Pericos de Puebla vs Olmecas de Tabasco
Baseball · LMB. Semi-finals. Best of 7
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3917
3916 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−209.2u
over 3916u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 728 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
813
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1931 | 60.5% | −124.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3917 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · LMB. Semi-finals. Best of 7
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 7m before
Football · Division 2. Relegation Group
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Primera Division. Group stage
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
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· first seen 1h before
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 12m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Handball · Bundesliga
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Ice Hockey · Champions League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 39m before
Ice Hockey · Champions League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 39m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 34m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pericos de Puebla vs Olmecas de TabascoBaseball · LMB. Semi-finals. Best of 7 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Matagalpa vs UNAN ManaguaFootball · Primera Division | first seen 27h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.15 · +13.2% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 7m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 6-0 | LOST |
| Deportivo Santo Domingo vs CumbayaFootball · Division 2. Relegation Group | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Libertad Loja vs EmelecFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Kansas City Royals vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 3:6 | WON |
| Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee BrewersBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Leones del Norte vs OrenseFootball · Premier League | first seen 20m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.92 · +5.5% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| America de Cali vs Alianza FC ValleduparFootball · Serie A | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.37 · −0.7% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Rayo Zuliano vs CaraboboFootball · Primera Division. Group stage | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.42 · −0.7% CLV | 4-3 | LOST |
| Universidad Catolica Quito vs Deportivo AucasFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.85 · +1.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Real Sociedad vs CeltaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.90 · +6.7% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Toulouse vs LilleFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 47m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.07 · +6.2% CLV | 0:1 | WON |
| Anderlecht vs KortrijkFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.47 · +5.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Gent vs LeuvenFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Basel vs SionFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.40 · −2.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Lugano vs ServetteFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 1.90 · −22.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia BialystokFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.70 · +9.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Houston Astros vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Al-Diriyah vs Al-Qadsiah El-KhobarFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.48 · −1.3% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| ThSV Eisenach vs HBW Balingen-WeilstettenHandball · Bundesliga | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.53 · 0.0% CLV | 27-36 | LOST |
| ES Setif vs ES Ben AknounFootball · League 1 | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.50 · −12.8% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Klagenfurt vs BordeauxIce Hockey · Champions League | first seen 39m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.70 · +8.3% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Red Bull Salzburg vs Kolner HaieIce Hockey · Champions League | first seen 39m before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67derived | 2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.35 · −9.6% CLV | 2-5 | LOST |
| Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue JaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 34m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 0:11 | LOST |
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