Oakleigh Cannons vs Green Gully
Football · Victoria.National Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
- Feed close
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.23 · −1.6% CLV
- Score
- 1-4
· first seen 7h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7156
7151 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−517.0u
over 7151u staked
Yield
−7.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2565 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2586 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 14 | 85.7%60%–96% | −5.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
21
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3971 | 58.5% | −345.4u |
| Double chance | 3185 | 67.8% | −171.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7156 picks with a captured kickoff.
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Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
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· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakleigh Cannons vs Green GullyFootball · Victoria.National Premier League | first seen 7h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.23 · −1.6% CLV | 1-4 | LOST |
| Olympic Brisbane vs Rochedale RoversFootball · Queensland. National Premier League | first seen 6h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.30 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Wynnum Wolves vs Magic UnitedFootball · Queensland. National Premier League | first seen 6h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Las Vegas Aces (w) vs Washington Mystics (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 83-76 | WON |
| Rosario Central vs Corinthians SPFootball · Round of 16. First leg | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| HK Kopavogur vs Leiknir ReykjavikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.45 · +5.8% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Grotta vs NjardvikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.90+19019/101.90+1.90-0.53from 3.35 · +15.5% CLV | 1-4 | LOST |
| Fylkir Reykjavik vs AftureldingFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.55 · +10.9% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Hajduk Split vs Zalgiris VilniusFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Shelbourne vs AjaxFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 32m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.15 · −6.5% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Hearts vs BenficaFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg | first seen 32m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.42 · −2.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Motherwell vs HJK HelsinkiFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.65 · −8.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Gent vs GoteborgFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.48 · −6.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Rangers vs Jagiellonia BialystokFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.55 · +10.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Sion vs NoahFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.45 · −9.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Al-Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah El-KhobarFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Grindavik vs Throttur ReykjavikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.55 · −3.1% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Al-Diriyah vs Al-Ahli JeddahFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.38 · −13.8% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Sankt Gallen vs Sheriff TiraspolFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| NSI Runavik vs LuganoFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.30 · −3.7% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Dinamo Minsk vs BragaFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.33 · −3.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Besiktas vs Hradec KraloveFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.30 · +2.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Nordsjaelland vs Valur ReykjavikFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.06-16673/500.06-16.67+0.06from 1.07 · +0.9% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red ImpsFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.16-6254/250.16-6.25+0.16from 1.11 · −4.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Midtjylland vs Bohemians DublinFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second leg | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
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