Haverfordwest vs Cambrian United
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
- Feed close
- 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.75 · −8.9% CLV
- Score
- 0-3
· first seen 40m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7154
7149 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−517.5u
over 7149u staked
Yield
−7.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2565 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 14 | 85.7%60%–96% | −5.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+6pp
19
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3970 | 58.5% | −345.7u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7154 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
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Football · League 2
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Football · Regional League. East
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Football · Premier League
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Football · 1st Division
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Football · Division 1
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Football · League 2
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Football · 1st Division
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Football · League 1
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Football · Virsliga
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Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
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AwayMatch Winner
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Football · National League
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Primera Division. Group stage
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Football · Superleague
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Football · Serie B
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Football · League 1
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Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Division 2. Group 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haverfordwest vs Cambrian UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 40m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.75 · −8.9% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Finn Harps vs Cobh RamblersFootball · Division 1 | first seen 40m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.05 · −1.0% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Sarajevo vs BSK Banja LukaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.20 · −5.5% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Karvina vs Viktoria ZizkovFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.33 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Wiener SK vs SC Wiener ViktoriaFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.43 · +2.1% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Horn vs DonauFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.28 · −6.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Zamalek vs Al Ittihad AlexandriaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.50 · +11.1% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Sirius vs HackenFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.80 · +7.8% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Fredericia vs Aarhus FremadFootball · 1st Division | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.50 · −3.2% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Stockholm Internazionale vs JärfällaFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.20 · +5.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Bregalnica Stip vs Bashkimi KumanovoFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Opava vs TrinecFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.70 · −5.6% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Vejle vs EsbjergFootball · 1st Division | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.52 · +6.3% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Haka vs SJK AkatemiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.25 · −2.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| FC Liepaja vs GrobinasFootball · Virsliga | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.57 · +1.3% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Pakhtakor vs SurkhonFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.18 · −5.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles DodgersBaseball · MLB | first seen 11h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 4-6 | WON |
| Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Zalaegerszeg vs FerencvarosFootball · National League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.47 · −8.1% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Deportivo Tachira vs MonagasFootball · Primera Division. Group stage | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Zemplin Michalovce vs KomarnoFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.35 · −2.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Atletico Goianiense vs Vila NovaFootball · Serie B | first seen 6m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.85 · −1.6% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| JIPPO vs SJK AkatemiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 54m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.37 · −2.1% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| RoPS vs KuPS 2 KuopioFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Trygg/Lade vs GrorudFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 30m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
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