Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 4-1
· first seen 8h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7154
7149 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−517.5u
over 7149u staked
Yield
−7.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2565 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 14 | 85.7%60%–96% | −5.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+6pp
19
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3970 | 58.5% | −345.7u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7154 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8h before
Baseball · CPBL
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Victoria.National Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4d 23h before
Football · Torneo Federal A. Losers stage
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Division 2. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Division 2. Group 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · MLS
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3d 4h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · KBO
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · KBO
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Basketball · WNBA
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 57m before
Basketball · WNBA
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 57m before
Basketball · WNBA
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3m before
Football · MLS
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 29m before
Football · Liga Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 8h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| TSG Hawks vs Uni-LionsBaseball · CPBL | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 8-6 | LOST |
| Preston Lions vs Melbourne City 2Football · Victoria.National Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.20 · −11.1% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Al-Fayha vs Al-Hilal SFCFootball · Premier League | first seen 4d 23h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.22 · +1.7% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Juventud Unida Universitario vs Circulo DeportivoFootball · Torneo Federal A. Losers stage | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 4.20+32016/53.20+3.20-0.31from 4.20 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| HB Torshavn vs B-68 ToftirFootball · Premier League | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.25 · −2.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Rosengard vs UtsiktensFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.18 · +0.9% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Vidar vs ArendalFootball · Division 2. Group 1 | first seen 55m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.75 · +12.9% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Neom vs Al-FayhaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Norrby vs OrebroFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.20 · +2.3% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Lech Poznan vs Piast GliwiceFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.58 · +1.9% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Nizhny Novgorod vs NeftekhimikFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.50 · −3.2% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Orlando City vs Chicago FireFootball · MLS | first seen 3d 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.85 · +7.5% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| Persepolis Tehran vs Esteghlal KhuzestanFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| LG Twins vs KT Wiz SuwonBaseball · KBO | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Hanwha Eagles vs KIA TigersBaseball · KBO | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 3-6 | WON |
| Las Vegas Aces (w) vs Atlanta Dream (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 57m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 82-97 | WON |
| Chicago Sky (w) vs New York Liberty (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 57m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 93-86 | LOST |
| Golden State Valkyries (w) vs Dallas Wings (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 78-70 | WON |
| Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver WhitecapsFootball · MLS | first seen 29m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.88 · +1.6% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Olancho vs FC JuticalpaFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.23 · +2.5% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Asia Talas vs Bishkek CityFootball · Premier league | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Stockholm Internazionale vs ArlandaFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.45 · +2.1% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| MAS Taborsko vs OpavaFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.00 · −2.4% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
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