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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7149

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7154

7149 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 62%–64%

Profit

−517.5u

over 7149u staked

Yield

−7.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256560.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258468.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1485.7%60%–96%60%–96%−5.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+6pp

19

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7149

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner397058.5%−345.7u
Double chance318467.8%−171.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7154 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Alianza San Salvador vs Cacahuatique

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.65 · −10.8% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 53m before

Monterrey vs Juarez

Football · Liga MX

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV
Score
6-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 53m before

CSD Comunicaciones vs Malacateco

Football · Liga Nacional

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.87 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-4

2026-08-16 · first seen 53m before

Portland Thorns (w) vs Orlando Pride (w)

Football · Women. NWSL

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.85 · −2.6% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 38m before

Houston Dynamo vs LA Galaxy

Football · MLS

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 23m before

Montreal vs DC United

Football · MLS

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.20 · +2.3% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 7d 4h before

Atletico Paranaense vs Bragantino

Football · Serie A

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 4.15 · +107.5% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Aguila San Miguel vs Atletico Balboa

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-4

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Cavalry vs Forge

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.45 · +2.1% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Winnipeg Sea Bears vs Brampton Honet Badgers

Basketball · CEBL

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
98-84

2026-08-15 · first seen 36m before

Rio Ave vs Porto

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 7.40 · +448.1% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 36m before

Atletico Mitre vs Atletico Guemes

Football · Primera Nacional

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.70 · +8.3% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 6m before

Osijek vs Lokomotiva Zagreb

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.90 · +2.7% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 6m before

Rangers Talca vs Magallanes

Football · Serie B

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 3.00 · +7.1% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 6m before

Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 6m before

Criciuma vs Goias

Football · Serie B

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.75 · +4.2% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 6m before

Genk vs Vesterlo

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.60 · +14.3% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 38m before

Leuven vs Brugge

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.38 · −4.8% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 38m before

Kaiserslautern vs Karlsruher

Football · Bundesliga 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 1.87 · −5.6% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 23m before

Zeleziarne Podbrezova vs Trencin

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 23m before

Genclerbirligi vs Fenerbahce

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.43 · −11.7% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 23m before

Bursaspor vs Igdir Belediyespor

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.58 · +9.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 23m before

Widzew Lodz vs Korona Kielce

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 8m before

Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.55 · −1.3% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 8m before

Excelsior vs PSV

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.53 · +9.3% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Alianza San Salvador vs CacahuatiqueFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 53m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.65 · −10.8% CLV2-1WON
Monterrey vs JuarezFootball · Liga MX2026-08-16first seen 53m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV6-1WON
CSD Comunicaciones vs MalacatecoFootball · Liga Nacional2026-08-16first seen 53m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.87 · 0.0% CLV2-4LOST
Portland Thorns (w) vs Orlando Pride (w)Football · Women. NWSL2026-08-16first seen 38m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.85 · −2.6% CLV2-1WON
Houston Dynamo vs LA GalaxyFootball · MLS2026-08-16first seen 23m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV1-0WON
Montreal vs DC UnitedFootball · MLS2026-08-15first seen 7d 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.20 · +2.3% CLV1-1LOST
Atletico Paranaense vs BragantinoFootball · Serie A2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 4.15 · +107.5% CLV1-1LOST
Aguila San Miguel vs Atletico BalboaFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV2-4LOST
Cavalry vs ForgeFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.45 · +2.1% CLV2-1WON
Winnipeg Sea Bears vs Brampton Honet BadgersBasketball · CEBL2026-08-15first seen 36m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—98-84WON
Rio Ave vs PortoFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 36m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 7.40 · +448.1% CLV0-2WON
Atletico Mitre vs Atletico GuemesFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-15first seen 6m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.70 · +8.3% CLV1-1LOST
Osijek vs Lokomotiva ZagrebFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 6m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.90 · +2.7% CLV1-0WON
Rangers Talca vs MagallanesFootball · Serie B2026-08-15first seen 6m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 3.00 · +7.1% CLV3-2LOST
Fortuna Sittard vs CambuurFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 6m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV3-1WON
Criciuma vs GoiasFootball · Serie B2026-08-15first seen 6m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.75 · +4.2% CLV1-0WON
Genk vs VesterloFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 38m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.60 · +14.3% CLV3-2WON
Leuven vs BruggeFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 38m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.38 · −4.8% CLV0-3WON
Kaiserslautern vs KarlsruherFootball · Bundesliga 22026-08-15first seen 23m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 1.87 · −5.6% CLV0-0LOST
Zeleziarne Podbrezova vs TrencinFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 23m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV2-1WON
Genclerbirligi vs FenerbahceFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 23m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.43 · −11.7% CLV2-1LOST
Bursaspor vs Igdir BelediyesporFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 23m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.58 · +9.0% CLV1-0WON
Widzew Lodz vs Korona KielceFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 8m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV1-2LOST
Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev PlovdivFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 8m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.55 · −1.3% CLV2-0WON
Excelsior vs PSVFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.53 · +9.3% CLV1-2WON

3426–3450 of 3970· 2320 won / 1645 lost · −345.7u · −8.7% yield · of 7154 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.