Yokohama BayStars vs Yomiuri Giants
Baseball · NPB
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 4-3
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7154
7149 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−517.5u
over 7149u staked
Yield
−7.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2565 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 14 | 85.7%60%–96% | −5.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+6pp
19
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3970 | 58.5% | −345.7u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7154 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · NPB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · National league. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 35m before
Football · National League. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 35m before
Football · National league. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 35m before
Football · National league. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 35m before
Football · National league. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 35m before
Football · National League. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 35m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 36m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · Division 2. North
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · Regional League. East
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 10m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 44m before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama BayStars vs Yomiuri GiantsBaseball · NPB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 4-3 | LOST |
| Merthyr Town vs TelfordFootball · National league. North | first seen 35m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.45 · +6.5% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Horsham vs Hampton and Richmond BoroughFootball · National League. South | first seen 35m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 2.17 · +19.2% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Brackley Town vs Kings Lynn TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 35m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.12 · −1.4% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Hereford vs RadcliffeFootball · National league. North | first seen 35m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Hednesford Town vs SouthportFootball · National league. North | first seen 35m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.20 · +2.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidenhead UnitedFootball · National League. South | first seen 35m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Fram Reykjavik vs StjarnanFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.88 · +4.4% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Casa Pia vs BenficaFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.20 · +4.3% CLV | 0-7 | WON |
| Racing Montevideo vs Nacional MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 36m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 3.15 · +1.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Sekhukhune United vs Polokwane CityFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.35 · +2.2% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Samorin vs Banik LehotaFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.60 · +6.7% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Pribram vs ProstejovFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.80 · −2.7% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Esteghlal Tehran vs Mes Shahr BabakFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Riga Mariners vs Tukums 2000 2Football · League 1 | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.09 · −3.5% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Järfälla vs IF KarlstadFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 30m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.67 · +17.6% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| SC/ESV Parndorf vs DonauFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.27 · +1.6% CLV | 6-1 | WON |
| Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv SofiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 10m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.77 · +4.1% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Emelec vs Tecnico UniversitarioFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.67 · +2.5% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| De Treffers vs GVVV VeenendaalFootball · Division 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.38 · −4.8% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Mura vs NK RadomljeFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.92 · −4.0% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Botev Vratsa vs Slavia SofiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.88 · −3.6% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Strommen vs RanheimFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.18 · +7.9% CLV | 1-4 | LOST |
| Botafogo Paraiba vs Santa Cruz RecifeFootball · Serie C | first seen 44m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Olympiacos Piraeus vs NEC NijmegenFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 0-0 | LOST |
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