Tromso vs CFR Cluj
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
- Feed close
- 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.40 · −9.7% CLV
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7156
7151 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−517.0u
over 7151u staked
Yield
−7.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2565 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2586 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 14 | 85.7%60%–96% | −5.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
21
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3971 | 58.5% | −345.4u |
| Double chance | 3185 | 67.8% | −171.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7156 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Basketball · LNBP
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 7h before
Basketball · LNBP
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6h before
Basketball · LNBP
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6h before
Basketball · WNBA
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Basketball · WNBA
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Cup. 1/8 Finals
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3d 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · North New South Wales. National Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Basketball · LNBP
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6h before
Basketball · WNBA
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Basketball · WNBA
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Basketball · LNBP
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6h before
Football · Third qualifying round. Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Third qualifying round. Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Third qualifying round. Second leg
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Third qualifying round. Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Basketball · LNBP
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso vs CFR ClujFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.40 · −9.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| DAK 1904 Dunajska Streda vs TwenteFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.48 · −11.9% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Urartu vs SyuniqFootball · Premier League | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.38 · −3.5% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Soles de Mexicali vs Abejas de LeonBasketball · LNBP | first seen 7h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14derived | — | 87-80 | WON |
| Panteras de Aguascalientes vs Lobos PlateadosBasketball · LNBP | first seen 6h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 73-69 | WON |
| Astros Jalisco vs Santos San LuisBasketball · LNBP | first seen 6h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19derived | — | 82-57 | WON |
| Portland (w) vs Minnesota Lynx (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 81-85 | WON |
| Golden State Valkyries (w) vs Chicago Sky (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20derived | — | 91-71 | WON |
| Atletico Tucuman vs IndependienteFootball · Cup. 1/8 Finals | first seen 3d 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.45 · +21.3% CLV | 4-0 | LOST |
| AmaZulu vs Orlando PiratesFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.55 · +2.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Kaizer Chiefs vs Sekhukhune UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.82 · −5.2% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Copenhagen vs Debreceni VSCFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.25 · +5.0% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Rapid Vienna vs Paide LinnameeskondFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.08 · −4.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Charlestown Azzurri vs Edgeworth EaglesFootball · North New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.62 · +8.0% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Freseros de Irapuato vs Correcaminos de la UATBasketball · LNBP | first seen 6h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 83-86 | LOST |
| Los Angeles Sparks (w) vs Phoenix Mercury (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 87-94 | LOST |
| Las Vegas Aces (w) vs Washington Mystics (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 86-76 | WON |
| Dorados vs Gambusinos de FresnilloBasketball · LNBP | first seen 6h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 91-77 | WON |
| Lyon vs Sparta PragueFootball · Third qualifying round. Second leg | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.40 · +2.2% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Celje vs Ararat ArmeniaFootball · Third qualifying round. Second leg | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi SundownsFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.53 · +3.4% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Helsingborg vs VarnamoFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.20 · −20.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo ZagrebFootball · Third qualifying round. Second leg | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.40 · −4.8% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Bodo/Glimt vs Union Saint-GilloiseFootball · Third qualifying round. Second leg | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.65 · −2.9% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Diablos Rojos vs Fuerza RegiaBasketball · LNBP | first seen 6h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20derived | — | 94-95 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.