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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=6218

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

6222

6218 graded · 4 void

Win rate

63.3%

95% CI 62%–65%

Profit

−421.6u

over 6218u staked

Yield

−6.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 45%3743.2%29%–59%29%–59%−1.7pp
50–60%avg claim 56%120155.5%53%–58%53%–58%−0.3pp
60–70%avg claim 66%229561.0%59%–63%59%–63%−5.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%232568.5%67%–70%67%–70%−6.5pp
80–90%avg claim 80%35072.3%67%–77%67%–77%−8.0pp
90–100%avg claim 91%9———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

3115

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 6218

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner325058.9%−278.6u
Double chance297268.2%−143.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League109465.5%−58.8u
League 151964.7%−34.5u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page30762.5%+42.9u
League 222558.7%−33.7u
Division 117159.6%−24.9u
Division 213764.2%−8.8u
Serie B13561.5%−11.2u
Championship11862.7%−11.1u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page10164.4%−5.4u
Serie A9552.6%−20.5u
National league8754.0%−18.8u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Humenne vs Inter Bratislava

Football · League 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.82 · −4.2% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 40m before

HV71 vs Malmo

Ice Hockey · SHL

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.04+10426/251.04+1.04-0.96derived
Feed close
2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.40 · −2.0% CLV
Score
4-5

2026-09-19 · first seen 25m before

Frolunda vs Vaxjo Lakers

Ice Hockey · SHL

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.80 · +1.1% CLV
Score
5-4

2026-09-19 · first seen 25m before

Skelleftea vs Brynas

Ice Hockey · SHL

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.85 · +1.1% CLV
Score
7-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 25m before

Linkoping vs Timra IK

Ice Hockey · SHL

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.00 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 25m before

Eskilstuna United (w) vs Hacken (w)

Football · Women. Major League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.20 · +5.3% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

Brattvag vs Eik Tonsberg

Football · Division 2. Group 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.25 · +5.0% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

JDFS Alberts vs Metta/LU

Football · League 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.32 · +1.5% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

Venezia U19 vs Brescia U19

Football · U19. Primavera 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.95 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

Cremonese vs Virtus Entella

Football · Serie B

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 1.75 · −16.7% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

HJS Akatemia vs Pallo-Iirot

Football · League 3. Group B

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
3.20+22011/52.20+2.20-0.45from 2.75 · −14.1% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

Artis Brno vs Slovan Liberec

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.62 · −3.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

TMS Ringsted Herrer vs Mors-Thy Handbold

Handball · Herre Ligaen

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.68 · +0.6% CLV
Score
28-32

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

Kufstein vs FC Kitzbuhel

Football · Regional League. West

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.35 · +20.5% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

Brann (w) vs Bodo/Glimt (w)

Football · Women. Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

FC Elva vs Tallinn

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

Banik Most-Sous vs Velke Hamry

Football · League 3

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.20 · +0.8% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

Almtuna vs MoDo

Ice Hockey · Allsvenskan

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.73 · −1.1% CLV
Score
4-5

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

ROHDA Raalte vs IJsselmeervogels

Football · Division 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.47 · +8.9% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

CSK VVS Samara vs Toros

Ice Hockey · VHL

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50from 2.70 · −10.0% CLV
Score
0-4

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

EBK vs NJS Nurmijärvi

Football · Finland. League 3. Group B. Losers stage

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.38 · +0.7% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

Orgryte vs Sirius

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.52 · +8.6% CLV
Score
1:2

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

Kisvarda vs Paksi

Football · National League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.85 · −3.4% CLV
Score
0:1

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

Saarbrucken vs Sonnenhof Grossaspach

Football · Bundesliga 3

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.77 · +1.1% CLV
Score
2:1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Palermo vs Padova

Football · Serie B

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.52 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Humenne vs Inter BratislavaFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 40m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.82 · −4.2% CLV1-1LOST
HV71 vs MalmoIce Hockey · SHL2026-09-19first seen 25m beforeHomeMatch Winner2.04+10426/251.04+1.04-0.96derived2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.40 · −2.0% CLV4-5LOST
Frolunda vs Vaxjo LakersIce Hockey · SHL2026-09-19first seen 25m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.80 · +1.1% CLV5-4WON
Skelleftea vs BrynasIce Hockey · SHL2026-09-19first seen 25m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.85 · +1.1% CLV7-2WON
Linkoping vs Timra IKIce Hockey · SHL2026-09-19first seen 25m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.00 · 0.0% CLV3-2WON
Eskilstuna United (w) vs Hacken (w)Football · Women. Major League2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.20 · +5.3% CLV0-3WON
Brattvag vs Eik TonsbergFootball · Division 2. Group 12026-09-19first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.25 · +5.0% CLV3-1WON
JDFS Alberts vs Metta/LUFootball · League 12026-09-19first seen 10m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.32 · +1.5% CLV1-3WON
Venezia U19 vs Brescia U19Football · U19. Primavera 22026-09-19first seen 10m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.95 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Cremonese vs Virtus EntellaFootball · Serie B2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 1.75 · −16.7% CLV0-0LOST
HJS Akatemia vs Pallo-IirotFootball · League 3. Group B2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived3.20+22011/52.20+2.20-0.45from 2.75 · −14.1% CLV4-1LOST
Artis Brno vs Slovan LiberecFootball · Superleague2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.62 · −3.0% CLV0-0LOST
TMS Ringsted Herrer vs Mors-Thy HandboldHandball · Herre Ligaen2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.68 · +0.6% CLV28-32WON
Kufstein vs FC KitzbuhelFootball · Regional League. West2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.35 · +20.5% CLV1-2WON
Brann (w) vs Bodo/Glimt (w)Football · Women. Superleague2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—4-0WON
FC Elva vs TallinnFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Banik Most-Sous vs Velke HamryFootball · League 32026-09-19first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.20 · +0.8% CLV3-0WON
Almtuna vs MoDoIce Hockey · Allsvenskan2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.73 · −1.1% CLV4-5WON
ROHDA Raalte vs IJsselmeervogelsFootball · Division 22026-09-19first seen 10m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.47 · +8.9% CLV0-1WON
CSK VVS Samara vs TorosIce Hockey · VHL2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50from 2.70 · −10.0% CLV0-4LOST
EBK vs NJS NurmijärviFootball · Finland. League 3. Group B. Losers stage2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.38 · +0.7% CLV4-0WON
Orgryte vs SiriusFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.52 · +8.6% CLV1:2WON
Kisvarda vs PaksiFootball · National League2026-09-19first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.85 · −3.4% CLV0:1LOST
Saarbrucken vs Sonnenhof GrossaspachFootball · Bundesliga 32026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.77 · +1.1% CLV2:1WON
Palermo vs PadovaFootball · Serie B2026-09-19first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.52 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON

301–325 of 3250· 1912 won / 1334 lost · −278.6u · −8.6% yield · of 6222 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.