Polissya Zhytomyr vs Zorya
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
- Feed close
- 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.45 · +3.6% CLV
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7154
7149 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−517.5u
over 7149u staked
Yield
−7.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2565 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 14 | 85.7%60%–96% | −5.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+6pp
19
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3970 | 58.5% | −345.7u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7154 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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AwayMatch Winner
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AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Division 2. Group 2
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · Capital Territory. National Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 11m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polissya Zhytomyr vs ZoryaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.45 · +3.6% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Austin vs DallasFootball · MLS | first seen 25m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.30 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Gambusinos de Fresnillo vs Diablos RojosBasketball · LNBP | first seen 5h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 66-71 | WON |
| Olmecas de Tabasco vs Bravos de LeonBaseball · LMB. Round of 16. Best of 7 | first seen 53m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| Deportivo Moquegua vs Sport BoysFootball · Premier League | first seen 9m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.55 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Valletta vs Zabbar St. PatrickFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.70 · +1.8% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis CardinalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | — | 6-5 | LOST |
| Rentistas vs TacuaremboFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.95 · +4.3% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Resistencia vs Deportivo CapiataFootball · Division 2 | first seen 58m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.40 · −2.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Broadmeadow Magic vs Charlestown AzzurriFootball · North New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV | 8-0 | WON |
| Spokane Velocity vs Corpus ChristiFootball · USL. League 1 | first seen 53m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.68 · −1.2% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Alianza Lima vs UTC CajamarcaFootball · Premier League | first seen 23m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.27 · +3.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Luis QuillotaFootball · Serie B | first seen 3d 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.40 · +24.4% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Inter Bratislava vs Slovan GalantaFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.32 · −3.6% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Ujpest vs MTK BudapestFootball · National League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.88 · −1.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| IF Karlstad vs Assyriska SodertaljeFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Rockingham Flames vs Geraldton BuccaneersBasketball · NBL 1. West. Final | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 66-62 | WON |
| Saint Etienne vs ClermontFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.52 · +8.6% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Guingamp vs BoulogneFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.73 · −3.9% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| AFC Eskilstuna vs Hammarby TalangFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.50 · −10.7% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Elfsborg vs VasterasFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.78 · +12.7% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Aluminij vs Nafta LendavaFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.40 · +12.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Tromsdalen vs LorenskogFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 3.10 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Independiente Santa Fe vs Boyaca ChicoFootball · Serie A | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.37 · +5.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Monaro Panthers vs Belconnen UnitedFootball · Capital Territory. National Premier League | first seen 11m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.11 · 0.0% CLV | 7-0 | WON |
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