Dynamo Kiev vs Kolos Kovalyovka
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
- Feed close
- 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.50 · −7.4% CLV
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7154
7149 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−517.5u
over 7149u staked
Yield
−7.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2565 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 14 | 85.7%60%–96% | −5.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+6pp
19
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3970 | 58.5% | −345.7u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7154 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Bundesliga
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Segunda Division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2. Group 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · National League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Women. Series A1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Women. Series A1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Division Nationale
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Division 2. Group 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 20m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 58m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 58m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 58m before
Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 58m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 28m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Kiev vs Kolos KovalyovkaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.50 · −7.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| WSG Tirol vs SalzburgFootball · Bundesliga | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.32 · −3.6% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Spartak Trnava vs Zemplin MichalovceFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.42 · −9.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Eibar vs TenerifeFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.92 · +5.5% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Sumgayit vs Neftchi BakuFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.72 · +8.9% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Kjelsas vs JunkerenFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.25 · +4.2% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Dila Gori vs MeshakhteFootball · National League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.45 · +5.8% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Sarpsborg 08 vs SandefjordFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Ajax vs HeerenveenFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Kalmar FF vs HammarbyFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.80 · +14.6% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Pyunik Yerevan vs SardarapatFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.35 · −3.6% CLV | 3-7 | LOST |
| Hatta Dubai vs Al Jazira Abu DhabiFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.50 · +12.8% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Atvidabergs vs Skovde AIKFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Chapecoense vs BahiaFootball · Serie A | first seen 50m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.00 · −4.8% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Palmeiras SP (w) vs Juventude RS (w)Football · Women. Series A1 | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.07 · +1.9% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Botafogo RJ (w) vs Sao Paulo (w)Football · Women. Series A1 | first seen 50m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.28 · +2.4% CLV | 1-5 | WON |
| NSI Runavik vs EB/StreymurFootball · Premier League | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.25 · +6.8% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Strassen vs Jeunesse EschFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Lyngby vs MidtjyllandFootball · Superleague | first seen 50m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Stjordals/Blink vs HonefossFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 20m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.97 · +5.3% CLV | 4-2 | LOST |
| Chippa United vs Orlando PiratesFootball · Premier League | first seen 58m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.30 · +1.6% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| HJK Helsinki vs JaroFootball · Superleague | first seen 58m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Banik Ostrava vs Artis BrnoFootball · Superleague | first seen 58m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Deportivo Santani vs Deportivo CarapeguaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 58m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.62 · −10.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Feyenoord vs Go Ahead EaglesFootball · Premier League | first seen 28m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.35 · +10.7% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
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