs AjaxFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 17m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV0-2WON
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi vs Shakhtar DonetskFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 17m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.33 · +2.3% CLV0-2WON
Kilmarnock vs CelticFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 17m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV1-5WON
Malmo FF vs DegerforsFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV1-2LOST
KuPS Kuopio vs Turun PalloseuraFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.47 · −5.2% CLV1-1LOST
Vejle vs HillerodFootball · 1st Division2026-08-09first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV5-4WON
Pitea (w) vs Hacken (w)Football · Women. Major League2026-08-09first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.27 · −4.5% CLV1-4WON
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Sportfreunde LotteFootball · Regional League. West2026-08-09first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.27 · +1.6% CLV0-0LOST
Hammarby vs HackenFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV3-0WON
Hoffenheim 2 vs Hansa RostockFootball · Bundesliga 32026-08-09first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.65 · +6.5% CLV2-3WON
Nurnberg vs Dynamo DresdenFootball · Bundesliga 22026-08-09first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.20 · −10.2% CLV3-0WON
Energie Cottbus vs Hannover 96Football · Bundesliga 22026-08-09first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.10 · −2.3% CLV3-1LOST
Dynamo Moscow vs Dynamo MakhachkalaFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-09first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.67 · +7.7% CLV3-1WON
Gent vs MechelenFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.93 · +3.2% CLV2-0WON
St. Pauli vs Greuther FurthFootball · Bundesliga 22026-08-09first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.80 · +9.1% CLV1-1LOST

3701–3725 of 3971· 2321 won / 1645 lost · −345.4u · −8.7% yield · of 7156 total

Previous149 / 159Next

Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.