Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 4-0
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7154
7149 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−517.5u
over 7149u staked
Yield
−7.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2565 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 14 | 85.7%60%–96% | −5.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+6pp
19
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3970 | 58.5% | −345.7u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7154 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Basketball · WNBA
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Women. NWSL
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 22m before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 36m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 21m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 21m before
Football · Primera division
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 6m before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 37m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 7m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh PiratesBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Union Comercio vs Carlos ManucciFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.60 · +4.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati RedsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 5-3 | WON |
| Dallas Wings (w) vs Seattle Storm (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 92-70 | WON |
| Seattle Mariners vs Chicago CubsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 2-19 | WON |
| San Diego Padres vs Minnesota TwinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 8-1 | WON |
| Washington Spirit (w) vs Orlando Pride (w)Football · Women. NWSL | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.68 · +1.8% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Belgrano vs Defensa y JusticiaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.77 · −1.7% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Alanyaspor vs BesiktasFootball · Superleague | first seen 22m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.90 · +11.8% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Elche vs BarcelonaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 36m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.33 · −1.5% CLV | 0-5 | WON |
| Zrinjski Mostar vs Zeljeznicar SarajevoFootball · Premier League | first seen 6m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.27 · +13.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur ReykjavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 21m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.25 · −6.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco GiantsBaseball · MLB | first seen 21m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | — | 5-4 | WON |
| Real Oruro vs BolivarFootball · Primera division | first seen 6m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.33 · −1.5% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Torino vs MilanFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 37m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.80 · −2.7% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles AngelsBaseball · MLB | first seen 27m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 5-3 | LOST |
| Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla KrakowFootball · Superleague | first seen 7m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.40 · +14.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Houston Astros vs AthleticsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 6-7 | LOST |
| Kansas City Royals vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 11-7 | WON |
| Chicago White Sox vs New York MetsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis CardinalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | — | 6-4 | WON |
| New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue JaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 8-3 | WON |
| Miami Marlins vs Washington NationalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 6-2 | WON |
| IA Akranes vs HafnarfjordurFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.95 · +2.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.