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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7149

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7154

7149 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 62%–64%

Profit

−517.5u

over 7149u staked

Yield

−7.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256560.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258468.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1485.7%60%–96%60%–96%−5.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+6pp

19

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7149

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner397058.5%−345.7u
Double chance318467.8%−171.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7154 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Harborough Town vs Darlington

Football · National league. North

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.85 · +5.7% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Sollentuna vs IF Karlstad

Football · Division 2. North

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.77 · +4.1% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Preston North End vs Wolverhampton

Football · Championship

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.80 · −10.0% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Shrewsbury Town vs Barnet

Football · League 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.87 · −3.1% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Kelantan Red Warrior vs Selangor

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.05 · −4.5% CLV
Score
1-4

2026-08-22 · first seen 57m before

Terengganu vs Melaka

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 57m before

Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.93 · +8.4% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 42m before

Tampere United vs RoPS

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.03 · +5.2% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Boston United vs Altrincham

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.85 · +12.1% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Metz vs Laval

Football · Ligue 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.47 · −2.0% CLV
Score
3-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shanghai Shenhua

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.78 · −2.2% CLV
Score
4-5

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Luton Town vs Notts County

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.52 · +4.8% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Carlisle United vs Hornchurch

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Yeovil Town vs Gateshead

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.93 · −1.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Bristol Rovers vs Newport County

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.55 · −4.9% CLV
Score
5-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Birmingham City vs Bristol City

Football · Championship

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.75 · +2.9% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Harrogate Town vs Barrow

Football · National league

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Solihull Moors vs Southend United

Football · National league

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.72 · +1.2% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Worthing vs Wealdstone

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 1.95 · −4.9% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Salford City vs Chesterfield

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.00 · +3.6% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe United

Football · National league

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.87 · −1.6% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Kyoto Sanga vs Mito HollyHock

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 2.07 · −2.4% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.60 · +6.7% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 3h before

Kashima Antlers vs Avispa Fukuoka

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.70 · −10.5% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Harborough Town vs DarlingtonFootball · National league. North2026-08-22first seen 50m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.85 · +5.7% CLV4-2WON
Sollentuna vs IF KarlstadFootball · Division 2. North2026-08-22first seen 50m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.77 · +4.1% CLV2-1LOST
Preston North End vs WolverhamptonFootball · Championship2026-08-22first seen 50m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.80 · −10.0% CLV1-3WON
Shrewsbury Town vs BarnetFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 50m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.87 · −3.1% CLV1-3WON
Kelantan Red Warrior vs SelangorFootball · Superleague2026-08-22first seen 57m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.05 · −4.5% CLV1-4WON
Terengganu vs MelakaFootball · Superleague2026-08-22first seen 57m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV3-0WON
Korona Kielce vs Motor LublinFootball · Superleague2026-08-22first seen 42m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.93 · +8.4% CLV1-1LOST
Tampere United vs RoPSFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.03 · +5.2% CLV4-0WON
Boston United vs AltrinchamFootball · National league2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.85 · +12.1% CLV1-0WON
Metz vs LavalFootball · Ligue 22026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan YukunFootball · Superleague2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.47 · −2.0% CLV3-3LOST
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shanghai ShenhuaFootball · Superleague2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.78 · −2.2% CLV4-5LOST
Luton Town vs Notts CountyFootball · League 12026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.52 · +4.8% CLV2-2LOST
Carlisle United vs HornchurchFootball · National league2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV4-1WON
Yeovil Town vs GatesheadFootball · National league2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.93 · −1.0% CLV3-0WON
Bristol Rovers vs Newport CountyFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.55 · −4.9% CLV5-3WON
Birmingham City vs Bristol CityFootball · Championship2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.75 · +2.9% CLV2-2LOST
Harrogate Town vs BarrowFootball · National league2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV2-2LOST
Solihull Moors vs Southend UnitedFootball · National league2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.72 · +1.2% CLV1-3WON
Worthing vs WealdstoneFootball · National league2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 1.95 · −4.9% CLV1-0WON
Salford City vs ChesterfieldFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.00 · +3.6% CLV0-1LOST
Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe UnitedFootball · National league2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.87 · −1.6% CLV3-2LOST
Kyoto Sanga vs Mito HollyHockFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 2.07 · −2.4% CLV1-3LOST
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki FrontaleFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.60 · +6.7% CLV1-1LOST
Kashima Antlers vs Avispa FukuokaFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.70 · −10.5% CLV3-2WON

3076–3100 of 3970· 2320 won / 1645 lost · −345.7u · −8.7% yield · of 7154 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.