Maribor vs Koper
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.90 · +2.7% CLV
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 0m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7154
7149 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−517.5u
over 7149u staked
Yield
−7.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2565 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 14 | 85.7%60%–96% | −5.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+6pp
19
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3970 | 58.5% | −345.7u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7154 picks with a captured kickoff.
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· first seen 5h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maribor vs KoperFootball · Superleague | first seen 0m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.90 · +2.7% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Hammarby Talang vs FBK KarlstadFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.30 · +10.2% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Victoria Rosport vs Mondor-Les-BainsFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 27m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.55 · −1.3% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Astana vs OkzhetpesFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.65 · +7.8% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Fredericia vs Vendsyssel FFFootball · 1st Division | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Brattvag vs LyseklosterFootball · Division 2. Group 1 | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.28 · +12.3% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Kisvarda vs UjpestFootball · National League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.65 · +15.2% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Junkeren vs FolloFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.67 · +11.3% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 SofiaFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-1 | LOST |
| Vrsac vs DubocicaFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.67 · −5.6% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Lotte Giants vs Kiwoom HeroesBaseball · KBO | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | — | 5-4 | WON |
| Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles DodgersBaseball · MLB | first seen 37m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 6-7 | WON |
| Lobos Plateados vs DoradosBasketball · LNBP | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | — | 104-77 | LOST |
| Nublense vs Union La CaleraFootball · Serie A | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.68 · −4.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Flora Tallinn vs KuressaareFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.33 · +2.3% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Nomme Kalju vs Parnu VaprusFootball · Superleague | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.38 · −1.4% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Haugesund vs RaufossFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.27 · 0.0% CLV | 7-2 | WON |
| Metz vs GuingampFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 2.12 · +7.1% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Dunav Ruse vs Arda KardzhaliFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 4.10+31031/103.10+3.10-0.32from 3.75 · −8.5% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Jerv vs VidarFootball · Division 2. Group 1 | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.18 · 0.0% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Atletico Mineiro vs BragantinoFootball · Round of 16. Second leg | first seen 6d 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 3.25 · +4.8% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Celtic vs LASKFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. First leg | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.63 · −6.9% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Boston Red Sox vs Arizona DiamondbacksBaseball · MLB | first seen 6h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | — | 6-7 | LOST |
| Atletico Madrid vs MalagaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.33 · −1.5% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Slovan Bratislava vs CeljeFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. First leg | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.70 · −8.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
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