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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7151

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7156

7151 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 62%–64%

Profit

−517.0u

over 7151u staked

Yield

−7.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

W2

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256560.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258668.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1485.7%60%–96%60%–96%−5.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+8pp

21

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7151

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner397158.5%−345.4u
Double chance318567.8%−171.5u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7156 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Llandudno Town vs Holywell Town

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.35 · +9.8% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-14 · first seen 32m before

Reims vs Dunkerque

Football · Ligue 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.73 · +0.6% CLV
Score
3-3

2026-08-14 · first seen 32m before

Newroz vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
4.00+3003/13.00+3.00-0.33from 4.00 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-3

2026-08-14 · first seen 17m before

Galatasaray vs Corum Belediyespor

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.18 · −10.6% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-14 · first seen 17m before

Legia Warsaw vs Radomiak Radom

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV
Score
5-0

2026-08-14 · first seen 17m before

CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Cherno More Varna

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.68 · −5.1% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-08-14 · first seen 2m before

NAC Breda vs VVV-Venlo

Football · Division 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.42 · +7.6% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-14 · first seen 3h before

Waalwijk vs Dordrecht

Football · Division 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.72 · −1.7% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-14 · first seen 3h before

KI Klaksvik vs Lech Poznan

Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV
Score
0-5

2026-08-14 · first seen 22h before

Heracles Almelo vs Den Bosch

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.47 · +1.4% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-14 · first seen 3h before

Dinamo Zagreb vs Rudes

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.11 · +0.9% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-08-14 · first seen 3h before

Acassuso vs Ferrocarril Midland

Football · Primera Nacional

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.10 · −4.5% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-14 · first seen 3h before

LASK vs Ried

Football · Bundesliga

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.50 · +7.1% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-08-14 · first seen 3h before

Brage vs Orebro

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 2.00 · +11.1% CLV
Score
3-3

2026-08-14 · first seen 2h before

Dnepr Mogilev vs Belschina Bobruisk

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.60 · −5.9% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-14 · first seen 1h before

Dukla Prague vs Slavia 2 Prague

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.62 · −0.6% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-14 · first seen 1h before

Budapest Honved vs Vasas

Football · National League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-14 · first seen 1h before

Qizilqum Zarafshon vs Mashal Mubarek

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.70 · +4.9% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-14 · first seen 1h before

Pohronie vs Bytca

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.50 · +11.1% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-14 · first seen 59m before

Galatasaray U19 vs Corum U19

Football · U19. Elit Ligi

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.45 · −1.4% CLV
Score
9-1

2026-08-14 · first seen 29m before

Al Nasr Dubai vs Al Ittihad Kalba

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.60 · −5.9% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-14 · first seen 9m before

Qingdao West Coast vs Chongqing Tongliang Long

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.03 · −1.9% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-14 · first seen 8h before

Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Manatee

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.40 · +10.2% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-14 · first seen 8h before

Shaanxi Union vs Changchun Yatai

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.45 · −3.3% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-14 · first seen 8h before

St Albans Saints vs Bentleigh Greens

Football · Victoria.National Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-14 · first seen 7h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Llandudno Town vs Holywell TownFootball · Premier League2026-08-14first seen 32m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.35 · +9.8% CLV3-1WON
Reims vs DunkerqueFootball · Ligue 22026-08-14first seen 32m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.73 · +0.6% CLV3-3LOST
Newroz vs Al Quwa Al JawiyaFootball · Superleague2026-08-14first seen 17m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived4.00+3003/13.00+3.00-0.33from 4.00 · 0.0% CLV3-3LOST
Galatasaray vs Corum BelediyesporFootball · Superleague2026-08-14first seen 17m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.18 · −10.6% CLV2-2LOST
Legia Warsaw vs Radomiak RadomFootball · Superleague2026-08-14first seen 17m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV5-0WON
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Cherno More VarnaFootball · League 12026-08-14first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.68 · −5.1% CLV4-0WON
NAC Breda vs VVV-VenloFootball · Division 12026-08-14first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.42 · +7.6% CLV0-2LOST
Waalwijk vs DordrechtFootball · Division 12026-08-14first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.72 · −1.7% CLV2-2LOST
KI Klaksvik vs Lech PoznanFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg2026-08-14first seen 22h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV0-5WON
Heracles Almelo vs Den BoschFootball · Division 12026-08-14first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.47 · +1.4% CLV3-2WON
Dinamo Zagreb vs RudesFootball · Premier League2026-08-14first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.11 · +0.9% CLV4-0WON
Acassuso vs Ferrocarril MidlandFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-14first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.10 · −4.5% CLV1-1LOST
LASK vs RiedFootball · Bundesliga2026-08-14first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.50 · +7.1% CLV4-1WON
Brage vs OrebroFootball · League 12026-08-14first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 2.00 · +11.1% CLV3-3LOST
Dnepr Mogilev vs Belschina BobruiskFootball · Premier League2026-08-14first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.60 · −5.9% CLV1-1LOST
Dukla Prague vs Slavia 2 PragueFootball · League 22026-08-14first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.62 · −0.6% CLV1-2LOST
Budapest Honved vs VasasFootball · National League2026-08-14first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.50 · 0.0% CLV1-2WON
Qizilqum Zarafshon vs Mashal MubarekFootball · Superleague2026-08-14first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.70 · +4.9% CLV2-0WON
Pohronie vs BytcaFootball · League 22026-08-14first seen 59m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.50 · +11.1% CLV1-3LOST
Galatasaray U19 vs Corum U19Football · U19. Elit Ligi2026-08-14first seen 29m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.45 · −1.4% CLV9-1WON
Al Nasr Dubai vs Al Ittihad KalbaFootball · Premier League2026-08-14first seen 9m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.60 · −5.9% CLV2-2LOST
Qingdao West Coast vs Chongqing Tongliang LongFootball · Superleague2026-08-14first seen 8h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.03 · −1.9% CLV0-0LOST
Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao ManateeFootball · Superleague2026-08-14first seen 8h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.40 · +10.2% CLV3-1WON
Shaanxi Union vs Changchun YataiFootball · League 12026-08-14first seen 8h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.45 · −3.3% CLV2-1WON
St Albans Saints vs Bentleigh GreensFootball · Victoria.National Premier League2026-08-14first seen 7h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST

3551–3575 of 3971· 2321 won / 1645 lost · −345.4u · −8.7% yield · of 7156 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.