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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7151

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7156

7151 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 62%–64%

Profit

−517.0u

over 7151u staked

Yield

−7.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

W2

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256560.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258668.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1485.7%60%–96%60%–96%−5.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+8pp

21

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7151

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner397158.5%−345.4u
Double chance318567.8%−171.5u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7156 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Anderlecht vs La Louviere

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 2h before

Borac Banja Luka vs Velez Mostar

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.33 · −1.5% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 2h before

Deportes Concepcion vs Universidad Concepcion

Football · Serie A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.83 · −3.7% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 2h before

Horsens vs Brondby

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.72 · +9.6% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 2h before

Volsungur vs HK Kopavogur

Football · Division 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.53 · −5.6% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 2h before

Levadia Tallinn vs Nomme United

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.16 · +4.5% CLV
Score
5-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 2h before

Debreceni VSC vs Nyiregyhaza

Football · National League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.25 · −6.3% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Ried vs Rapid Vienna

Football · Bundesliga

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 2.30 · +6.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Arlanda vs Pitea

Football · Division 2. North

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.38 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Rangers vs Hibernian

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.53 · +9.3% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Stromsgodset vs Egersunds

Football · Division 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.38 · −1.4% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Shirak Gyumri vs Noah

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.27 · +6.7% CLV
Score
3-4

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Zilina vs Skalica

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Hradec Kralove vs Banik Ostrava

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.25 · +3.2% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

FC Riga vs Ogre United

Football · Virsliga

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.04 · −1.0% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Jablonec vs Slovacko

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.65 · −5.7% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Veres Rivne vs Dynamo Kiev

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.25 · −3.8% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

SK Zapy vs Neratovice-Byskovice

Football · League 3

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.45 · +11.5% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Hamarkameratene vs Aalesund

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.05 · +1.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Heerenveen vs Twente

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.20 · +8.4% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Sion vs Vaduz

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.45 · −5.2% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 57m before

Basel vs Thun

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 1.75 · −16.7% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 57m before

Zulte Waregem vs Genk

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 2.15 · +1.4% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

Zenit SPb vs Rodina Moscow

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.14 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

FC Siauliai vs Dziugas Telsiai

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.05 · −6.8% CLV
Score
3-4

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Anderlecht vs La LouviereFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV2-1WON
Borac Banja Luka vs Velez MostarFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.33 · −1.5% CLV3-1WON
Deportes Concepcion vs Universidad ConcepcionFootball · Serie A2026-08-09first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.83 · −3.7% CLV1-0WON
Horsens vs BrondbyFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.72 · +9.6% CLV0-2WON
Volsungur vs HK KopavogurFootball · Division 12026-08-09first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.53 · −5.6% CLV3-2LOST
Levadia Tallinn vs Nomme UnitedFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.16 · +4.5% CLV5-0WON
Debreceni VSC vs NyiregyhazaFootball · National League2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.25 · −6.3% CLV1-0WON
Ried vs Rapid ViennaFootball · Bundesliga2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 2.30 · +6.0% CLV1-2WON
Arlanda vs PiteaFootball · Division 2. North2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.38 · 0.0% CLV0-0LOST
Rangers vs HibernianFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.53 · +9.3% CLV1-2LOST
Stromsgodset vs EgersundsFootball · Division 12026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.38 · −1.4% CLV0-2LOST
Shirak Gyumri vs NoahFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.27 · +6.7% CLV3-4WON
Zilina vs SkalicaFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV1-3LOST
Hradec Kralove vs Banik OstravaFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.25 · +3.2% CLV2-1WON
FC Riga vs Ogre UnitedFootball · Virsliga2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.04 · −1.0% CLV4-1WON
Jablonec vs SlovackoFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.65 · −5.7% CLV1-0WON
Veres Rivne vs Dynamo KievFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.25 · −3.8% CLV1-2WON
SK Zapy vs Neratovice-ByskoviceFootball · League 32026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.45 · +11.5% CLV3-1WON
Hamarkameratene vs AalesundFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.05 · +1.0% CLV1-1LOST
Heerenveen vs TwenteFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.20 · +8.4% CLV1-0LOST
Sion vs VaduzFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 57m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.45 · −5.2% CLV3-2WON
Basel vs ThunFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 57m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 1.75 · −16.7% CLV4-2WON
Zulte Waregem vs GenkFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 27m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 2.15 · +1.4% CLV2-1LOST
Zenit SPb vs Rodina MoscowFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-09first seen 27m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.14 · 0.0% CLV1-2LOST
FC Siauliai vs Dziugas TelsiaiFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 27m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.05 · −6.8% CLV3-4WON

3676–3700 of 3971· 2321 won / 1645 lost · −345.4u · −8.7% yield · of 7156 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.