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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7149

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7154

7149 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 62%–64%

Profit

−517.5u

over 7149u staked

Yield

−7.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256560.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258468.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1485.7%60%–96%60%–96%−5.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+6pp

19

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7149

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner397058.5%−345.7u
Double chance318467.8%−171.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7154 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-26 · first seen 3h before

Odd vs Kongsvinger

Football · Division 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.20 · +4.8% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-26 · first seen 3h before

Asane vs Lyn

Football · Division 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.93 · +8.4% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-26 · first seen 3h before

Stabaek vs Ranheim

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-08-26 · first seen 3h before

Strommen vs Raufoss

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-26 · first seen 2h before

Smouha vs Asyut Petroleum

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.58 · +5.3% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-26 · first seen 31m before

Rana vs Follo

Football · Division 2. Group 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.67 · +9.9% CLV
Score
3-3

2026-08-26 · first seen 49m before

Al Wakrah vs Qatar SC

Football · Stars League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.08 · +0.5% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-20 · first seen 3d 19h before

Sogdiana vs Qizilqum Zarafshon

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.87 · +15.4% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-18 · first seen 43m before

FCSB vs Botosani

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-17 · first seen 25m before

Batman Petrolspor vs Boluspor

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.48 · +9.6% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-17 · first seen 25m before

Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.17 · −6.4% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-17 · first seen 25m before

Trans Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.88 · +7.4% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 50m before

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Panteras de Aguascalientes

Basketball · LNBP

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
98-78

2026-08-26 · first seen 7h before

Abejas de Leon vs Diablos Rojos

Basketball · LNBP

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
73-75

2026-08-26 · first seen 6h before

Gambusinos de Fresnillo vs Freseros de Irapuato

Basketball · LNBP

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
—
Score
87-84

2026-08-26 · first seen 6h before

San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-25 · first seen 1h before

Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima

Football · Second leg

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-26 · first seen 19m before

Chicago White Sox vs Texas Rangers

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived
Feed close
—
Score
11-7

2026-08-25 · first seen 4h before

Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-25 · first seen 3h before

Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-1

2026-08-25 · first seen 3h before

Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-7

2026-08-25 · first seen 3h before

Afturelding vs Grotta

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.30 · +13.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-25 · first seen 10m before

Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Gas Al Shimal

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.45 · +3.6% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-25 · first seen 33m before

Arsenal Sarandi vs Ituzaingo

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.35 · +2.3% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-25 · first seen 4h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB2026-08-26first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—0-3WON
Odd vs KongsvingerFootball · Division 12026-08-26first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.20 · +4.8% CLV0-1WON
Asane vs LynFootball · Division 12026-08-26first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.93 · +8.4% CLV1-2WON
Stabaek vs RanheimFootball · Division 12026-08-26first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV4-2WON
Strommen vs RaufossFootball · Division 12026-08-26first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV3-1WON
Smouha vs Asyut PetroleumFootball · Premier League2026-08-26first seen 31m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.58 · +5.3% CLV0-0LOST
Rana vs FolloFootball · Division 2. Group 22026-08-26first seen 49m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.67 · +9.9% CLV3-3LOST
Al Wakrah vs Qatar SCFootball · Stars League2026-08-20first seen 3d 19h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.08 · +0.5% CLV2-2LOST
Sogdiana vs Qizilqum ZarafshonFootball · Superleague2026-08-18first seen 43m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.87 · +15.4% CLV2-1WON
FCSB vs BotosaniFootball · League 12026-08-17first seen 25m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV3-2WON
Batman Petrolspor vs BolusporFootball · League 12026-08-17first seen 25m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.48 · +9.6% CLV2-0WON
Hamrun Spartans vs MostaFootball · Premier League2026-08-17first seen 25m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.17 · −6.4% CLV0-2LOST
Trans Narva vs Paide LinnameeskondFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 50m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.88 · +7.4% CLV1-1LOST
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Panteras de AguascalientesBasketball · LNBP2026-08-26first seen 7h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—98-78WON
Abejas de Leon vs Diablos RojosBasketball · LNBP2026-08-26first seen 6h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—73-75LOST
Gambusinos de Fresnillo vs Freseros de IrapuatoBasketball · LNBP2026-08-26first seen 6h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived—87-84WON
San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh PiratesBaseball · MLB2026-08-25first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived—2-3LOST
Independiente del Valle vs Deportes TolimaFootball · Second leg2026-08-26first seen 19m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV3-1WON
Chicago White Sox vs Texas RangersBaseball · MLB2026-08-25first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived—11-7WON
Washington Nationals vs Colorado RockiesBaseball · MLB2026-08-25first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived—1-3LOST
Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB2026-08-25first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—4-1LOST
Miami Marlins vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB2026-08-25first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—3-7WON
Afturelding vs GrottaFootball · Division 12026-08-25first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.30 · +13.0% CLV2-0WON
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Gas Al ShimalFootball · Superleague2026-08-25first seen 33m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.45 · +3.6% CLV1-1LOST
Arsenal Sarandi vs ItuzaingoFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-25first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.35 · +2.3% CLV2-0WON

2826–2850 of 3970· 2320 won / 1645 lost · −345.7u · −8.7% yield · of 7154 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.