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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7149

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7154

7149 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 62%–64%

Profit

−517.5u

over 7149u staked

Yield

−7.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256560.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258468.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1485.7%60%–96%60%–96%−5.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+6pp

19

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7149

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner397058.5%−345.7u
Double chance318467.8%−171.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7154 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Koper vs Bravo

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 9m before

Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-7

2026-08-16 · first seen 4m before

Slovan Liberec vs Slavia Prague

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.72 · −1.7% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Pumas UNAM vs Queretaro

Football · Liga MX

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.80 · −4.3% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Villa San Carlos vs Defensores Unidos

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 2.00 · +11.1% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Hafnarfjordur vs Vikingur Reykjavik

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-4

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-7

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-7

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Cleveland Guardians vs San Diego Padres

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-5

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-4

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
8-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnicki Nis

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Zimbru vs Milsami

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.43 · −13.3% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Girona vs Leganes

Football · Segunda Division

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.65 · +6.5% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Real Sireti vs Sheriff Tiraspol

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.16 · +0.9% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Baniyas vs Al Ain Abu Dhabi

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV
Score
2-4

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-10

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Harju Laagri vs Levadia Tallinn

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.22 · +8.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

CSKA Sofia vs Botev Vratsa

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 10.50 · +753.7% CLV
Score
5-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.50 · −8.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Randers vs Copenhagen

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.67 · +1.2% CLV
Score
0-4

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Hodd vs Strommen

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.08 · −4.6% CLV
Score
4-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Molde vs Tromso

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
3.65+26553/202.65+2.65-0.38from 3.00 · −17.8% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Koper vs BravoFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 9m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV0-0LOST
Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia PhilliesBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived—5-7WON
Slovan Liberec vs Slavia PragueFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.72 · −1.7% CLV1-1LOST
Pumas UNAM vs QueretaroFootball · Liga MX2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.80 · −4.3% CLV0-0LOST
Villa San Carlos vs Defensores UnidosFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 2.00 · +11.1% CLV1-0WON
Hafnarfjordur vs Vikingur ReykjavikFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV2-4WON
Cincinnati Reds vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—1-7WON
Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—5-7WON
Cleveland Guardians vs San Diego PadresBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—0-5WON
New York Mets vs Washington NationalsBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—4-3WON
Toronto Blue Jays vs New York YankeesBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived—3-4LOST
Atlanta Braves vs Arizona DiamondbacksBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived—5-3LOST
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—8-3LOST
IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnicki NisFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV0-0LOST
Zimbru vs MilsamiFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.43 · −13.3% CLV4-2WON
Girona vs LeganesFootball · Segunda Division2026-08-16first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.65 · +6.5% CLV1-1LOST
Real Sireti vs Sheriff TiraspolFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.16 · +0.9% CLV1-1LOST
Baniyas vs Al Ain Abu DhabiFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV2-4WON
Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore OriolesBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived—2-10LOST
Harju Laagri vs Levadia TallinnFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.22 · +8.0% CLV1-2WON
CSKA Sofia vs Botev VratsaFootball · League 12026-08-16first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 10.50 · +753.7% CLV5-0WON
Istanbul Basaksehir vs KocaelisporFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.50 · −8.0% CLV2-0WON
Randers vs CopenhagenFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.67 · +1.2% CLV0-4WON
Hodd vs StrommenFootball · Division 12026-08-16first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.08 · −4.6% CLV4-3WON
Molde vs TromsoFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived3.65+26553/202.65+2.65-0.38from 3.00 · −17.8% CLV3-2LOST

3351–3375 of 3970· 2320 won / 1645 lost · −345.7u · −8.7% yield · of 7154 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.